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https://s3.us-west-1.wasabisys.com/virusreports/2020/05/cropped-virus-favicon-32x32.png Primaries Archives - Virus Reports https://virusreports.net/tag/primaries/ 32 32 From 47 Primaries, 4 Warning Signs About Voting in a Pandemic https://virusreports.net/from-47-primaries-4-warning-signs-about-voting-in-a-pandemic/ https://virusreports.net/from-47-primaries-4-warning-signs-about-voting-in-a-pandemic/#respond Sat, 27 Jun 2020 19:22:40 +0000 https://virusreports.net/from-47-primaries-4-warning-signs-about-voting-in-a-pandemic/ State election officials face shortages of money, poll workers, capacity to print ballots and public trust — without much time to fix them. A polling location for the primaries in Atlanta in June.Credit...Audra Melton for The New York TimesJune 27, 2020Updated 11:58 a.m. ETWASHINGTON — Evelina Reese has been a poll worker for 40 years.…

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State election officials face shortages of money, poll workers, capacity to print ballots and public trust — without much time to fix them.

Credit…Audra Melton for The New York Times

WASHINGTON — Evelina Reese has been a poll worker for 40 years. And for the last six decades, she says, she has never missed a chance to vote.

“We’re all dedicated citizens as far as voting goes,” Ms. Reese, a retired social services worker from the Atlanta suburb of Riverdale, said this past week.

But this year, out of concern about the coronavirus, Ms. Reese, 79, skipped her routine of visiting an early-voting site and instead requested one of the absentee ballots that the state promised to all who wanted one. Georgia’s June 9 primary came and went, the ballot never arrived, and Ms. Reese’s 60-year streak was broken.

After Tuesday’s votes in New York and Kentucky, 46 states and the District of Columbia have completed primary elections or party caucuses, facing the ferocious challenge not just of voting during a pandemic, but voting by mail in historic numbers.

The task for November is not just to avoid the errors that disenfranchised Ms. Reeves and many others, but to apply lessons learned since the Iowa caucuses ended in chaos on Feb. 3.

Despite debacles in some states, votes have been counted and winners chosen largely without incident — a feat, some say, given that many states only had weeks to scrap decades of in-person voting habits for voting by mail.

But the challenges and the stakes will be exponentially higher in November when Americans choose a president and much of Congress.

Postal and election workers overwhelmed by 55 million-plus primary-election voters now face triple that turnout in November. States must recruit armies of poll workers to replace older ones deterred from working because of the virus. Election offices will have to process millions of ballots packed in millions more envelopes — that only a handful of companies are capable of printing.

And they will have to do it all with enough skill and transparency to reassure Republicans told by President Trump that mailed-in votes will be rigged, and Democrats convinced that their votes are being suppressed.

“We were fortunate that the pandemic hit during the primaries rather than the general election,” said Barry C. Burden, the director of the Elections Research Center at the University of Wisconsin-Madison. “It provided a sort of training ground for states to turn the corner on voting by mail.”

November, he said, could be like the pandemic itself: manageable if done right, but vulnerable to unpredictable hot spots. “And we only need it to go badly in a few places for the whole election to feel like it’s in trouble,” he said.

Kentucky would seem to be one of those places. On average, only about 1.5 percent of the state’s voters cast absentee ballots in past elections. Yet Kentucky’s primary last Tuesday might be a template for success in November.

Backed by Republicans and Democrats, election officials effectively held two elections at once — a massive mail vote of perhaps 760,000 mail ballots, and a smaller 270,000-ballot vote at a reduced number of polling places.

Officials eased pressure on in-person polling places by making absentee ballots easy to apply for and get. A crash effort sent counties mailing labels for ballots the day after voters requested them. In the state’s two major cities, local officials designed large-scale voting centers that handled heavy in-person voting with a minimum of delay.

Image

Credit…Luke Sharrett for The New York Times

One consolidated voting center experienced some lines, but Election Day voting was largely problem-free, and turnout is expected to smash the 2008 record for a Kentucky primary election. Ninety percent of the 848,000 ballots sent out are likely to be returned. And voting in Louisville’s predominantly black West End, which some feared would drop, appears to have been robust.

Yet what worked well in Kentucky may not be easy to replicate in November. Here’s why:

In Georgia, the Macon-Bibb County elections board complained on Tuesday that it already was short of cash, with an August runoff and the November general election still to come. The pandemic has pinched the board at both ends, Georgia Public Broadcasting reported: A flood of absentee ballot requests raised election expenses, but the budget has shrunk as Covid-19 has slashed county tax revenues.

In Wapakoneta, Ohio, the Auglaize County elections board faces similar problems. “We already used November’s election money for March,” said the board’s director, Michelle Wilcox, referring to the state’s all-mail primary. County officials still could cut spending 20 percent, she said, but “I’m not buying for November yet.”

And turnout in November, she said, could be almost four times the 22 percent turnout in the primary election.

Ms. Wilcox, who serves on a state task force preparing for the November vote, said the cost of postage and a staff to process ballots pushed the average cost of an absentee ballot to $5 in one small county.

Federal coronavirus stimulus legislation allotted some money for elections — Ohio received $12.9 million — and Congress set aside $400 million more in an earlier bill. But election experts say more is needed, and a $3.6 billion election package, part of a $3 trillion stimulus bill approved in May by the Democratic House, remains stalled in the Republican-controlled Senate.

Although mail voting will surge this fall, many voters will still cast their votes in person, experts say. But poll workers are in critically short supply.

Nearly six in 10 poll workers were 61 or older in 2018, according to an analysis by the Pew Research Center. In Kentucky, almost nine in 10 refused to work in this month’s pandemic-plagued primary, the major reason polling places were slashed to a handful.

The District of Columbia lost 1,700 of its 2,000-odd poll workers for its June primary, according to a post-election report, and poor planning led to hours-long lines.

The number of in-person voters in November is anyone’s guess, but it could be substantial. In Georgia, for instance, about half of primary votes were not absentees.

  • Updated June 24, 2020

    • Is it harder to exercise while wearing a mask?

      A commentary published this month on the website of the British Journal of Sports Medicine points out that covering your face during exercise “comes with issues of potential breathing restriction and discomfort” and requires “balancing benefits versus possible adverse events.” Masks do alter exercise, says Cedric X. Bryant, the president and chief science officer of the American Council on Exercise, a nonprofit organization that funds exercise research and certifies fitness professionals. “In my personal experience,” he says, “heart rates are higher at the same relative intensity when you wear a mask.” Some people also could experience lightheadedness during familiar workouts while masked, says Len Kravitz, a professor of exercise science at the University of New Mexico.

    • I’ve heard about a treatment called dexamethasone. Does it work?

      The steroid, dexamethasone, is the first treatment shown to reduce mortality in severely ill patients, according to scientists in Britain. The drug appears to reduce inflammation caused by the immune system, protecting the tissues. In the study, dexamethasone reduced deaths of patients on ventilators by one-third, and deaths of patients on oxygen by one-fifth.

    • What is pandemic paid leave?

      The coronavirus emergency relief package gives many American workers paid leave if they need to take time off because of the virus. It gives qualified workers two weeks of paid sick leave if they are ill, quarantined or seeking diagnosis or preventive care for coronavirus, or if they are caring for sick family members. It gives 12 weeks of paid leave to people caring for children whose schools are closed or whose child care provider is unavailable because of the coronavirus. It is the first time the United States has had widespread federally mandated paid leave, and includes people who don’t typically get such benefits, like part-time and gig economy workers. But the measure excludes at least half of private-sector workers, including those at the country’s largest employers, and gives small employers significant leeway to deny leave.

    • Does asymptomatic transmission of Covid-19 happen?

      So far, the evidence seems to show it does. A widely cited paper published in April suggests that people are most infectious about two days before the onset of coronavirus symptoms and estimated that 44 percent of new infections were a result of transmission from people who were not yet showing symptoms. Recently, a top expert at the World Health Organization stated that transmission of the coronavirus by people who did not have symptoms was “very rare,” but she later walked back that statement.

    • What’s the risk of catching coronavirus from a surface?

      Touching contaminated objects and then infecting ourselves with the germs is not typically how the virus spreads. But it can happen. A number of studies of flu, rhinovirus, coronavirus and other microbes have shown that respiratory illnesses, including the new coronavirus, can spread by touching contaminated surfaces, particularly in places like day care centers, offices and hospitals. But a long chain of events has to happen for the disease to spread that way. The best way to protect yourself from coronavirus — whether it’s surface transmission or close human contact — is still social distancing, washing your hands, not touching your face and wearing masks.

    • How does blood type influence coronavirus?

      A study by European scientists is the first to document a strong statistical link between genetic variations and Covid-19, the illness caused by the coronavirus. Having Type A blood was linked to a 50 percent increase in the likelihood that a patient would need to get oxygen or to go on a ventilator, according to the new study.

    • How many people have lost their jobs due to coronavirus in the U.S.?

      The unemployment rate fell to 13.3 percent in May, the Labor Department said on June 5, an unexpected improvement in the nation’s job market as hiring rebounded faster than economists expected. Economists had forecast the unemployment rate to increase to as much as 20 percent, after it hit 14.7 percent in April, which was the highest since the government began keeping official statistics after World War II. But the unemployment rate dipped instead, with employers adding 2.5 million jobs, after more than 20 million jobs were lost in April.

    • What are the symptoms of coronavirus?

      Common symptoms include fever, a dry cough, fatigue and difficulty breathing or shortness of breath. Some of these symptoms overlap with those of the flu, making detection difficult, but runny noses and stuffy sinuses are less common. The C.D.C. has also added chills, muscle pain, sore throat, headache and a new loss of the sense of taste or smell as symptoms to look out for. Most people fall ill five to seven days after exposure, but symptoms may appear in as few as two days or as many as 14 days.

    • How can I protect myself while flying?

      If air travel is unavoidable, there are some steps you can take to protect yourself. Most important: Wash your hands often, and stop touching your face. If possible, choose a window seat. A study from Emory University found that during flu season, the safest place to sit on a plane is by a window, as people sitting in window seats had less contact with potentially sick people. Disinfect hard surfaces. When you get to your seat and your hands are clean, use disinfecting wipes to clean the hard surfaces at your seat like the head and arm rest, the seatbelt buckle, the remote, screen, seat back pocket and the tray table. If the seat is hard and nonporous or leather or pleather, you can wipe that down, too. (Using wipes on upholstered seats could lead to a wet seat and spreading of germs rather than killing them.)

    • What should I do if I feel sick?

      If you’ve been exposed to the coronavirus or think you have, and have a fever or symptoms like a cough or difficulty breathing, call a doctor. They should give you advice on whether you should be tested, how to get tested, and how to seek medical treatment without potentially infecting or exposing others.


Accommodating tens of millions of voters with a skeletal staff of experienced poll workers could lead to long lines that discourage voters and raise charges of voter suppression. One solution, Mr. Burden said, is a push to recruit young poll workers who often have computer and language skills that modern polls need. Some states like North Carolina already are taking that tack.

“If you were to walk into my office today,” said Tina Barton, the city clerk in Rochester Hills, Mich., “I’d bet I have one and a half walls that are stacked six feet high with nothing but secrecy sleeves” — the paper covers into which absentee ballots are inserted before being sealed in envelopes. Those envelopes then are sealed in other envelopes, again for security, before being sent to election offices.

And that is just part of the forest of paper that accompanies an absentee ballot, much of which can only be prepared by specialty printers. During Michigan’s primary, she said, printers often pushed deadlines to the last minute. Before the Ohio primary, said Ms. Wilcox of Auglaize County, election officials “were actually borrowing off each other” to secure enough envelopes to mail ballots to voters.

Image

Credit…Mark Makela for The New York Times

And that was when states’ primary elections were spaced out over nearly six months. Now, one state election official said, “we’re all starting to turn to what November looks like, and we’re saying, ‘You used the same vendor I did, and they barely got it done for the primary. How are they going to get it done for the general election?’”

No one appears to have studied whether printing capacity will be a bottleneck in November, but election officials say they are deeply concerned. Mr. Burden, of the Election Research Center, said it was worth worrying about: “Printers have limited machines and employees, so they can’t scale up” to meet massive demand, he said. “There’s an ongoing concern that some jurisdictions are going to be left out.”

Among election experts, the prospect that voters will be gulled by misinformation to dismiss November’s results as invalid or rigged is a top concern. Increasingly, Americans, not foreigners, are seen as the greatest threat.

President Trump and some Republicans have ratcheted up baseless charges that voting by mail is riddled with fraud, and many on the left assume voter suppression is baked into every element of voting.

Experts worry that delays in counting mail ballots will encourage some people to sow charges of fraud and suppression that are amplified by foreign adversaries. Experts are especially concerned that Americans accustomed to getting election results before bedtime will embrace conspiracy theories and disinformation if the November vote takes days to sort out, as seems likely.

“There is going to be stuff that goes wrong, that isn’t perfect, and our adversaries are looking to leverage that,” said David J. Becker, the director of the Center for Election Innovation and Research. “Everyone expects there will be a fight against disinformation that is seeking to diminish confidence in the election results — no matter who wins.”

Steve Connolly can speak to that. Mr. Connolly, who bills himself as the longest-running Elvis impersonator in Las Vegas, arrived at his polling place at 6:45 p.m. on June 9 and cast his vote at 3:09 a.m. on June 10, the last voter in Nevada’s Clark County, He was not happy, but he thinks he may have a solution.

“It made me want to run for mayor so I can fix the system,” he said. “I’ve been Elvis for 25 years. Maybe it’s time for another career.”

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Devine on Dem primaries: Seeing a ‘hostile takeover’ of the old guard by socialists https://virusreports.net/devine-on-dem-primaries-seeing-a-hostile-takeover-of-the-old-guard-by-socialists/ https://virusreports.net/devine-on-dem-primaries-seeing-a-hostile-takeover-of-the-old-guard-by-socialists/#respond Wed, 24 Jun 2020 12:21:23 +0000 https://virusreports.net/devine-on-dem-primaries-seeing-a-hostile-takeover-of-the-old-guard-by-socialists/ Fox News Back to Top ©2020 FOX News Network, LLC. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. All market data delayed 20 minutes. New Privacy Policy - New Terms of Use (What's New) - FAQ

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Kentucky primaries: 4 key election races to watch on Tuesday https://virusreports.net/kentucky-primaries-4-key-election-races-to-watch-on-tuesday/ https://virusreports.net/kentucky-primaries-4-key-election-races-to-watch-on-tuesday/#respond Wed, 24 Jun 2020 07:21:55 +0000 https://virusreports.net/kentucky-primaries-4-key-election-races-to-watch-on-tuesday/ Over the course of a few weeks, the Democratic Senate primary in Kentucky went from a foregone conclusion to very competitive. The primary contest between Democrats Amy McGrath and state Sen. Charles Booker — both vying to compete against Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) in the fall — is without a doubt the marquee…

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Over the course of a few weeks, the Democratic Senate primary in Kentucky went from a foregone conclusion to very competitive.

The primary contest between Democrats Amy McGrath and state Sen. Charles Booker — both vying to compete against Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) in the fall — is without a doubt the marquee race in Kentucky this summer.

McGrath is the moderate veteran who has become a fundraising juggernaut, despite narrowly losing a Kentucky House race in 2018. Booker, meanwhile, is the youngest black state lawmaker in Kentucky. He’s unapologetically progressive and has become a presence on the front lines of protests against police brutality in his hometown of Louisville. Whereas Booker was once seen as a long shot competitor to McGrath, his challenge has become more serious in the last few weeks.

“Primaries are good for having the important conversations, but we’re not running to have important conversations, we’re running to win,” Booker told Vox in a recent interview.

While the Senate race will be the most closely watched race on Tuesday night, there are other primaries playing out for congressional districts around the state. Republicans are competing to be the nominee to try to take down longtime Rep. John Yarmuth (D), the only Democratic member of the Kentucky Congressional delegation and the powerful chairman of the House Committee on the Budget. Democrats and Republicans alike are competing to challenge embattled Rep. Thomas Massie (R), an outspoken member of the House Liberty Caucus, and there are also primaries in both parties for the Sixth Congressional District, currently held by Rep. Andy Barr (R).

Though the state has Democratic roots in its rural areas, it’s pretty solidly Republican and voted for Trump by 30 points in 2016. Democrats see some hope in the 2019 win of Gov. Andy Beshear (D) over Matt Bevin, who attempted to roll back Kentucky’s Medicaid expansion and used aggressive rhetoric against Kentucky teachers striking for better wages. Any plausible path for a Democratic Senate candidate would be massive turnout for Democrats in Kentucky’s blue cities and purplish suburbs, paired with lower turnout for McConnell in Kentucky’s redder rural areas. But the odds of Democrats actually toppling McConnell on his home turf are slim.

Kentucky polls are scheduled to close by 6 pm ET. Shortly after, Vox will have live results provided by Decision Desk. Here’s what you need to know about each of the state’s races.

Kentucky US Senate race

Who is the Republican? Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, in office since 1985. McConnell is currently the most powerful person in the US Senate and one of the most powerful in the country.

Who are the Democrats? Retired Marine fighter pilot Amy McGrath, who narrowly lost the Sixth Congressional District in 2018, is the pick of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. Her closest challenger is progressive state Sen. Charles Booker. Farmer and veteran Mike Broihier is also in the running, but he hasn’t gained as much attention as Booker.

What are the odds? Cook Political Report rates this race Likely Republican.

What’s the state of play? Until a few weeks ago, it looked like McGrath was the runaway favorite in a sleepy primary race. The retired fighter pilot fit the mold of middle-of-the-road, pragmatic candidates backed by the DSCC and was clearly in general election mode — hitting McConnell with ads. But Booker is also seeing a last-minute rise, fueled by the protests against police brutality after Louisville police killed EMT Breonna Taylor and restaurant owner David McAtee. McGrath is the frontrunner, but her path is suddenly looking less certain.

Whether McGrath or Booker emerge victorious, they’ll be facing off against the incredibly powerful and well-funded McConnell. McConnell has become a boogeyman for Democrats, who despise him for moves like denying Obama’s Supreme Court pick Merrick Garland a hearing or holding up the vast majority of House bills in the Senate to prioritize filling the federal judiciary with conservative judges — ensuring the courts will likely favor conservative causes for a generation. Back home in Kentucky, McConnell has worked very hard to maintain an image that he’s delivering for his home state. He’s also tied himself closely to Trump, who won Kentucky by 30 points in 2016. Beating McConnell will take lots of money, which McGrath is pulling in by the bucketloads. But even then, it’s far from a sure bet.

Kentucky’s Third Congressional District

Who is the Democrat? Chairman of the House Budget Committee John Yarmuth, in office since 2007.

Who are the Republicans? Entrepreneur Waymen Eddings, realtor Rhonda Palazzo, and former union representative Mike Craven.

What are the odds? Cook Political Report rates this district Solid Democratic.

What’s the state of play? Yarmuth has for years been the only Democratic House member from Kentucky. He represents a district that’s pretty safely blue owing to the influence of the state’s largest city Louisville. A longtime member of Congress, Yarmuth is now the chair of the House Budget Committee — an influential position. Yarmuth is running unopposed in his primary, and despite the three Republicans vying to challenge him, he’s expected to retain his grasp on the seat.

Kentucky’s Fourth Congressional District

Who are the Republicans? Incumbent Rep. Thomas Massie is facing a serious primary challenge from attorney Todd McMurtry. Massie could be in electoral trouble this year; President Donald Trump called for him to be tossed out of the GOP a few months ago.

Who are the Democrats? Nurse Alexandra Owensby and FedEx worker Shannon Fabert.

What are the odds? Cook Political Report rates this district Solid Republican.

What is the state of play? Massie has been a perennial thorn in the side of Democrats and Republicans alike for years. A libertarian-minded member of Congress, he often votes against big bills and government spending. But Massie may have crossed a line with Trump this year when he tried to hold up a $2.2 trillion coronavirus aid package by requesting a recorded vote, forcing lawmakers to come back to the Hill in the middle of a pandemic in the process. For that, Trump called him a “third rate grandstander” and “a disaster for America.”

Now, Massie is facing a challenge from McMurtry, who made news when he represented Covington Catholic high school student Nicholas Sandmann after Sandmann’s widely publicized encounter with a Native American activist at the Lincoln Memorial. The race between Massie and McMurtry has featured plenty of barbs thrown between the two, as well as the two men attempting to tie themselves to Trump.

Kentucky’s Sixth Congressional District

Who are the Republicans? Incumbent Andy Barr is being challenged by perennial candidate Geoff Young and retired entrepreneur Chuck Eddy.

Who are the Democrats? Marine corps veteran Josh Hicks and entrepreneur Daniel Kemph.

What are the odds? Cook Political Report rates this race Likely Republican.

What is the state of play? Democrats invested heavily in the Sixth Congressional District in 2018, when McGrath challenged Barr and fell three points shy of winning. The district is seen as potentially gettable because it contains the blue city of Lexington and its surrounding suburbs, and historically has swung from red to blue in the past. But it’s proved tough to flip in recent years.

Barr is likely to win his Republican primary. Barr suffered a personal tragedy on June 16 in the sudden death of his wife Carol due to a heart condition. On the Democratic side, Hicks — whose speech on taking down confederate monuments went viral in 2017 — will face off against Kemph. The campaign arm of House Democrats, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, hasn’t yet endorsed in this race.

Correction: An earlier version of this article said Rep. Thomas Massie is part of the House Freedom Caucus. He is part of the House Liberty Caucus.


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New York primaries: 15 races to watch during the June 23 election https://virusreports.net/new-york-primaries-15-races-to-watch-during-the-june-23-election/ https://virusreports.net/new-york-primaries-15-races-to-watch-during-the-june-23-election/#respond Tue, 23 Jun 2020 16:21:44 +0000 https://virusreports.net/new-york-primaries-15-races-to-watch-during-the-june-23-election/ After New York’s June 23 primaries, a few of the Democratic Party’s highest-profile and longest-serving House members could be picked off. Rep. Eliot Engel, who chairs the House Foreign Affairs Committee and has been in Congress since 1989, appears to be the most vulnerable member on Tuesday. His chief challenger, Bronx middle school founding principal…

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After New York’s June 23 primaries, a few of the Democratic Party’s highest-profile and longest-serving House members could be picked off.

Rep. Eliot Engel, who chairs the House Foreign Affairs Committee and has been in Congress since 1989, appears to be the most vulnerable member on Tuesday. His chief challenger, Bronx middle school founding principal Jamaal Bowman, has mounted a formidable campaign and has picked up a number of big endorsements from progressives, including Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Bernie Sanders, and Elizabeth Warren. The Democratic establishment has stepped in to try to save Engelhe was Hillary Clinton’s first House primary endorsement of the cycle — but it’s not clear if it will be enough.

While Engel has more money overall, Bowman has put up strong fundraising numbers, and both have outside groups spending on their behalf. Engel has also been criticized for his absence from his district — New Rochelle, which is in his district, was an early hot spot for Covid-19. And then there’s Engel’s “hot mic” moment, when at a news conference in the Bronx about civil unrest, he was overheard saying twice, “If I didn’t have a primary, I wouldn’t care.” Engel has tried to explain the remarks, saying he was just trying to convey he felt it was important to hear him speak, but it’s helped Bowman, who is well-connected in the community and has broken through in local media, gain more momentum.

“He already has the idea of what the systemic changes are that we need so that people are not slipping through the gaps,” said Sochie Nnaemeka, New York state director for the Working Families Party, which has endorsed Bowman.

The Engel-Bowman race isn’t the only competitive one, or the only one that is at least interesting to watch. Reps. Yvette Clarke, Carolyn Maloney, and Jerry Nadler are all facing significant challengers, though of those, Clarke’s seat appears to be the only one that might be at risk. And the crowded primaries to fill the seats of Reps. Jose Serrano and Nita Lowey, neither of whom is running for reelection, have uncertain outcomes.

Many of New York’s congressional districts encompass diverse communities with significant splits along socioeconomic and racial lines, which will also come into play on Tuesday. The 16th District, which Engel represents, contains parts of both the Bronx and Westchester County. And New York’s entire delegation is emblematic of the inequalities of New York: Both the highest-income congressional district in the country (Maloney’s District 12) and the lowest-income (Serrano’s, District 15) are seeing competitive races right now.

Ocasio-Cortez, who has some upstart primary challengers of her own, skyrocketed to the spotlight in 2018 after her surprise defeat of Joe Crowley, and in the 2020 primaries, New York could deliver another such surprise. Here are 15 congressional races to keep an eye on, what’s at stake, and, how they’re shaking out. Because so many people are likely voting absentee by mail, it will likely take a while to get results.

New York’s First Congressional District: A scientist and a business leader compete to take on Rep. Lee Zeldin

Who are the Democrats? A crowded field of Democrats is competing to take on incumbent Republican Lee Zeldin in New York’s coastal Long Island district, which Cook Political Report has rated “Likely Republican” this cycle.

The Democrats in this year’s primary are business leader Perry Gershon (who is running again), Stony Brook University chemistry professor Nancy Goroff, consultant Greg Fischer, and Suffolk County legislator Bridget Fleming. As of the end of March, Gershon and Goroff were leading the field in fundraising, bringing in more than $1 million each, according to City and State New York.

Who are the Republicans? Rep. Lee Zeldin, a staunch Trump ally, is an incumbent who’s vying for his fourth term.

What’s the background on the race? The district — which backed President Barack Obama in 2012 before voting for Donald Trump in 2016 — is seen as a battleground in 2020. Zeldin won by roughly 4 points against Gershon in 2018, but a Democrat had held the seat from 2003 to 2014.

Both leading Democrats, Gershon and Goroff, are focused on critiquing Zeldin’s allegiance to Trump (he’s voted with the president 88 percent of the time, according to FiveThirtyEight), and have leaned into their respective expertise: Goroff, for example, was the chair of the Stony Brook chemistry department before taking leave to run for Congress and has emphasized the importance of having scientists as elected officials. Gershon, too, has argued that his expertise in real estate development and in business indicate that he’s able to produce results in a way that politicians have not.

Given how narrow Zeldin’s margins were in 2018 compared to the previous election year, whoever wins the Democratic primary this week is expected to give him a tough fight in November.

New York’s Second Congressional District: Peter King’s open seat prompts contested races among both Republicans and Democrats

Who are the Democrats? Former Babylon Town Council member Jackie Gordon and advertising executive Patricia Maher are competing to flip Rep. Peter King’s seat. Gordon is seen as the frontrunner given the backing she’s gained from regional Democratic Party members.

Who are the Republicans? State Assembly member Andrew Garbarino and Michael LiPetri are on the ballot on the GOP side. Garbarino has picked up local party support as well as King’s endorsement.

What’s the background on the race? Both Democrats and Republicans have competitive primaries in this South Shore Long Island district, held by King, who has opted not to run again. King has held the seat ever since he won in 2012, and Cook Political Report rates it as Lean Republican, a sign that it could be a potential pickup for Democrats this cycle. In 2018, King beat Democratic competitor Liuba Grechen Shirley by approximately 6 points.

New York’s Fifth Congressional District: Shaniyat Chowdhury faces an uphill battle in trying to unseat Rep. Gregory Meeks

Who are the Democrats? Rep. Gregory Meeks represents New York’s Fifth Congressional District, which encompasses part of Queens and Nassau County. He’s being challenged from the left by Shaniyat Chowdhury, an activist and former Marine.

Who are the Republicans? No candidates have filed to run on the Republican ticket.

What’s the background on the race? Meeks has been in Congress since 1998 and is well-established in local and national politics. He’s a senior member of the House Financial Services Committee and the chair of the Queens County Democratic Party.

His challenger, Chowdhury, 28, was born and raised in Queens to Bangladeshi parents. He lives in NYCHA housing in Queens, has worked in local politics and organizing, and appears, like many challengers, to be modeling himself after Ocasio-Cortez — he worked on her insurgent 2018 campaign. He’s been endorsed by Nassau County’s division of Democratic Socialists of America, but not the Queens division.

Meeks has never really faced a serious primary challenge, and his seat looks very solid. In the 2018 primary election, he had two challengers and still got more than 80 percent of the vote, and he has consistently easily won reelection. In other words, Chowdhury faces an uphill battle.

New York’s Ninth Congressional District: Rep. Yvette Clarke tries to fend off Adem Bunkeddeko in a 2018 repeat

Who are the Democrats? New York’s Ninth Congressional District in central Brooklyn is represented by Rep. Yvette Clarke. In 2018, Adem Bunkeddeko, the son of Ugandan refugees who has worked in economic development, came close to defeating Clarke in the Democratic primary, and he’s running again in 2020. Isiah James, Chaim Deutsch, and Lutchi Gayot are in the primary as well.

Who is the Republican? Flatbush-born Constantin Jean-Pierre is running as a Republican in the Ninth District.

What’s the background on the race? This race is likely to be a tight one between Clarke and Bunkeddeko.

Clarke is one of the most progressive members of Congress, so Bunkeddeko, 32, isn’t exactly running to her left but instead is positioning himself as a fresh face who will go to Washington and get things done. His background is compelling: He was born to Ugandan refugees, earned an MBA from Harvard Business School, and worked for the Empire State Development Corporation. He received the endorsement of the New York Times’s editorial board. Clarke, the only black woman in New York’s congressional delegation, is taking the challenge seriously.

Isiah James, an Army veteran and member of the Democratic Socialists of America, is also challenging Clarke, and he could draw votes from Bunkeddeko. It’s unclear whether Chaim Deutsch, a Brooklyn City Council member who is trying to court the Orthodox Jewish parts of the district, will pull votes from Clarke, or what impact Lutchi Gayot may have.

Clarke, Bunkeddeko, and James faced off in a debate in early June. Clarke’s opponents tried to cast her as someone who has failed to get things done on Capitol Hill. She pushed back, also bringing up her gender. “These men have appropriated what I have done,” she said, “which is pretty typical of men.”

New York’s 10th Congressional District: Rep. Jerry Nadler faces two challengers, one a former Cuomo adviser, the other Andrew Yang-inspired

Who are the Democrats? New York’s 10th Congressional District, which encompasses much of the West Side of Manhattan and parts of Brooklyn, is represented by Rep. Jerry Nadler, also the House Judiciary Committee chair. He’s being challenged by Lindsey Boylan and Jonathan Herzog.

Who is the Republican? Cathy Bernstein will be on the ballot in November.

What’s the background on the race? Nadler appears well-positioned to beat back both his challengers in this race.

Herzog worked for Andrew Yang’s presidential campaign before quitting to run for Congress and has focused much of his bid on universal basic income. Boylan, a former state economic development official and adviser to Gov. Andrew Cuomo, has mounted a pretty serious campaign, raised a lot of money, and generated media buzz. She’s not exactly running to Nadler’s left — as mentioned, she worked for the governor — but rather as a sort of resistance figure who will bring fresh blood to Washington.

“No one is entitled to keep their seat,” Boylan told Vox in 2019.

Whereas progressive Democrats have rallied behind some congressional challengers, that’s not been the case for those trying to take on Nadler. Elizabeth Warren, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, and the Working Families Party endorsed Nadler. “He has been a real leader and champ for working people for a long time,” Nnaemeka, of the Working Families Party, said.

New York’s 11th Congressional District: Republicans face off to try to unseat Rep. Max Rose in November

Who is the Democrat? Rep. Max Rose, who unseated Republican Daniel Donovan in 2018, represents the district, which encompasses Staten Island and parts of south Brooklyn.

Who are the Republicans? Assembly member Nicole Malliotakis and former prosecutor Joe Caldarera are competing to go up against Rose in November.

What’s the background on the race? Republicans are hoping to flip this seat back to red in 2020. Rose, a military veteran, unseated Republican incumbent Dan Donovan during the 2018 midterms, winning by about 10 points. Trump won the district in 2016 by about 15 points.

Trump has endorsed Malliotakis, who made an unsuccessful run for New York City mayor in 2017. According to the Associated Press, she has suggested that New York is getting less federal aid for coronavirus relief compared to other states “because of our leadership,” and said she believes it’s important for the city to have a Republican voice in Congress. Caldarera has accused Malliotakis of being “one of the most left-leaning liberal Republicans” in New York. The New York Post has endorsed Malliotakis, while Caldarera has the support of the National Rifle Association.

Cook Political Report rates New York’s 11th Congressional District as a toss-up, so whoever wins on Tuesday will face a tight race in November.

New York’s 12th Congressional District: Rep. Carolyn Maloney benefits from a crowded field of challengers

Who are the Democrats? Rep. Carolyn Maloney represents this district, which encompasses much of the East Side of Manhattan and parts of Brooklyn and Queens. Maloney has three challengers: Lauren Ashcroft, Peter Harrison, and Suraj Patel.

Who is the Republican? Carlos Santiago-Cano, who runs a coffee company, will be on the Republican ticket in the general election.

What’s the background on the race? Suraj Patel, an attorney and NYU professor, ran against Maloney in the 2018 primary and lost to her by about 20 points. Now, he and two other candidates — comedian and former JPMorgan project manager Lauren Ashcroft, and housing activist and democratic socialist Peter Harrison — are trying to take her out. The multiple challengers could wind up being to Maloney’s benefit.

“Maloney would have been vulnerable — she’s one of the most vulnerable members of the New York congressional delegation — but she very much benefited from a split field, and she has spent incredible amounts,” said Sean McElwee, the executive director of Data for Progress. Maloney, who chairs the House Oversight Committee, will likely do well on the Upper East Side, and the other candidates may very well split the vote in more progressive areas of the district.

The race has become heated. Patel has accused Maloney’s ads of being racist, and she has questioned his use of Tinder banking, where campaigns use fake profiles on dating apps to try to reach voters, in 2018.

New York’s 14th Congressional District: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is now the incumbent, with Democratic challengers of her own

Who are the Democrats? Two years after she upset former Rep. Joe Crowley as an insurgent challenger in her Bronx- and Queens-based district, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is running for reelection and facing some challengers of her own.

Widely viewed as the favorite in the primary, Ocasio-Cortez is up against three Democrats including former CNBC anchor Michelle Caruso-Cabrera, activist Badrun Khan, and chess player Samuel Sloan. Caruso-Cabrera, a former Republican who is running to the right of Ocasio-Cortez on issues including health care, has fundraised the most of the challengers and has picked up the backing of the US Chamber of Congress.

Who is the Republican? Former police officer and current Catholic school teacher John Cummings is mounting a long-shot bid to unseat Ocasio-Cortez.

What’s the background on the race? Despite the pushback she’s received both from Republicans and some members of the Democratic establishment, Ocasio-Cortez continues to have strong support both in her district and beyond. According to a report from the Hill, Ocasio-Cortez has raised a staggering $10.5 million this cycle, a hefty chunk of which is small-dollar donations. She’s likely to beat her primary challengers.

Given the heavy Democratic lean of the district, Ocasio-Cortez is expected to win by a significant margin in November, much like she did in 2018 when she beat Republican Anthony Pappas by more than 60 points.

New York’s 15th Congressional District: A dozen candidates compete for Rep. José Serrano’s seat

Who are the Democrats? Rep. José Serrano announced last year he is retiring, citing the effects of Parkinson’s disease. There are a lot of people running for his seat: Tomas Ramos, Samelys López, Frangell Basora, Melissa Mark-Viverito, Michael Blake, Rubén Díaz Sr., Mark Escoffery-Bey, Ritchie Torres, Chivona Newsome, Ydanis Rodriguez, Julio Pabón, and Marlene Tapper.

Who is the Republican? Orlando Molina will be on the Republican ticket in the general election.

What’s the background on the race? The 15th District encompasses the South Bronx and some of the West Bronx and is among the lowest-income congressional districts in the country. It is very blue, but it could wind up sending a super-conservative Democrat — Ruben Diaz Sr. — to Congress.

Diaz, who is on the New York City Council and previously served in the New York state Senate, is a socially conservative Christian pastor. He opposes abortion and same-sex marriage and has a long history of making insensitive remarks. In 2019, he was roundly criticized for saying he wouldn’t report sexual harassment because he wouldn’t be a “rat.”

Progressives sounded the alarm at the possibility that Diaz might win. The problem is, nobody can agree who is the best person to take him on. Ritchie Torres, a member of the New York City Council and the first openly gay candidate to hold elected office in the Bronx, might be best positioned against Diaz. A Data for Progress poll found Diaz leading the field with 22 percent support, followed by Torres at 20 percent. The New York Times editorial board and the New York Daily New have both endorsed Torres.

However, there’s hardly a consensus. Bernie Sanders, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, and the Working Families Party are backing housing advocate Samelys Lopez. Assembly member Michael Blake, who is also vice chair of the Democratic National Committee, has been endorsed by the Congressional Black Caucus. Former City Council speaker Melissa Mark-Viverito, City Council member Ydanis Rodriguez, and Blake all had 6 percent support in the Data for Progress poll, and 34 percent of voters were undecided.

“There’s a lot at stake in terms of representation,” Nnaemeka said. “A lot of the clearest crises we’re facing are really playing out in the Bronx.”

New York’s 16th Congressional District: Jamaal Bowman looks to pick off Rep. Eliot Engel

Who are the Democrats? Middle school principal Jamaal Bowman is the main challenger trying to unseat Rep. Eliot Engel. Chris Fink and Sammy Ravelo are also running.

Who are the Republicans? No Republicans have filed to run in this general election.

What’s the background on the race? This is shaping up to be the New York congressional race with the most national attention and progressive momentum.

Justice Democrats, the group that helped launch Ocasio-Cortez’s congressional career, recruited Bowman to run last year. The primary was initially a relatively crowded one, but it’s now whittled down, and one of the candidates, Andom Ghebreghiorgis, dropped out and backed Bowman earlier this month.

Bowman has sought to paint Engel as absent from his district and especially disconnected during the pandemic and amid protests against police brutality and racism. “I just don’t understand the lack of urgency from our leaders in Washington, or on the state or city level,” he told Vox in an interview last year.

Progressives have also taken aim at Engel over his vote in support of invading Iraq and his opposition to the Iran nuclear deal. Engel insists he remains connected to the community and that his record is progressive. He has said Bowman is “not a real Democrat,” noting that he only registered as a Democrat in 2018.

If Bowman wins, it will be a big deal.

New York’s 17th Congressional District: A crowded field to take over the seat held by retiring Rep. Nita Lowey

Who are the Democrats? This is another crowded field to take over the seat currently held by Rep. Nita Lowey, who is retiring. The names in the mix: David Buchwald, David Carlucci, Asha Castleberry-Hernandez, Evelyn Farkas, Allison Fine, Mondaire Jones, Catherine Parker, and Adam Schleifer.

Who are the Republicans? Yehudis Gottesfeld and Maureen McArdle-Schulman are competing in the Republican primary for this seat.

What’s the background on the race? This race is a bit of a wily one.

Progressive Mondaire Jones, who had already planned to primary Lowey before she announced her retirement, is seeking to be the first black gay man in Congress. The Harvard law graduate and first-time candidate has picked up multiple high-profile endorsements from progressive politicians, and he’s been endorsed by the Times. “Mondaire is absolutely the progressive in this district,” Nnaemeka said.

But there are multiple others in the mix, and the limited polling there has been shows the race is a tight one. State Sen. David Carlucci, who was a member of the Independent Democratic Conference (IDC) that aligned with Republicans in the New York state Senate, is a strong contender, though he’s been criticized for his role in the IDC. Evelyn Farkas, a former Defense Department official, has the backing of Emily’s List. Assembly member David Buchwald, who pushed to change state law to get Trump’s tax returns, was endorsed by the Daily News. Adam Schleifer, a former prosecutor and son of a billionaire, has been able to dump tons of money into his campaign.

The 17th District, which includes Rockland County and parts of Westchester County, is reliably blue, but two Republicans are running in the primary in the hope of flipping it red: Yehudis Gottesfeld, a 25-year-old chemical engineer, and Maureen McArdle Schulman, a 61-year-old former firefighter.

New York’s 19th Congressional District

Who is the Democrat? Rep. Antonio Delgado, who flipped the district blue in 2018.

Who are the Republicans? Army veteran Kyle Van De Water and entrepreneur Ola Hawatmeh.

What’s the background on the race? Delgado is another member of the first-year House class of 2018, who flipped a formerly red district in upstate New York once held by Republican Rep. John Faso. Faso is not running for his old seat again, but Republicans Kyle Van De Water and Ola Hawatmeh are facing off in a contested primary to challenge Delgado. Hawatmeh, a fashion designer and business leader, has more money, but Van De Water has racked up local GOP endorsements, according to the local newspaper the Times Union. As a member of the House, Delgado has focused on issues like lowering health care costs and campaign finance reform. The nonpartisan Cook Political Report rates Delgado’s seat Lean Democratic.

New York’s 22nd Congressional District

Who is the Democrat? Rep. Anthony Brindisi, a moderate Democrat who flipped the district in 2018.

Who are the Republicans? Former Rep. Claudia Tenney is vying to take on Brindisi and see if she can win her old seat back. Also running is George Phillips, who challenged Tenney in a 2016 primary for the seat.

What’s the background on the race? The 2020 race will likely be a rematch between Brindisi and Tenney, after the Democrat narrowly won the district, which encompasses Utica and Binghamton. Brindisi is seen as one of the most moderate Democrats in the House. He touts his commitment to working with Republicans, but he also voted to impeach Trump along with most House Democrats, which Republicans will likely attack him for in the general election. Brindisi won against Tenney by a little over 4,400 votes in 2018, and the district could be close again this year. Cook rates this district a toss-up.

New York’s 24th Congressional District

Who is the Republican? Rep. John Katko, first elected to the House in 2014.

Who are the Democrats? Educator Dana Balter, who was the 2018 Democratic nominee in this district, and Navy veteran Francis Conole.

What’s the background on the race? Democrats fell short in this district around Syracuse in 2018; Balter lost to Katko by about 5 points. Katko is viewed as a more moderate Republican, and he’s held on to his seat in the district although the voters have supported Democrats including Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama in recent presidential cycles. The primary between Balter and Conole will be a test of what kind of Democrat Katko faces in the fall. Balter is in favor of progressive policies like Medicare-for-all, while Conole prefers a public option. While her race last year helped boost Balter’s name ID, Conole is a serious challenger.

New York’s 27th Congressional District

Who are the Republicans? After former Rep. Chris Collins was sentenced to 26 months in prison, a number of Republicans are vying to replace him. New York state Sen. Chris Jacobs, attorney Beth Parlato, and Erie County Comptroller Stefan Mychajliw are all running.

Who is the Democrat? Attorney Nate McMurray, who narrowly lost to Collins in 2018 before Collins was sentenced and resigned.

What’s the background on the race? There are two races set in New York’s 27th Congressional District this Tuesday. One is a special election to replace embattled Rep. Chris Collins, currently serving a sentence for insider trading. The other is a primary to determine who will run for Collins’s seat this fall.

The special election is between Jacobs — the Republican state senator who has the backing of Trump — and McMurray, who narrowly lost to Collins in 2018 as the insider trading allegations broke. The winner will serve out the remainder of Collins’s term. But the wrinkle here is that Jacobs has two other challengers — Parlato and Mychajliw — in the Republican primary to decide who will challenge McMurray for the seat in the fall.

New York may be a blue state, but the 27th Congressional District is one of its reddest spots. Situated between Buffalo and Rochester, the district voted for Trump in 2016 by 25 points, and voters narrowly stuck with Collins in 2018. While Jacobs is expected to win the GOP primary, it’s not a sure bet. Meanwhile, McMurray, the Democrat who challenged and came within about 1,100 votes of Collins in 2018, is back and hoping to succeed against a new Republican opponent in an area that is still pretty red.


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Tuesday’s Primaries: Races To Watch And Live Results https://virusreports.net/tuesdays-primaries-races-to-watch-and-live-results/ https://virusreports.net/tuesdays-primaries-races-to-watch-and-live-results/#respond Tue, 23 Jun 2020 11:22:43 +0000 https://virusreports.net/tuesdays-primaries-races-to-watch-and-live-results/ State Rep. Charles Booker, pictured, faces Amy McGrath in Kentucky's Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate. Bryan Woolston/AP hide caption toggle caption Bryan Woolston/AP State Rep. Charles Booker, pictured, faces Amy McGrath in Kentucky's Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate. Bryan Woolston/AP Progressives are mounting efforts to best establishment Democrats in Kentucky and New York…

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State Rep. Charles Booker, pictured, faces Amy McGrath in Kentucky’s Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate.

Bryan Woolston/AP


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Bryan Woolston/AP

State Rep. Charles Booker, pictured, faces Amy McGrath in Kentucky’s Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate.

Bryan Woolston/AP

Progressives are mounting efforts to best establishment Democrats in Kentucky and New York Tuesday.

Black Lives Matter protests around the country have added energy to the left, and Black progressives are surging in contests in both states.

In Kentucky, the race between the two leading Democrats vying for the right to likely take on Republican Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell is coming down to the wire. All the momentum is on the side of state Rep. Charles Booker over Amy McGrath, a retired Marine fighter pilot with a lot of money and the party’s backing.

Kentucky Democratic Primary To Decide Who Will Face McConnell Shows Split In Party

In New York, a former principal from the Bronx is taking aim at a 30-year-incumbent, Rep. Eliot Engel. Engel hasn’t faced a competitive primary in 20 years, and the pressure is showing.

In all Tuesday, voters in five states head to the polls, including North Carolina, Virginia and Mississippi, in addition to Kentucky and New York.

Here’s a look at some of the notable races to watch:

Kentucky

Senate (Democratic) — McGrath vs. Booker

The death of Breonna Taylor in Louisville has changed the trajectory of this race. Booker has all the momentum after attending and taking a leadership role at protests over her death. He’s become something of a progressive cause célèbre, as Sen. Bernie Sanders, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Sen. Elizabeth Warren and former Kentucky Secretary of State Alison Lundergan Grimes have all endorsed Booker. And a poll out Thursday showed Booker ahead of McGrath. It’s a stunning turn of events, because McGrath has brought in almost $41 million — more than McConnell has raised.

McGrath also has the backing of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. McGrath burst on the scene in 2018 with an ad for a House seat that highlighted her career as a fighter pilot. But her loss during that Democratic wave year took some of the shine off, and Democrats privately criticized the campaign she ran. And Booker is out with a powerful new video that encapsulates a lot of the economic and political messages Democrats are pushing nationally. Either Booker or McGrath would start in a hole against McConnell, as polls show both down double-digits against him.

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4th Congressional District (Republican) — Massie vs. McMurtry

Is the race between incumbent Rep. Thomas Massie and lawyer Todd McMurtry is coming down to… who’s more racist?

McMurtry, who is a lawyer for one of the students from Covington Catholic High School that had a standoff with an Indigenous activist, landed in hot water after racist tweets of his surfaced. McMurtry then accused Massie of displaying the Confederate battle flag at his home.

Things get more complicated and tie in GOP leadership. Massie upset President Trump and Republican leadership by forcing members back to Washington to vote on a coronavirus relief bill. As a result, House No. 3 Liz Cheney and others donated to McMurtry. But that was before the tweets came out. When that happened, Cheney and other Republicans demanded their money back, which drew ridicule from Massie.

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New York

16th Congressional District (Democratic) — Engel vs. Bowman

New York is the site of several key Democratic primary races Tuesday, as many longtime politicians — including Reps. Jerry Nadler, Yvette Clarke and Carolyn Maloney — face a wave of more progressive challengers.

Engel, who has held his congressional seat since 1988, faces perhaps the toughest race, against former middle school principal and education advocate Jamaal Bowman. While Engel has been endorsed by Hillary Clinton, New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, Bowman has gained increased support from progressive leaders, like Sanders, Warren and New York’s Ocasio-Cortez, who in 2018 herself defeated a longtime Democratic incumbent close to party leadership. In a poll released last week by the left-leaning group Data for Progress, Bowman led Engel by 10 points.

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Additional New York races to watch (full results here):

  • NY-14 — Ocasio-Cortez faces her first reelection primary since unseating Joe Crowley in 2018. Former CNBC correspondent Michelle Caruso-Cabrera stands as Ocasio-Cortez’s most significant challenger, though Ocasio-Cortez maintains a large fundraising lead. 
  • NY-15 — A dozen Democratic candidates are hoping to fill retiring Congressman José Serrano’s seat. One of the leading candidates is New York City Councilor and Rev. Rubén Díaz Sr., a controversial Democrat who is openly against abortion and gay marriage. 
  • NY-2 — Retiring Republican Congressman Peter King’s seat is also up for grabs, prompting competitive Republican and Democratic primaries.
  • NY-22 — Former Republican Rep. Claudia Tenney is hoping for a rematch against Democratic Rep. Anthony Brindisi to win her old seat back. But first, she has to win Tuesday’s GOP primary. Tenney lost her seat to Brindisi in 2018 and has been endorsed by Trump.
  • NY-27 — Another Trump-backed candidate, Chris Jacobs, is running in Tuesday’s special election following the resignation of former Congressman Chris Collins over fraud charges. 

North Carolina

11th Congressional District (Republican) — Bennett vs. Cawthorn

This GOP primary runoff is to fill the seat of former Rep. Mark Meadows, who resigned in March to be Trump’s chief of staff. The two candidates running are real estate agent Lynda Bennett and real estate investor Madison Cawthorn.

Bennett has been endorsed by Trump, Meadows and Ohio Rep. Jim Jordan, but some Republican voters in the 11th district have expressed doubt and skepticism over controversial campaign choices. The GOP winner will go on to face Democratic nominee Moe Davis, a retired Air Force colonel and former prosecutor.

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Virginia

2nd Congressional District (Republican) — Luria vs. Taylor… Round 2?

Former Rep. Scott Taylor is vying for a rematch against freshman Democratic Rep. Elaine Luria, who defeated Taylor in 2018 by just over 2 percentage points.

Taylor, who had only served one term, faced an election fraud scandal during his reelection campaign after a staffer forged signatures to try to get a third-party candidate on the ballot. Two years later, Taylor says Luria’s decision to support Trump’s impeachment was “the last straw” in prompting him to run. Taylor is the only candidate with prior political experience running for the GOP nomination, and he leads the primary field in fundraising.

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Mississippi

2nd Congressional District (Republican) — Carey vs. Flowers

In a runoff election, Republicans Thomas Carey and Brian Flowers will compete for the GOP nomination in this heavily Democratic district. The winner will go on to face Democrat Bennie Thompson, who has held the seat for 27 years. Hillary Clinton won this majority African American district by almost 30 points.

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Tuesday’s primaries give progressives opportunities to make inroads https://virusreports.net/tuesdays-primaries-give-progressives-opportunities-to-make-inroads/ https://virusreports.net/tuesdays-primaries-give-progressives-opportunities-to-make-inroads/#respond Mon, 22 Jun 2020 15:22:11 +0000 https://virusreports.net/tuesdays-primaries-give-progressives-opportunities-to-make-inroads/ WASHINGTON — After the first three presidential nominating contests, Joe Biden and the pragmatic wing of the Democratic Party easily beat Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, and the progressives pushing for big, structural change.But on Tuesday, progressives have the opportunity to strike back with some wins of their own.That’s when progressive candidates — from New York…

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WASHINGTON — After the first three presidential nominating contests, Joe Biden and the pragmatic wing of the Democratic Party easily beat Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, and the progressives pushing for big, structural change.

But on Tuesday, progressives have the opportunity to strike back with some wins of their own.

That’s when progressive candidates — from New York to Kentucky — have chances to score victories over establishment/moderate/pragmatic Democrats, including the chairman of the House Foreign Affairs Committee.

In Kentucky, progressive African-American state Rep. Charles Booker — who supports Medicare for All, the Green New Deal and Universal Basic Income — appears to have the momentum over well-funded Amy McGrath in the Democratic Senate primary for the right to take on Mitch McConnell in the fall.

The big question, however, is whether enough Kentucky Democrats already submitted their mail-in ballots before Booker’s campaign started to take off, especially after the shooting death of Breonna Taylor in Louisville.

In NY-16, progressive challenger Jamaal Bowman, a middle school principal, is trying to defeat longtime incumbent Rep. Eliot Engel, D-N.Y., chairman of the House Foreign Affairs Committee.

In NY-17, former Obama DOJ official Mondaire Jones — who backs Medicare for All — is running in a crowded primary to fill the congressional seat being vacated by retiring Rep. Nita Lowey, D-N.Y. Also running for the seat is former Obama Defense official Evelyn Farkas, as well as state Sen. David Carlucci.

And in NY-9, longtime Rep. Yvette Clarke, D-N.Y., is facing a handful of challengers, including progressive Adem Bunkeddeko, who narrowly lost to Clarke in 2018.

What we’ll be watching for on Tuesday night is whether the party that’s about to nominate Joe Biden as its presidential candidate to face President Trump in November has more hunger for progressive politics after the coronavirus and after the deaths of George Floyd, Breonna Taylor and Rayshard Brooks.

It also shouldn’t be lost here that Booker, Bowman, Jones and Bunkeddeko are all progressives of color, and a question going forward is whether they might fare better than white progressives in Democratic primaries.

But also don’t forget that none of these races will be competitive in November. No matter who wins between Booker and McGrath in Kentucky, McConnell will be the big favorite in this presidential year.

And in New York, all of the primary races we’re watching on Tuesday are in safe Democratic seats.

Was the Tulsa rally really worth it?

Tulsa’s health director urged President Trump not to come.

Ditto the leading members of his coronavirus task force.

Let our news meet your inbox. The news and stories that matters, delivered weekday mornings.

But Trump went ahead with rally any way on Saturday, and here’s what he got in return:

So now that the rally has come and gone, who is better off for it? We’d be hard-pressed to say anyone except the Democrats, who got a whole lot of new ad material.

Data Download: The numbers you need to know today

2,290,639: The number of confirmed cases of coronavirus in the United States, per the most recent data from NBC News and health officials. (That’s 84,839 more cases than Friday morning.)

120,635: The number of deaths in the United States from the virus so far. (That’s 1,448 more than Friday morning.)

More than 183,000: The number of new coronavirus cases in the world on Sunday, the largest-ever single-day increase in cases reported by the World Health Organization.

22 percent: The share of ICU beds available in Washington D.C. hospitals as of Saturday, as the city is slated to move to Phase Two of reopening on Monday (76 beds of 345 total).

6,200: The number of attendees at the Trump rally in Tulsa, according to the Tulsa fire marshal.

101 minutes: The length of President Trump’s Saturday night remarks in Tulsa.

14 minutes: How long the president spoke on Saturday about his frustration with the coverage of his use of a ramp and how he drank water at a recent West Point address.

Tweet of the day

NASCAR is investigating a noose found in @BubbaWallace’s garage at Talladega.

Last weekend:

“I’m standing up with my peers and with my following and my platform, to stand up for what’s right and create change, not only in the sport, but in the world”pic.twitter.com/fbJHUVHSMU

— Kasie DC (@KasieDC) June 22, 2020

2020 Vision: Hickenlooper gets some help

Today we take a peek at a new development in Colorado’s Senate Democratic primary, where John Hickenlooper has been on the defensive in recent days.

With the June 30 primary around the corner, a new outside group is coming to the former governor’s aid: Let’s Turn Colorado Blue.

The group, which formed last week, is already running an ad hitting Hickenlooper’s primary opponent, Andrew Romanoff. And with almost $800,000 booked between now and the primary, it’s part of the big outside push coming in for Hickenlooper down the stretch — the Senate Majority PAC, which has backed Hickenlooper, has about $1.4 million in TV and radio time booked through June 30.

Plus, thanks to the group’s convenient decision to wait until so late to open its doors, it won’t have to disclose its donors until after the primary.

The Lid: Narrowing it down

Don’t miss the pod from Friday, when we made the case how Joe Biden’s VP pick could now be down to a two-woman race.

ICYMI: What else is happening in the world

Coronavirus-related stimulus and economic aid has curbed the increase in poverty in America, with one study finding the poverty rate dropping in April and May.

President Trump told Axios his trade negotiations with China have prompted him to pump the breaks on sanctions against the country in retribution for the detention of Uighurs and others.

The president is expected to extend his recent immigration executive order, blocking many from obtaining green cards.

Coronavirus has had a devastating effect on street markets like the Central de Abasto in Mexico.

A dispatch from South Carolina’s primaries show how the pandemic is making it harder for voters, particularly in minority communities.

South Korea is facing a second wave of coronavirus infections.

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Key Georgia primaries to be decided after ‘unacceptable’ voting problems https://virusreports.net/key-georgia-primaries-to-be-decided-after-unacceptable-voting-problems/ https://virusreports.net/key-georgia-primaries-to-be-decided-after-unacceptable-voting-problems/#respond Wed, 10 Jun 2020 04:21:12 +0000 https://virusreports.net/key-georgia-primaries-to-be-decided-after-unacceptable-voting-problems/ The problems in Georgia also led to a back-and-forth blame game between officials in the state. Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger and his office called the issues "unacceptable" and placed the blame on local election officials in a handful of counties, saying they were ultimately responsible for training poll workers and voters in other parts…

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The problems in Georgia also led to a back-and-forth blame game between officials in the state. Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger and his office called the issues “unacceptable” and placed the blame on local election officials in a handful of counties, saying they were ultimately responsible for training poll workers and voters in other parts of the state were able to conduct their election with minimal problems. Officials in those counties fired back that the buck needed to stop with Raffensperger, the state’s chief elections officer.

The most consequential race in Georgia was the Democratic Senate primary. Jon Ossoff entered as the frontrunner, leading by a wide margin in public polls in the closing weeks. But the race will go to a runoff in August if Ossoff cannot capture a majority of the vote. Teresa Tomlinson, the former mayor of Columbus, is considered the likeliest opponent in a potential runoff, though businesswoman Sarah Riggs Amico is also in contention.

Ossoff, who lost a high profile House special election in 2017, has run on an anti-corruption message and relied on his fundraising prowess and name identification from the House race to boost his bid. He also has endorsements from Reps. John Lewis and Hank Johnson. Tomlinson has largely run on her experience as mayor, arguing the party should nominate a candidate who has won previous elections and served in government.

National Democrats have not weighed in on the primary, despite their general strategy of endorsing candidates in races that are considered a priority as they seek to win back the Senate. If the race goes to a runoff, it’s unclear whether national Democrats will weigh in on the race.

Regardless of who wins Tuesday or if the race goes to a runoff, Perdue will start with a hefty financial edge. He has $9.4 million in the bank as of May 20, while Ossoff had the most among Democrats with $950,000.

Both parties will choose nominees in two suburban Atlanta House battlegrounds that will feature expensive races this November. In one district, former Rep. Karen Handel (R-Ga.), who beat Ossoff in the 2017 special election, is expected to easily nab the Republican nomination, setting up a rematch with Rep. Lucy McBath (D-Ga.).

McBath, a gun-control advocate whose son was murdered in Florida, beat Handel by 1 point in the midterms, ending Handel’s brief stint in Congress.

Meanwhile, Democrats and Republicans are hosting contested primaries in an open neighboring seat, which was the closest House race in the country in 2018. GOP Rep. Rob Woodall is retiring after coming within 450 votes of being ousted.

Voters were also going to the polls Tuesday in four other states: South Carolina, West Virginia, North Dakota and Nevada.

In South Carolina, Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.) easily won his primary — in contrast some of his more competitive nomination fights against conservative challengers — and will face Democrat Jaime Harrison, who ran unopposed in the Democratic primary.

House Republicans avoided a runoff in the state’s 1st District, where state Rep. Nancy Mace, the first female graduate of The Citadel, won the nomination outright to take on Rep. Joe Cunningham (D-S.C.), one of the most vulnerable members in Congress. President Donald Trump won his Lowcountry seat by 13 points.

The top race in West Virginia was party-switching Gov. Jim Justice’s bid for a second term. Justice was first elected as a Democrat in 2016 — but, encouraged by President Donald Trump, he switched his registration and became a Republican less than a year into his term. He easily won Tuesday’s primary and will face Democrat Ben Salango in the general election.

In Nevada, Republicans are selecting nominees in two Las Vegas-area House seats held by Democratic Reps. Susie Lee and Steven Horsford. Lee, one of 30 Democrats in a district that Trump won in 2016, is likely to face either a former state treasurer or a former professional wrestler.

The long in-person voting lines in Georgia came even as the state saw a massive swell of mail-in voting. Raffensperger’s office mailed absentee ballot request forms to every active voter in the state. As of Monday, a record 943,000 voters had returned an absentee ballot, a drastic increase for a state that usually sees around 40,000 mail-in voters.

Stacey Abrams, one of the most prominent Democrats in the state, was sharply critical of Raffensperger. “We found ourselves in the midst of both incompetence and maleficence,” she said at a press conference. “And unfortunately the secretary of state is now trying to shift the blame and he’s trying to create a pretext that only a few counties are being impacted, and that this is a localized problem.”

Georgia was not alone in adapting to holding an election during a pandemic. Nevada Secretary of State Barbara Cegavske, a Republican, mailed every active voter in her state a ballot, while Clark County, home to more than seven-in-10 of the state’s voters, went a step further and mailed ballots to voters labeled as “inactive” after national Democrats filed a lawsuit. Inactive voters are voters who don’t return an address confirmation card from election officials or haven’t voted in the past four years, The Nevada Independent reported at the time.

Even still, some voters in Nevada did vote in person and similarly faced long lines. Some voters told The Associated Press that they waited up to five hours to vote.

In Nevada, mail ballots that are postmarked by Election Day and received with a week will count, meaning a late surge in ballots could swing close elections.

Laura Barrón-López contributed to this report.

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Primaries become test run for campaigning during the coronavirus crisis https://virusreports.net/primaries-become-test-run-for-campaigning-during-the-coronavirus-crisis/ https://virusreports.net/primaries-become-test-run-for-campaigning-during-the-coronavirus-crisis/#respond Mon, 01 Jun 2020 13:21:19 +0000 https://virusreports.net/primaries-become-test-run-for-campaigning-during-the-coronavirus-crisis/ HARRISBURG, Pa. (AP) — Tuesday’s primaries in eight states are the biggest test to date of campaigning during the coronavirus era, a way for parties to test-drive new ways of getting out the vote during a time when it can be dangerous to leave your home. Voters from Pennsylvania to Iowa to New Mexico will…

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HARRISBURG, Pa. (AP) — Tuesday’s primaries in eight states are the biggest test to date of campaigning during the coronavirus era, a way for parties to test-drive new ways of getting out the vote during a time when it can be dangerous to leave your home.

Voters from Pennsylvania to Iowa to New Mexico will cast ballots in both the Democratic presidential contest, where former Vice President Joe Biden is the only contender with an active campaign, and a host of down-ballot primaries for everything from governors to state representatives. Many states postponed elections scheduled between mid-March and May to the date because of the coronavirus outbreak.

Unable to send candidates out to barnstorm the states or volunteers to knock on voters’ doors, campaigns have had to improvise. One Pennsylvania Republican congressional campaign recruited 100 people, including its candidate’s large extended family, to hand-write thousands of letters to voters urging support. Another organized “pop-up food banks” for the needy. Others moved up television advertising to capitalize on a captive audience locked down at home. Democrats have created a phone banking model almost along the lines of a technology support hub, where knowledgeable volunteers and staffers can guide confused voters, step by step, through the process of voting by mail.

“Any plan you had three months ago is out the window,” said Brock Lowrance, a Republican strategist working on two Montana races – Sen. Steve Daines’ reelection bid and Rep. Greg Gianforte’s bid for the GOP gubernatorial nomination. “Campaigns are having to adapt in the ways they’re talking to voters but also in the ways voters are going to vote.”

Some voting experts predict half or more of all ballots cast in the November election will be sent through the mail, as the Centers for Disease Control recommends as a way to lessen risk of exposure to the virus at polling stations. States have scrambled to adjust to the new reality with some sending every voter an absentee ballot request.

In Iowa, the traditional frenzy of pre-primary barbecues and rallies has shifted to twice-a-week Zoom training of volunteers for Democratic Senate candidate Theresa Greenfield, who then start dialing voters to ensure they’ve requested and returned their mail ballots.

“Just because we’re staying home doesn’t mean we’re standing still,” said Sam Newton, communication director for Greenfield.

In Montana, where the populace is more accustomed to voting by mail, the outbreak has still altered the rhythm of the political season. Lowrance says he’s noticed far more down-ballot races advertising on television, a reflection of how campaigns have fewer ways to reach voters and more eyeballs glued to the screen during quarantine.

Lowrance said campaigns, including his own, have had to watch their budgets as the pandemic and economic crash have crimped fundraising and refrained from hiring the legion of door-knockers who usually hit the streets before elections. And now they are having to plan for two possibilities – that November will resemble the intense lockdowns of the past two months, or the more mixed reality of reopened states.

“It’s really trying to build two different plans and execute them,” Lowrance said.

The greatest attention is on Pennsylvania, however. It’s simultaneously the biggest state voting on Tuesday, the only one that is likely to be a presidential battleground in November and the state that’s seen the biggest shift in voting in the COVID-19 era.

That’s because this is the first statewide election under a new, more permissive mail voting law passed last year. In 2016, only 4.6% of the state’s voters cast a ballot by mail. Now 21% of all the state’s 8.5 million voters have already requested absentee ballots.

Democrats are overwhelmingly the ones asking to vote by mail – 1.3 million have filed requests, compared with 525,000 Republicans, state records show. That’s partly a reflection of GOP distrust of mail voting that’s been stoked by President Donald Trump, who’s claimed without evidence it will lead to widespread fraud. Even the Trump campaign, recognizing that getting supporters to mail ballots in is key to winning elections, has been pushing Republicans to use the technique.

Some Pennsylvania Republicans have worried Trump is hobbling the party by making its voters distrust the easiest method of voting during the pandemic. Others argue the gap will close in the fall, when Democrats aren’t the only ones to have a presidential candidate on the ballot.

“They had that Bernie and Biden thing going, and it drove some enthusiasm, as it naturally would,” said Dave Feidt, the party chairman in Dauphin County, home to the state capital of Harrisburg. “But to come full circle, you’ll see a very different dynamic in the fall when things are R against D.”

Democrats are elated with their mail ballot lead, saying it reflects their voters’ excitement. “They’re willing to crawl through broken glass to make sure they participate,” said Democratic National Committee spokesman David Bergstein.

The party has also shifted its campaign tactics, building upon its success in Wisconsin, where the state party pushed mail voting heavily and Democrats won a contested state supreme court election in April. The party has distributed new call scripts to volunteers with detailed instructions on mail voting and ensured there are experts who can walk confused voters through requesting ballots. People marooned at home are answering phones and texts at a notably higher rate, Bergstein said.

Pennsylvania has revealed one potential weak spot for Democrats in the mail voting era – African Americans voters, who operatives say have been requesting ballots at lower rates. Claudette Williams, a black Democrat running for a state legislative seat in eastern Pennsylvania, has had to replace her regular circuit of black churches with regular Zoom calls with black ministers and their parishioners. Her campaign has also organized “pop-up food banks” to distribute food to the needy, at a distance, during the outbreak.

Normally Williams would be frantically meeting voters in the days before a primary. “Today I have to pick up 60 pounds of meat for a pop-up pantry,” she said Friday.

Republicans have also been testing new ways of reaching voters. Once the lockdowns began, it switched its Trump Victory organizing push to online meetings, says it recruited 300,000 new members who have made millions of calls, often with the aid of the campaign’s app that helps target voters in key states.

“Within just 24 hours, our teams transitioned to an entirely virtual campaign,” said Republican National Committee spokeswoman Mandi Merritt.

Also conducting primaries Tuesday are Indiana, Maryland, Rhode Island and South Dakota.

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