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https://s3.us-west-1.wasabisys.com/virusreports/2020/05/cropped-virus-favicon-32x32.png Infection Archives - Virus Reports https://virusreports.net/tag/infection/ 32 32 Coronavirus: ‘Infection here for many years to come’ https://virusreports.net/coronavirus-infection-here-for-many-years-to-come/ https://virusreports.net/coronavirus-infection-here-for-many-years-to-come/#respond Tue, 21 Jul 2020 17:21:01 +0000 https://virusreports.net/coronavirus-infection-here-for-many-years-to-come/ Image copyright Reuters The UK will be living with coronavirus for many years to come and even a vaccine is unlikely to eliminate it for good, experts are warning.Wellcome Trust director Prof Sir Jeremy Farrar told the House of Commons' Health Committee "things will not be done by Christmas".He went on to say humanity would…

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Coronavirus testing

Image copyright
Reuters

The UK will be living with coronavirus for many years to come and even a vaccine is unlikely to eliminate it for good, experts are warning.

Wellcome Trust director Prof Sir Jeremy Farrar told the House of Commons’ Health Committee “things will not be done by Christmas”.

He went on to say humanity would be living with the virus for “decades”.

It comes after the prime minister said last week he hoped for a return to normality by Christmas.

Boris Johnson made the comments as he set out plans to further ease restrictions, including the opening of leisure centres and indoor swimming pools later this month and the prospect of mass gatherings being allowed from the autumn.

But experts giving evidence to the cross-party group of MPs said it was important to be realistic that the virus would still be here.

Sir Jeremy, a member of Sage, the government advisory body, said the world would be living with Covid-19 for “very many, many years to come”.

“Things will not be done by Christmas. This infection is not going away, it’s now a human endemic infection.

“Even, actually, if we have a vaccine or very good treatments, humanity will still be living with this virus for very many, many years…. decades to come.”

He urged against complacency during the summer, saying the period was a “crucial phase” to prevent a second wave.

“If we have any sense of complacency of ‘this is behind us’, then we will undoubtedly have a second wave, and we could easily be in the same situation again.”

He said it was important to further build up testing capacity as well as investing in treatments and vaccines.

Vaccine ‘unlikely to have durable effect’

Prof Sir John Bell, of the University of Oxford, said he thought it was unlikely that Covid-19 would ever be eliminated despite the positive news announced on Monday that trials by his university had triggered an immune response – an important step in developing a vaccine.

“The reality is that this pathogen is here forever, it isn’t going anywhere,” he told MPs.

“Look at how much trouble they’ve had in eliminating, for example, polio, that eradication programme has been going on for 15 years and they’re still not there.

“So this is going to come and go, and we’re going to get winters where we get a lot of this virus back in action.

Image copyright
Getty Images

“The vaccine is unlikely to have a durable effect that’ll last for a very long time, so we’re going to have to have a continual cycle of vaccinations, and then more disease, and more vaccinations and more disease.

“So I think the idea that we’re going to eliminate it across the population, that’s just not realistic.”

Chief adviser defends government record

The government’s chief medical adviser was also quizzed by MPs.

Prof Chris Whitty was asked at length about the UK’s record so far in tackling coronavirus.

He defended moves to end attempts at trying to contain the virus in March, while defending the actions of ministers accused of announcing lockdown too late.

Image copyright
Getty Images

Crucial evidence about the scale of the outbreak and modelling about how quickly it could spread was presented to ministers on 16 March.

But it was a full week later that a total lockdown was announced.

Prof Whitty said it was not a “huge delay” given the “enormity” of the decision.

He also pointed out that others steps were taken in the meantime, including the closing of schools.

Meanwhile, Health Secretary Matt Hancock has defended the government’s record on testing – and his decision to set the target of providing 100,000 tests a day by the end of April.

The move has been criticised with some describing it as arbitrary.

But Mr Hancock told the Science and Technology Committee, which was sitting after the Health Committee, that it was important because of the need to “scale up” at an unprecedented speed.

“The point of the big, hairy, audacious goal is to say to the whole system, ‘this is where we’re going, you do your bit, let’s get there’.”

UK coronavirus statistics:

  • 45,422 people had died in hospitals, care homes and the wider community after testing positive for coronavirus in the UK as of 5pm on Monday, up by 110 from the day before
  • Separate figures published by the UK’s statistics agencies show there have now been 56,100 deaths registered in the UK where Covid-19 was mentioned on the death certificate
  • In the 24-hour period up to 9am on Tuesday, there had been a further 445 lab-confirmed cases. Overall, a total of 295,817 cases have been confirmed since the outbreak began

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Coronavirus infection Quinnipiac poll shows most voters have been or know someone infected https://virusreports.net/coronavirus-infection-quinnipiac-poll-shows-most-voters-have-been-or-know-someone-infected/ https://virusreports.net/coronavirus-infection-quinnipiac-poll-shows-most-voters-have-been-or-know-someone-infected/#respond Wed, 15 Jul 2020 23:21:34 +0000 https://virusreports.net/coronavirus-infection-quinnipiac-poll-shows-most-voters-have-been-or-know-someone-infected/ A Quinnipiac University poll published Wednesday found that for the first time a majority of voters have been — or know someone — infected by COVID-19. Fifty-three percent of respondents compared to 46% said they have been infected themselves, or they know someone who has had the virus. Voters are also apprehensive about sending children…

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A Quinnipiac University poll published Wednesday found that for the first time a majority of voters have been — or know someone — infected by COVID-19.

Fifty-three percent of respondents compared to 46% said they have been infected themselves, or they know someone who has had the virus.

Voters are also apprehensive about sending children back to school in the fall, according to the study.

Sixty-two percent to 31% of voters don’t think it is safe for students to return to elementary, middle school, or high school, and the majority of voters disapprove of the way President Trump has handled the reopening of schools, 61% to 29%.

Additionally, most voters do not trust Mr. Trump’s information on the coronavirus pandemic, 67% to 30%.

But they do trust Dr. Anthony Fauci, the director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases and adviser on the White House coronavirus task force, 65% to 26%.

The poll surveyed 1,273 voters across the country from July 9 through July 13. The results have a plus or minus 2.8% margin of error.

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Coronavirus infection rate spiking in California, a troubling sign of community spread https://virusreports.net/coronavirus-infection-rate-spiking-in-california-a-troubling-sign-of-community-spread/ https://virusreports.net/coronavirus-infection-rate-spiking-in-california-a-troubling-sign-of-community-spread/#respond Sat, 27 Jun 2020 20:21:23 +0000 https://virusreports.net/coronavirus-infection-rate-spiking-in-california-a-troubling-sign-of-community-spread/ Of the many coronavirus metrics rising in California, one of the most troubling is the rate in which coronavirus test results are now coming back positive.A Times data analysis found that as of Friday, 5.7% of coronavirus test results in California over the preceding seven days came back positive, a rate not seen since early…

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Of the many coronavirus metrics rising in California, one of the most troubling is the rate in which coronavirus test results are now coming back positive.

A Times data analysis found that as of Friday, 5.7% of coronavirus test results in California over the preceding seven days came back positive, a rate not seen since early May. A week ago, the rate was 4.7%, a rate that had been largely stable for June until just Sunday, when there was a dramatic shift in the numbers.

Health officials say the rising percentage of coronavirus test results confirming infection indicated that the virus is beginning to spread in communities as more counties in California ease stay-at-home orders, allowing many businesses to reopen.

The state has seen a surge in COVID-19 cases and hospitalizations in recent weeks that officials attribute to a variety of factors including people increasingly leaving home; holding social gatherings; failing to wear face coverings; outbreaks in nursing homes, prisons, newly opened workplaces and overcrowded homes; and recent political protests.

The so-called “positivity rate” has become an increasingly close-watched indicator of how much the coronavirus is spreading, and its steady rise over the last week is causing concern.

“The numbers do tell us that we’re seeing an increase in community transmission,” Barbara Ferrer, the director of public health for L.A. County, said this week.

On Sunday, the rate of coronavirus tests confirming infection over the previous seven days in California was up to 4.8%. The next day, it was 4.9%. By Tuesday, it was 5.3%, and on Friday, it was 5.7%.

Rural Imperial County, one of the nation’s most important agricultural areas east of San Diego, now has the highest test positivity rate of any county in the state, with a seven-day average of 23% — well over the 8% rate that causes particular concern among state officials. Outbreaks there have overwhelmed local hospitals, forcing more than 500 patients to be sent to other counties for care.

The situation in Imperial County is so bad that Newsom said Friday the state was recommending that county officials reimpose a strict stay-at-home order — the first time officials have taken such a drastic move. With 5,744 cases and 73 deaths, Imperial County has the highest rate of coronavirus cases per capita in California, according to The Times’ pandemic tracker.

“We are advising and counseling them to move forward and reinstitute a stay-at-home order, but they will move at their discretion,” Newsom said. “If they are not able to come to some consensus, I am committed to intervening as is my role and responsibility as governor in the state of California.”

Imperial is among an increasing number of California counties the state is monitoring because they have exceeded criteria set by the state to address the pandemic, including thresholds for hospitalizations and positive COVID-19 tests.

Initially, the list was focused on Southern California and the San Joaquin Valley, but now has spread to the Bay Area. Including Imperial, the 15 counties are Contra Costa, Fresno, Kern, Kings, Los Angeles, Riverside, Sacramento, San Bernardino, San Joaquin, Santa Barbara, Santa Clara, Stanislaus, Tulare and Ventura.

Newsom urged people in denial about the worsening pandemic to realize the new reality.

“Let us disabuse ourselves that somehow — the lazy punditry that was out there — that somehow this is a seasonal disease and triple-digit weather will annihilate it. Look at these states that are seeing unprecedented record increases,” Newsom said.

Conditions were also deteriorating Friday in San Bernardino County. Officials there said local hospitals are beginning to reach “surge capacity” because of new coronavirus cases, meaning they are getting close to hitting their licensed limits for the number of available beds.

They stressed that there is still room for more patients but said the system is becoming stressed. The county said it would consider opening alternate care sites for patients if hospitals fill up.

California has seen a 36% increase in hospitalizations of patients with confirmed COVID-19 disease, and a 24% jump in ICU patients with verified infections, over the past 14 days.

Los Angeles County is also recording an increasing rate of test results coming back positive for the coronavirus. On Friday, 8.8% of coronavirus test results were confirming infections as a daily average over the past week. Two weeks ago, on June 12, it was 5.8%.

While the rate of positive test results can help show the influence of more robust testing on rising case counts, there are still some pitfalls.

At the beginning of the pandemic, tests were limited and often only available to critically ill patients. Now in many parts of California, people without symptoms may be able to get swabbed for the virus. That would drive the positive rate down.

“At the end of the day, it’s really not telling us for sure what’s happening in the community,” said Ron Brookmeyer, a biostatistician and dean at the UCLA Fielding School of Public Health. “A falling positivity rate could be reflecting just that there’s a skew now, a shifting of who’s coming in for testing.”

Nonetheless, Brookmeyer said the recent increase in California’s positivity rate is a “troubling early warning sign,” adding that rising hospitalizations and deaths could follow.

“I would next be keeping a very careful eye on numbers of new hospitalizations,” he said.

In L.A. County, there were 1,302 hospitalized with confirmed coronavirus infections on June 1. As of Thursday, there were 1,660 — a 27% increase.

The worsening pandemic has caused Newsom to put a pause on issuing rules that would allow counties to reopen other industries, such as amusement parks. As a result, Disney said this week that Disneyland will not be able to open as previously planned on July 17.

There’s nothing to suggest California will be able to allow counties to open more industries any time soon, based on the rising cases and hospitalizations, Newsom said.

Newsom warned that the number of new daily deaths will likely go up in a few weeks. It can take three to four weeks after exposure to the virus for infected people to be hospitalized, and four to five weeks after exposure for patients to die from the disease.

Rising levels of disease caused several counties in the San Francisco Bay Area to signal a slowdown in the reopening process.

San Francisco is experiencing a surge in rates of COVID-19 infection and will have to pause its reopening, the city’s health director said Friday.

Businesses that were scheduled to reopen Monday will now stay closed, said Dr. Grant Colfax, director of the San Francisco Department of Public Health.

They include hair salons, barbershops, tattoo parlors, zoos, outdoor bars and outdoor swimming pools. On June 14, 2.7 people per 100,000 tested positive for the virus, Colfax said in a virtual news conference. By Thursday, that rate had jumped to 5.1 per 100,000.

“We went from a yellow to a high orange, and if that continues over the next couple of days, we could be in our red zone,” which could trigger more restrictions, Colfax said. He said hospital capacity remained “relatively good.”

In Marin County, officials decided to pause the reopening of gyms, tattoo parlors and nail salons that was planned for Monday, although they will allow indoor dining and haircuts to resume on that day.

The Bay Area’s third most populous county, Contra Costa, has seen its number of COVID-19 hospitalizations rise by 42% in the last seven days.

“This … indicates a true increase in community spread,” officials said. Younger people are also increasingly getting infected, with 55% of cases in people aged 40 or younger; in April, they comprised only 38% of cases.

“It’s a sign that younger people are playing a major role in driving the increase in new cases and potentially infecting vulnerable individuals. This highlights why it’s important for everyone to avoid social gatherings, observe physical distancing and wear masks or face coverings when around others,” Contra Costa County officials said.

“There is concern that these increases may lead to a surge in very ill people that could overwhelm the local healthcare system,” officials said.

Officials raised the possibility that Contra Costa County would delay the reopening of businesses that are scheduled to reopen on Wednesday, including indoor dining, bars, gyms, hotels, nail salons and tattoo parlors.

“We realize many people are eager to resume normal activities. However, if we adjust the reopening timeline, it will be because we have a chance to prevent the pandemic from getting out of control in the county,” Contra Costa County officials said.

Times staff writers Maura Dolan in San Francisco and Phil Willon in Sacramento contributed to this report.

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Coronavirus infection may make pregnant women more severely ill, CDC says https://virusreports.net/coronavirus-infection-may-make-pregnant-women-more-severely-ill-cdc-says/ https://virusreports.net/coronavirus-infection-may-make-pregnant-women-more-severely-ill-cdc-says/#respond Thu, 25 Jun 2020 23:21:00 +0000 https://virusreports.net/coronavirus-infection-may-make-pregnant-women-more-severely-ill-cdc-says/ Coronavirus infection may make pregnant women more severely ill, CDC says - CNN

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Coronavirus infection may make pregnant women more severely ill, CDC says – CNN
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Why is the coronavirus infection usually mild in children? Here’s a new clue https://virusreports.net/why-is-the-coronavirus-infection-usually-mild-in-children-heres-a-new-clue/ https://virusreports.net/why-is-the-coronavirus-infection-usually-mild-in-children-heres-a-new-clue/#respond Sat, 23 May 2020 17:21:08 +0000 https://virusreports.net/why-is-the-coronavirus-infection-usually-mild-in-children-heres-a-new-clue/ One of the biggest mysteries of the new coronavirus is its relative harmlessness in most children who get infected. At least part of the explanation may be in the cells lining their noses, according to a new study by researchers at the Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai in New York City. The researchers…

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One of the biggest mysteries of the new coronavirus is its relative harmlessness in most children who get infected.

At least part of the explanation may be in the cells lining their noses, according to a new study by researchers at the Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai in New York City.

The researchers started with archived samples of cells from the nasal lining, or epithelium, of people ages 4 to 60. Then they measured the activity of a gene that directs production of ACE2, a protein that helps coronavirus enter the body. It turned out that ACE2 gene “expression” — the DNA instructions that are converted into a functional molecule — was lower in young children, and that expression increased with age.

“Few studies have examined the relationship between ACE2 in the airway and age,” the team wrote in a letter published Wednesday in JAMA Network. “The results from this study show age-dependent expression of ACE2 in nasal epithelium, the first point of contact for [the coronavirus] and the human body. “

The implications of that are intriguing, but not yet clear, said Ishminder Kaur, an epidemiologist and infectious-disease specialist at St. Christopher’s Hospital for Children in Philadelphia. The reduced ACE2 gene expression in children suggests, but doesn’t prove, that children create less of the protein that the virus uses as its gateway, or receptor.

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“It’s a signal, but does that translate to lower protein production, or less receptor activity?” Kaur asked. “Like any good study, it generates its own set of questions.”

ACE2 (short for angiotensin converting enzyme 2) is part of a complex system that regulates blood pressure, fluid, and mineral balance in the body. Because ACE2 also helps the coronavirus take hold in the nose, lungs, and other organs, it has become a subject of interest. For example, researchers are studying whether common blood pressure medicines that stimulate ACE2 can make COVID-19 more deadly — or less so because ACE2 tamps down inflammation and tissue scarring.

The mystery of COVID-19 in children has been as puzzling as it is a relief. Children, who make up fewer than 2% of identified cases, generally have mild symptoms or none, and rarely die of the infection.

That’s the opposite of the seasonal influenza, which can be devastating in young children because their immune systems have not matured, and they don’t have prior exposure to most flu strains. Flu vaccination is recommended to protect them.

But immune response may be just part of the puzzle.

To see whether the ACE2 gene may play a role, the Mount Sinai team used nasal lining samples that were provided by 305 people for a study conducted between 2015 and 2018. Half of them had asthma, which was the focus of the study.

The samples were categorized by age — children under 10, children 10 to 17, young adults 18 to 24, and adults 25 and over. ACE2 gene activity was lowest in children under 10, and rose steadily and significantly with age. (The results were statistically adjusted to make sure asthma didn’t skew them.)

Although the researchers, led by pediatrician Supinda Bunyavanich, found ACE2 gene expression was linked to age, they noted that a study conducted before the pandemic of patients with severe respiratory distress found no link between ACE2 protein activity and age. However, that study didn’t examine gene expression, and “the lung and nasal environments are distinct, with known differences in gene expression.”

Even if the new study helps answer a basic question about pediatric COVID-19, more questions are arising. Late last month, British authorities warned about a rare but severe inflammatory syndrome in young children that appears to be a delayed complication of COVID-19 infection. Now, pediatricians around the world, including Kaur at St. Christopher’s, are recognizing and reporting what is being called “pediatric multi-system inflammatory syndrome temporally associated with COVID-19.″

“Our understanding of the coronavirus is constantly evolving,” Kaur said.

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Why we need more research on animal infection with the new coronavirus https://virusreports.net/why-we-need-more-research-on-animal-infection-with-the-new-coronavirus/ https://virusreports.net/why-we-need-more-research-on-animal-infection-with-the-new-coronavirus/#respond Sat, 23 May 2020 09:22:03 +0000 https://virusreports.net/why-we-need-more-research-on-animal-infection-with-the-new-coronavirus/ A new review argues that not enough research has analyzed the implications of animals acquiring SARS-CoV-2.Share on PinterestNew research suggests that scientists should pay more attention to the impact of the new coronavirus on livestock and pets.A review in the journal Vector-Borne and Zoonotic Diseases argues that scientists have not conducted enough research on the…

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A new review argues that not enough research has analyzed the implications of animals acquiring SARS-CoV-2.

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New research suggests that scientists should pay more attention to the impact of the new coronavirus on livestock and pets.

A review in the journal Vector-Borne and Zoonotic Diseases argues that scientists have not conducted enough research on the role that animals play in the COVID-19 pandemic.

The authors of the new review suggest that animals could play an important role in the transmission of the virus, that infected animals may affect food security, and that service animals that rely on their sense of smell may no longer be able to perform this function if they acquire the infection.

Although researchers now widely accept that SARS-CoV-2 transmitted to humans from animals via an intermediary animal host, they know much less about the role of animals in relation to the pandemic as it spreads across the world.

So far, scientists have conducted little research to explore:

  • to what extent animals can contract the virus
  • which animals are most susceptible to infection
  • whether or not animals can transmit the virus to each other
  • whether or not animals can transmit the virus to humans
  • what effect the virus has on animals

In the absence of this evidence, public health bodies around the world have generally downplayed the role of animals in transmitting the infection.

For example, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) say that “[b]ased on the limited information available to date, the risk of animals spreading COVID-19 to people is considered to be low.”

However, review co-author Prof. Tracey McNamara — from the Western University of Health Sciences in Pomona, CA — and colleagues argue that “[a]bsence of evidence is not the same thing as evidence of absence.”

According to Prof. McNamara and team: “In the immediacy of the COVID-19 crisis, the focus has understandably been on human health. But we have ignored the opposite side of the coin of emerging zoonotic disease threats — the animals themselves.

“This lack of a One Health approach has resulted in an unnecessary delay in the investigation of important veterinary issues as they pertain to public health. Had we taken a proactive approach, we could have gotten ahead of this.”

The review’s authors highlight three areas where animal infection with SARS-CoV-2 could be a critical issue.

First, they point out that animals may play some role in prolonging the pandemic by being reservoirs for the transmission of the virus to humans.

According to the CDC, reservoirs are “the habitat in which the [infectious] agent normally lives, grows, and multiplies. Reservoirs include humans, animals, and the environment.”

To determine the role that animals may play in the transmission of the virus, the authors call for research to explore which animals are more likely to acquire the infection, the period of infectivity, what the sources of infection may be, and to what extent animals can infect humans.

Second, the authors point out that infected poultry or livestock may affect food security, either by damaging the animals themselves or by spreading the virus to agricultural workers, food service providers, and people who live in rural areas.

Third, the authors point out that service dogs — which rely on their sense of smell when identifying explosives and narcotics and when conducting search and rescue — may become less effective if they acquire the virus. This is because there are emerging anecdotal reports that the virus can reduce humans’ sense of smell.

Although the review argues that these are all possible issues, it is important to note that until scientists conduct more research, we cannot know what effect the virus may have on animals and what effect this may have on humans.

Understanding the possible role that animals may play in relation to the pandemic is valuable.

Indeed, according to Dr. Stephen Higgs — editor-in-chief of Vector-Borne and Zoonotic Diseases and director of the Biosecurity Research Institute at Kansas State University in Manhattan — “[t]he potential for zoonotic SARS-CoV-2 to infect companion animals has been a topic of much discussion.”

“With over 3 million cases of COVID-19 and over a quarter of a million deaths worldwide so far since January, it is vital that we understand the risks posed by domestic animals as a possible source for human infection. This review brings all of what we know about SARS-CoV-2, pets, and other animals to our readership.”

For live updates on the latest developments regarding the novel coronavirus and COVID-19, click here.

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Coronavirus infection ‘R’ rate in UK creeps up https://virusreports.net/coronavirus-infection-r-rate-in-uk-creeps-up/ https://virusreports.net/coronavirus-infection-r-rate-in-uk-creeps-up/#respond Fri, 15 May 2020 21:23:12 +0000 https://virusreports.net/coronavirus-infection-r-rate-in-uk-creeps-up/ Image copyright Getty Images The infection rate in the UK has gone up and is close to the point where the virus starts spreading rapidly, government scientific advice says. The so-called "R-number" is now between 0.7 and 1.0 - it needs to be kept below one in order to stay in control. The rise in…

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The infection rate in the UK has gone up and is close to the point where the virus starts spreading rapidly, government scientific advice says.

The so-called “R-number” is now between 0.7 and 1.0 – it needs to be kept below one in order to stay in control.

The rise in the figures is thought to be driven by the virus spreading in care homes and hospitals.

The effect of the changes to lockdown announced by the prime minister on Sunday is still unknown.

R is the number of people each infected person passes the virus on to, on average. If it is 2 then 10 infected people would pass it onto 20 others. But if is 0.5 then 10 infected people pass it onto 5 others.

The R-number had been sitting between 0.5 and 0.9. Any increase limits the ability of politicians to lift lockdown measures.

Health secretary Matt Hancock said the R-number was an “incredibly important figure” and it was important to note “we don’t think that it is above one”.

The number of new cases is still falling in the UK, but not as quickly as in the past. Sources said that progress was “getting closer to flat”.

This could cause problems as low numbers of cases are needed to make it easier to perform mass testing and find the people anyone carrying the virus have come into contact with.

The latest analysis takes account of the spread of coronavirus in care homes, hospitals and more widely in society.

As the figures are based on patients ending up in hospital, they actually give a sense of the R-number from around three weeks ago.

That predates Boris Johnson’s shift in England from “stay at home” to “stay alert”, alongside encouraging some people back to work and allowing people to meet one person from outside their household outdoors.

The increase in the infection rate is said to be “consistent with” a significant fall in cases in the community and the epidemic and in turn the R-number being driven by care homes.

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Media captionWhat is the R number and what does it mean?

Sir Patrick Vallance, the government chief scientific adviser said: “To keep R below one and control the virus, it is vital that people stay alert and continue to follow the latest government guidelines to the letter.”

Meanwhile, the Department of Health said it recorded another 384 deaths of people in the UK, bringing the total number to have died following a positive coronavirus test to 33,998.

What does this mean for me?

The big question is how the rise in the R number will affect plans to lift lockdown.

If R goes above 1 then there could be a “second peak” in cases and this is what politicians are trying to avoid.

The rise could mean the government has less wiggle room to lift restrictions and we’ll have to live with them for longer.

But it is important to understand why the infection rate has increased.

One explanation is a large drop in cases in the general public means the R-number is reflecting what is happening in care homes in hospitals.

That could mean there is still capacity to lift parts of lockdown in most parts of society.

Regional differences

Coronavirus disease modelling, published by the University of Cambridge, has also given a picture of how different regions of England are coping.

The figures do not perfectly match those from the SAGE group of government scientific advisors because it assesses multiple models to reach its conclusions.

The Cambridge study, backed by Public Health England, shows London has made the most progress with suppressing the virus, while it is proving far more stubborn in the north-east of England.

Those figures are more optimistic than other groups’ calculations.

The Cambridge team calculated the figures by working backwards from the number of deaths. However, they have looked only at deaths confirmed with a genetic test rather than all deaths.

Similar work by the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine puts the number for London at 0.6 and the South West at 0.9. They also showed the R-values were 0.8 in Wales, and 1 in both Scotland and Northern Ireland.

However, claims there are now just 24 cases a day in the capital and that it could soon be free of the virus have been criticised.

There were in fact 49 people admitted to London hospitals with Covid-19 yesterday and probably hundreds of cases that did not need hospital treatment.

“I am extremely worried about the media message that London could be coronavirus free in days,” said Prof Matt Keeling, from the University of Warwick.

He added: “If people think London is coronavirus-free that could be dangerous, and could lead to complacency, undermining all the struggles and sacrifices that everyone has made so far. A relaxation of vigilance could easily see R increasing above 1, and a second epidemic wave.”

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Rare, mysterious infection affecting children amid COVID-19 pandemic https://virusreports.net/rare-mysterious-infection-affecting-children-amid-covid-19-pandemic/ https://virusreports.net/rare-mysterious-infection-affecting-children-amid-covid-19-pandemic/#respond Thu, 14 May 2020 07:22:12 +0000 https://virusreports.net/rare-mysterious-infection-affecting-children-amid-covid-19-pandemic/ Our European visitors are important to us. This site is currently unavailable to visitors from the European Economic Area while we work to ensure your data is protected in accordance with applicable EU laws.

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This site is currently unavailable to visitors from the European Economic Area while we work to ensure your data is protected in accordance with applicable EU laws.

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Coronavirus infection in children may not start with a cough: researchers https://virusreports.net/coronavirus-infection-in-children-may-not-start-with-a-cough-researchers/ https://virusreports.net/coronavirus-infection-in-children-may-not-start-with-a-cough-researchers/#respond Wed, 13 May 2020 15:21:14 +0000 https://virusreports.net/coronavirus-infection-in-children-may-not-start-with-a-cough-researchers/ Get all the latest news on coronavirus and more delivered daily to your inbox. Sign up here.Coronavirus infection in children may not start with a cough, researchers warn in a new study.The small study, which is published in the journal Frontiers in Pediatrics, says that gastrointestinal symptoms, as well as a fever and exposure to coronavirus,…

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Coronavirus infection in children may not start with a cough, researchers warn in a new study.

The small study, which is published in the journal Frontiers in Pediatrics, says that gastrointestinal symptoms, as well as a fever and exposure to coronavirus, could indicate COVID-19 infection in children.

“Children suffering from sickness and diarrhea, coupled with a fever or history of exposure to coronavirus, should be suspected of being infected with COVID-19,” the researchers said in a statement.

CHILLING VIDEO REVEALS HOW CORONAVIRUS SPREADS FROM A SINGLE COUGH IN A SUPERMARKET

The research is based on five children with non-respiratory symptoms who were hospitalized at the Wuhan Children’s Hospital in China between Jan. 23 and Feb. 20, 2020. All of the children, whose ages ranged from 2 months to 5.6 years, were later confirmed to have pneumonia and COVID-19.

“These children were seeking medical advice in the emergency department for unrelated problems, for example, one had a kidney stone, another a head trauma,” said the study’s author Dr. Wenbin Li, who works at the Tongji Hospital in Wuhan, in the statement. “All had pneumonia confirmed by chest CT scan before or soon after admission and then confirmed to have COVID-19. While their initial symptoms may have been unrelated, or their COVID-19 symptoms were initially mild or relatively hidden before their admission to hospital, importantly, 4 of the 5 cases had digestive tract symptoms as the first manifestation of this disease.”

SCIENTISTS TRACK ‘ALARMING’ CORONAVIRUS SPREAD IN SOUTH KOREAN CALL CENTER

“The virus infects people via the ACE2 receptor, which can be found in certain cells in the lungs as well as the intestines,” Li explained. “This suggests that COVID-19 might infect patients not only through the respiratory tract in the form of air droplets, but also through the digestive tract by contact or fecal-oral transmission.”

Li says that more research is needed to confirm the findings.

“We report five cases of COVID-19 in children showing non-respiratory symptoms as the first manifestation after admission to hospital,” he said, in the statement. “The incidence and clinical features of similar cases needs further study in more patients.”

The coronavirus is widely believed to have first emerged in December in the Chinese city of Wuhan. While scientists have not yet worked out how exactly how the novel coronavirus first infected people, there is evidence that it originated in bats, which spread to another animal, possibly a pangolin, at a “wet market” in Wuhan.

PANGOLINS CAN CARRY CORONAVIRUS-RELATED STRAINS, SCIENTISTS SAY

In addition to selling fresh meat, fish and produce, wet markets typically sell an array of exotic animals and pangolins have already been eyed as a possible host.

CLICK HERE FOR COMPLETE  CORONAVIRUS COVERAGE

As of Wednesday morning, more than 4.27 million coronavirus cases have been diagnosed worldwide, at least 1,370,016 of which are in the U.S., according to data compiled by Johns Hopkins University. The disease has accounted for at least 292,316 deaths around the world, including at least 82,389 people in the U.S.

Fox News’ Greg Norman and the Associated Press contributed to this article. Follow James Rogers on Twitter @jamesjrogers

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Coronavirus infection in children—it may not start with a cough https://virusreports.net/coronavirus-infection-in-children-it-may-not-start-with-a-cough/ https://virusreports.net/coronavirus-infection-in-children-it-may-not-start-with-a-cough/#respond Tue, 12 May 2020 11:21:05 +0000 https://virusreports.net/coronavirus-infection-in-children-it-may-not-start-with-a-cough/ Credit: CC0 Public Domain Children suffering from sickness and diarrhea, coupled with a fever or history of exposure to coronavirus, should be suspected of being infected with COVID-19, recommends a new study published in Frontiers in Pediatrics. The research also suggests that the gastrointestinal symptoms first suffered by some children hints at potential infection through…

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coughing
Credit: CC0 Public Domain

Children suffering from sickness and diarrhea, coupled with a fever or history of exposure to coronavirus, should be suspected of being infected with COVID-19, recommends a new study published in Frontiers in Pediatrics.

The research also suggests that the first suffered by some hints at potential infection through the , as the type of receptors in cells in the lungs targeted by the virus can also be found in the intestines.

“Most children are only mildly affected by COVID-19 and the few severe cases often have underlying health issues. It is easy to miss its diagnosis in the early stage, when a child has non- or suffers from another illness,” says author of this study, Dr. Wenbin Li, who works at the Department of Pediatrics, Tongji Hospital, Wuhan, China.

He continues, “Based on our experience of dealing with COVID-19, in regions where this virus is epidemic, children suffering from digestive tract symptoms, especially with fever and/or a history of exposure to this disease, should be suspected of being infected with this virus.”

In this study, Li and his colleagues detail the clinical features of children admitted to hospital with non-respiratory symptoms, which were subsequently diagnosed with pneumonia and COVID-19.

“These children were seeking medical advice in the emergency department for unrelated problems, for example, one had a kidney stone, another a head trauma. All had pneumonia confirmed by chest CT scan before or soon after admission and then confirmed to have COVID-19. While their initial symptoms may have been unrelated, or their COVID-19 symptoms were initially mild or relatively hidden before their admission to hospital, importantly, 4 of the 5 cases had digestive tract symptoms as the first manifestation of this disease.”

By highlighting these cases, Li hopes that doctors will use this information to quickly diagnose and isolate patients with similar symptoms, which will aid early treatment and reduce transmission.

The researchers also link the children’s gastrointestinal symptoms, which have been recorded in , to an additional potential route of infection.

Li explains, “The gastro-intestinal symptoms experienced by these children may be related to the distribution of receptors and the transmission pathway associated with COVID-19 infection in humans. The virus infects people via the ACE2 receptor, which can be found in certain cells in the lungs as well as the intestines. This suggests that COVID-19 might infect patients not only through the in the form of air droplets, but also through the digestive tract by contact or fecal-oral transmission.”

While COVID-19 tests can occasionally produce false positive readings, Li is certain all these five children were infected with the disease, but he cautions that more research is needed to confirm their findings.

“We report five cases of COVID-19 in children showing non-respiratory symptoms as the first manifestation after admission to hospital. The incidence and clinical features of similar cases needs further study in more patients.”



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