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Between Archives - Virus Reports https://virusreports.net/tag/between/ Thu, 30 Jul 2020 12:21:27 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.7.7 https://s3.us-west-1.wasabisys.com/virusreports/2020/05/cropped-virus-favicon-32x32.png Between Archives - Virus Reports https://virusreports.net/tag/between/ 32 32 The Gulf Between Republicans and Democrats on Coronavirus Aid, in 9 Charts https://virusreports.net/the-gulf-between-republicans-and-democrats-on-coronavirus-aid-in-9-charts/ https://virusreports.net/the-gulf-between-republicans-and-democrats-on-coronavirus-aid-in-9-charts/#respond Thu, 30 Jul 2020 12:21:27 +0000 https://virusreports.net/the-gulf-between-republicans-and-democrats-on-coronavirus-aid-in-9-charts/ Republican plan $1.1 trillion Already passed $3.2 trillion Democratic plan $3.4 trillion Small-business aid $158 billion $1,010 billion $0 billion Other measures 81 627 302 203 346 36 Business tax breaks Stimulus checks 300 293 436 111 277 382 Health care 110 274 437 Unemployment benefits State and local aid 105 256 1,118 Safety net…

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Republican plan

$1.1 trillion

Already passed

$3.2 trillion

Democratic plan

$3.4 trillion

Small-business aid

$158 billion

$1,010 billion

$0 billion

Other measures

81

627

302

203

346

36

Business tax breaks

Stimulus checks

300

293

436

111

277

382

Health care

110

274

437

Unemployment benefits

State and local aid

105

256

1,118

Safety net and other tax cuts

18

83

736

Republican plan

$1.1 trillion

Already passed

$3.2 trillion

Democratic plan

$3.4 trillion

Small-business aid

$158 billion

$1,010 billion

$0 billion

Other measures

81

627

302

203

346

36

Business tax breaks

Stimulus checks

300

293

436

111

277

382

Health care

110

274

437

Unemployment benefits

State and local aid

105

256

1,118

Safety net, other tax cuts

18

83

736

Already

passed

$3.2 trillion

Republican

plan

$1.1 trillion

Democratic

plan

$3.4 trillion

158

627

81

302

346

203

36

293

300

436

277

111

382

274

110

437

256

105

1,118

83

18

736

Analysis of data from The Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget. About $800 billion of the aid that has already passed, primarily in the form of loans, is not expected to add to the deficit.

There is little overlap in the plans released by Democrats and Republicans for another round of federal aid to address the Covid-19 pandemic. The House Democrats’ opening offer, a $3.4 trillion package that passed the chamber in May, would extend $600 weekly unemployment payments and provide $1 trillion more in state and local aid.

The Senate Republican plan, a $1.1 trillion package announced Monday, includes scaled-back unemployment benefits and more funding for small-business loans.

The Republican bill has not yet received an official cost projection, but the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget has analyzed both measures. Here, based on that data, is how the two parties’ proposals compare with each other and with the more than $3 trillion in federal support passed by Congress since March:

Unemployment Benefits

Congress is facing increasing pressure to come to an agreement because weekly unemployment benefit payments of $600 expire for millions of Americans this week. Republicans have proposed reducing the additional benefit, which is added to regular state payments, to $200 per week through September, with a plan to set total benefits at 70 percent of lost income after that. Democrats want to continue the higher payments through January.

Republican plan

Already passed

Democratic plan

Additional $600/week payments through July $176 billion

Extend

reduced

benefits

$110 billion*

Extend and expand benefits

$437 billion

Extend benefits to self-employed and others

$35b

Up to 13 additional weeks of benefits $51b

Other $12b

Republican plan

Already passed

Democratic plan

Additional $600/week payments through July $176 billion

Extend

reduced

benefits

$110b*

Extend and expand benefits

$437 billion

Extend benefits to self-employed and others

$35b

Up to 13 additional weeks of benefits $51b

Other $12b

Republican plan

Already passed

Democratic plan

Additional $600/week payments through July $176 billion

Extend

reduced

benefits

$110

billion*

Extend and expand benefits

$437 billion

Up to 13 additional weeks of benefits $51b

Extend benefits to self-employed and others

$35b

Other $12b

Already passed

Up to 13 additional weeks of benefits $51b

Additional $600/week payments through July $176 billion

Extend benefits to self-employed and others $35b

Other $12b

Republican plan

Extend reduced benefits

$110 billion*

Democratic plan

Extend and expand benefits

$437 billion

*The budget analysts note that this estimate is rough, and actual costs could differ substantially.

Second Round of Stimulus Checks

Both parties include a second round of stimulus checks for individuals. The Democratic plan is more costly, increasing the amount allotted for dependents to $1,200 from $500 and loosening rules to allow undocumented immigrants to receive money.

Republican plan

Already passed

Democratic plan

Second round of stimulus checks

$300 billion

Stimulus checks

$293 billion

Second round of stimulus checks

$413 billion

Loosen rules for

stimulus checks $23b

Republican plan

Already passed

Democratic plan

Second round of stimulus checks

$300 billion

Stimulus checks

$293 billion

Second round of stimulus checks

$413 billion

Loosen rules for

stimulus checks $23b

Republican plan

Already passed

Democratic plan

Second round of stimulus checks

$300 billion

Stimulus checks

$293 billion

Second round of stimulus checks

$413 billion

Loosen rules for

stimulus checks $23b

Already passed

Stimulus checks

$293 billion

Republican plan

Second round of stimulus checks

$300 billion

Democratic plan

Second round of stimulus checks

$413 billion

Loosen rules for stimulus checks $23b

Small-Business Aid

Republicans have proposed more funding for Paycheck Protection loans, in addition to two other lending programs for small businesses. Democrats have not proposed additional loans.

Republican plan

Already passed

“Second draw” Paycheck Protection loans $90b

Emergency small

business loans

$300 billion

Paycheck Protection loans

$670 billion

Recovery sector loans for struggling businesses $58b

Existing loan

subsidies $17b

New small business

investment facility $10b

Small Business

Administration $2b

Republican plan

Already passed

“Second draw” Paycheck Protection loans $90b

Emergency small

business loans

$300 billion

Paycheck Protection loans

$670 billion

Recovery sector loans for struggling businesses $58b

Existing loan

subsidies $17b

New small business

investment facility $10b

Small Business

Administration $2b

“Second draw” Paycheck Protection loans $90b

Emergency small

business loans

$300 billion

Paycheck Protection loans

$670 billion

Recovery sector loans for struggling businesses $58b

Existing loan

subsidies $17b

New small business

investment facility $10b

Small Business

Administration $2b

Already passed

Paycheck Protection loans

$670 billion

Emergency small

business loans

$300 billion

Existing

loan

subsidies

$17b

Small Business

Administration $2b

Republican plan

Recovery sector loans for struggling businesses $58b

“Second draw” Paycheck Protection loans $90b

New small business

investment facility $10b

Aid to State and Local Governments

Democrats have proposed nearly $1 trillion in additional aid to state and local governments to help make up for reduced revenue and increased spending during the pandemic. Both parties propose granting additional funds to states for education, but the Republican plan favors schools that hold in-person classes.

Republican plan

Already passed

Democratic plan

More

Medicaid

funding

$81b

State and local

government aid

$150 billion

More state and local government aid

$915 billion

Education funding $31b

More

education

funding

$90b

Infrastructure grants

$25b

Infrastructure and public

transportation $32b

More education

funding $105b

More

Medicaid

funding

$81b

State and local

government aid

$150 billion

More state and local government aid

$915 billion

Education funding $31b

More

education

funding

$90b

Infrastructure grants

$25b

Infrastructure and public

transportation $32b

More education

funding $105b

More

Medicaid

funding

$81b

State and local

government aid

$150 billion

More state and local government aid

$915 billion

Education funding $31b

More

education

funding

$90b

Infrastructure grants

$25b

Infrastructure and public

transportation $32b

More education

funding $105b

Already passed

State and local

government aid

$150 billion

Infrastructure grants

$25b

Republican plan

More education funding $105b

Democratic plan

More state and local government aid

$915 billion

More education

funding $90b

More Medicaid

funding $81b

Infrastructure and public transportation $32b

Note: Infrastructure grants passed in March were for transit providers, which include state and local governments.

Safety Net and Individual Tax Cuts

Democrats included hundreds of billions of dollars in spending on priorities like safety-net programs, and are calling for the temporary elimination of the cap on the state and local tax deduction that primarily affects blue states.

Republican plan

Already passed

Democratic plan

Eliminate SALT deduction cap for two years

$137 billion

Hazard pay fund for

essential workers

$190 billion

Child care and development grants $15b

More housing support

$202 billion

Increase child tax credit benefits $119 billion

Other $8b

More food

assistance $35b

Tax credits and deductions for workers and child care $35b

Expand use of health savings accounts $9b

Emergency retirement withdrawals $8b

Eliminate SALT deduction cap for two years

$137 billion

Child

care and develop-

ment

grants

$15b

Hazard pay fund for

essential workers

$190 billion

More housing support

$202 billion

Increase child tax credit benefits

$119 billion

Other $8b

More food

assistance $35b

Tax credits and deductions for workers and child care $35b

Expand use of health savings accounts $9b

Emergency retirement withdrawals $8b

Eliminate SALT deduction cap

for two years

$137 billion

Hazard pay fund for

essential workers

$190 billion

Child

care and develop-

ment

grants

$15b

More housing

support

$202 billion

Increase child tax credit benefits

$119 billion

Other $8b

More food

assistance $35b

Tax credits and deductions for workers and child care $35b

Expand use of health savings accounts $9b

Emergency retirement withdrawals $8b

Already passed

Expand use of health savings accounts $9b

Other $8b

Food assistance $46b

Emergency retirement withdrawals $8b

Republican plan

Child care and development

grants $15b

Democratic plan

Increase child tax credit benefits

$119 billion

Eliminate SALT deduction cap for two years

$137 billion

More food

assistance

$35b

Hazard pay fund for

essential workers

$190 billion

More housing support

$202 billion

Tax credits and deductions for workers and child care $35b

Health Care

Both parties have included additional health care spending in their plans. Democrats propose more spending over all, including nearly $100 billion to subsidize continuing health insurance coverage for laid-off workers under COBRA, the Consolidated Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act.

Republican plan

Already passed

Democratic plan

More health agency, community health funding $32b

Reimburse providers for lost revenue and expenses

$100 billion

Health provider funding

$175 billion

Covid-19 treatment cost support

$90b

More

Covid-19 testing and contact tracing

$75b

More health provider funding

$25b

Vaccines, therapeutics, diagnostics $26b

COBRA payments for laid-off workers

$98 billion

Veterans

and

defense

health

$20b

Health agency,

community

health funding

$45b

More

Covid-19

testing

$16b

R&D $3b

More health agency, community

health funding $19b

Republican plan

Already passed

Democratic plan

More health agency, community health funding $32b

Reimburse providers for lost revenue and expenses

$100 billion

Health provider funding

$175 billion

More

Covid-19 testing and contact tracing

$75b

Covid-19 treatment cost support

$90b

More health provider funding

$25b

Vaccines, therapeutics, diagnostics $26b

COBRA payments for laid-off workers

$98 billion

Veterans

and

defense

health

$20b

Health agency,

community

health funding

$45b

More

Covid-19

testing

$16b

R&D $3b

More health agency, community

health funding $19b

Republican plan

Already passed

Democratic plan

More health agency, community health funds $32b

Reimburse providers for lost revenue and expenses

$100 billion

Health provider funding

$175 billion

More

Covid-19 testing and contact tracing

$75b

Covid-19 treatment cost support

$90b

More health provider funding

$25b

Vaccines, therapeutics, diagnostics $26b

COBRA payments for laid-off workers

$98 billion

Health agency, community

health funding $45b

Veterans

and

defense

health

$20b

More

Covid-19

testing

$16b

R&D $3b

More health agency, community

health funding $19b

Already passed

Health agency, community

health funding $45b

Health provider funding

$175 billion

Veterans and

defense health $20b

R&D $3b

Republican plan

More health agency, community health funds $32b

Vaccines, therapeutics, diagnostics $26b

More Covid-19

testing $16b

More health provider funding $25b

Democratic plan

Reimburse providers for lost revenue and expenses

$100 billion

COBRA payments for laid-off workers

$98 billion

Covid-19 treatment cost support $90b

More Covid-19 testing and contact tracing $75b

More health agency, community

health funding $19b

Note: Congress also passed changes to Medicare in March that will result in an estimated net spending reduction over 10 years.

Business Tax Credits and Deductions

Both parties have proposed expanding a payroll tax credit passed in March, with slightly different parameters.

Republican plan

Already passed

Democratic plan

Paid leave tax credit

$105 billion

Expanded tax credit to retain workers

$100 billion

Expanded tax credit to retain workers $164 billion

Tax credit to retain workers $55b

Tax credit to encourage hiring $50b

Loosen caps on interest deductibility and losses*

$174 billion

Extend and expand paid leave credit $32b

Credits for employer expenses and closed businesses

$73b

Tax credit for Covid-19 protection expenses $50b

Restaurant expense

deduction $3b

Delay payroll taxes $12b

Tax credit for self-employed $21b

Republican plan

Already passed

Democratic plan

Paid leave tax credit

$105 billion

Expanded tax credit to retain workers

$100 billion

Tax credit to retain workers $55b

Expanded tax credit to retain workers $164 billion

Tax credit to encourage hiring $50b

Loosen caps on interest deductibility and losses*

$174 billion

Extend and expand paid leave credit $32b

Credits for employer expenses and closed businesses

$73b

Tax credit for Covid-19 protection expenses $50b

Delay payroll taxes $12b

Restaurant expense

deduction $3b

Tax credit for self-employed $21b

Republican plan

Already passed

Democratic plan

Paid leave tax credit

$105 billion

Expanded tax credit to retain workers

$100 billion

Expanded tax credit to retain workers $164 billion

Tax credit to retain workers $55b

Tax credit to encourage hiring $50b

Loosen caps on interest deductibility and losses*

$174 billion

Extend and expand paid leave credit $32b

Credits for employer expenses and closed businesses

$73b

Tax credit for Covid-19 protection expenses $50b

Restaurant expense

deduction $3b

Delay payroll taxes $12b

Tax credit for self-employed $21b

Already passed

Tax credit to retain workers $55b

Paid leave

tax credit

$105 billion

Loosen caps on interest deductibility and losses*

$174 billion

Delay payroll taxes $12b

Republican plan

Tax credit for Covid-19 protection expenses $50b

Expanded tax credit to retain workers

$100 billion

Tax credit to encourage hiring $50b

Restaurant expense

deduction $3b

Democratic plan

Credits for employer expenses and closed businesses $73b

Expanded tax credit to retain workers

$164 billion

Extend and expand paid leave credit $32b

Tax credit for self-employed $21b

*Democrats have proposed raising $254 billion by reversing this measure passed in March and further limiting business loss deductibility.·The budget analysts note that estimates for the tax credit provisions in the Republican plan are rough, and actual costs could differ substantially.

Other Provisions

Both plans contain a handful of other line items. Some Republican senators were surprised to learn that their plan included $1.75 billion for a new F.B.I. headquarters — a White House demand without a connection to the pandemic.

Republican plan

Already passed

Democratic plan

Loans to airlines and national security firms $46b

Other higher education

funding $169 billion

Airports $10b

Support for $4.5 trillion in

Federal Reserve loans

$454 billion

Changes to retirement

and pension plans

$48b

Other $7b

Student loan

forgiveness

$22b

International

assistance $4b

Defense Production

Act purchases $5b

Aviation tax

suspension $4b

F.B.I. headquarters $2b

Republican plan

Already passed

Democratic plan

Loans to airlines and national security firms $46b

Other higher education

funding $169 billion

Airports $10b

Support for $4.5 trillion in

Federal Reserve loans

$454 billion

Changes to retirement and pension plans $48b

Other $15b

Defense

contract-

ors $11b

Other $7b

Student loan

forgiveness

$22b

Aviation tax

suspension $4b

International

assistance $4b

Defense Production

Act purchases $5b

F.B.I. headquarters $2b

Loans to airlines and national security firms $46b

Other higher education

funding $169 billion

Airports $10b

Support for $4.5 trillion in

Federal Reserve loans

$454 billion

Changes to retirement and pension plans $48b

Other $15b

Defense

contract-

ors $11b

Other $7b

Student loan

forgiveness

$22b

Aviation tax

suspension $4b

International

assistance $4b

Defense Production

Act purchases $5b

F.B.I. headquarters $2b

Already passed

Support for $4.5 trillion in

Federal Reserve loans

$454 billion

Loans to airlines and national security firms $46b

Aviation tax

suspension $4b

Republican plan

F.B.I.

Other $15b

Airports $10b

Defense Production

Act purchases $5b

Democratic plan

Changes to retirement and pension plans $48b

Other higher education

funding $169 billion

Student

loan

forgive-

ness $22b

Other $7b

Read More

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The Worrisome Link Between Deforestation And Disease https://virusreports.net/the-worrisome-link-between-deforestation-and-disease/ https://virusreports.net/the-worrisome-link-between-deforestation-and-disease/#respond Mon, 22 Jun 2020 13:21:04 +0000 https://virusreports.net/the-worrisome-link-between-deforestation-and-disease/ The closer humans are to animals, the greater the opportunity for zoonotic spillover, where a pathogen jumps from animal to human. Zoë van Dijk for NPR hide caption toggle caption Zoë van Dijk for NPR The closer humans are to animals, the greater the opportunity for zoonotic spillover, where a pathogen jumps from animal to…

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The closer humans are to animals, the greater the opportunity for zoonotic spillover, where a pathogen jumps from animal to human.

Zoë van Dijk for NPR


hide caption

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Zoë van Dijk for NPR

The closer humans are to animals, the greater the opportunity for zoonotic spillover, where a pathogen jumps from animal to human.

Zoë van Dijk for NPR

In 2013, an 18-month old boy got sick after playing near a hollow tree in his backyard, in a remote West African village. He developed a fever and started vomiting. His stool turned black. Two days later, he died.

Two years and more than 11,000 deaths later, the World Health Organization put out a report saying the Ebola outbreak that likely emanated from that hollow tree may have been caused in part by deforestation, led by “foreign mining and timber operations.”

The tree the boy played near was infested with fruit bats — bats that may have been pushed into the boy’s village because upwards of 80 percent of their natural habitat had been destroyed.

“When you disturb a forest, it actually upsets, if you want, the balance of nature, the balance between pathogens and people,” says John E. Fa, a professor of biodiversity and human development at Manchester Metropolitan University, who was part of a team of researchers that linked recent forest loss to 25 Ebola outbreaks that have occurred since 1976.

A finding, he says, that showed a strong correlation between recent deforestation and disease outbreaks.

Scientists have long warned that the reshaping of Earth’s landscapes will have broad ramifications for the climate and biodiversity. A growing body of evidence shows that forest loss and fragmentation can also increase the risk of animal-borne infectious disease, similar to the type that’s currently upending the world.

Fires Where They Are 'Not Supposed To Happen' In Australia's Ancient Rainforest

Health experts say that the novel coronavirus, which has killed nearly half a million people worldwide, originated in an animal. Likely, a bat. And while it’s too soon to know whether deforestation or land-use change played any role in its path to becoming a global pandemic, there are concerns that the economic ruin it’s leaving behind could help set the stage for future pandemics.

There have been reports of increased deforestation in Southeast Asia, Africa and South America in the last few months, as governments have eased regulations and directed their resources and attention towards coronavirus response.

“The perception that people are getting from the media is that nature is getting a break from the virus,” says Edward Barbier, a distinguished professor in the Department of Economics at Colorado State University. “However, what’s happening in tropical forests in particular is basically a field-day for illegal activities.”

A field-day, he says, that could increase the risk of future outbreaks.

A burned area of the Amazon rainforest in Para state, Brazil, in 2019. A growing body of evidence shows that forest loss and fragmentation can increase the risk of animal-borne infectious disease like coronaviruses.

Leo Correa/AP


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Leo Correa/AP

A burned area of the Amazon rainforest in Para state, Brazil, in 2019. A growing body of evidence shows that forest loss and fragmentation can increase the risk of animal-borne infectious disease like coronaviruses.

Leo Correa/AP

Zoonotic spillover

A disease that jumps from animals to humans is called a zoonosis. The jump itself — the event in which a pathogen jumps from animal to human or vice versa — is called a zoonotic spillover, or simply a spillover. And it’s more common than you might think.

Six out of every ten diseases in humans, and three-quarters of the world’s emerging infectious diseases, are zoonotic.

Many of them are familiar: Salmonella, malaria, Lyme disease. Others, like Rocky Mountain Spotted Fever or Rift Valley Fever, are more rare. Some are benign. Others, like the coronavirus that causes COVID-19, can be deadly.

For a spillover to occur, a number of things need to line up.

First, a pathogen (think: virus, bacteria, fungus) needs to find a way to make the jump from animal to human. Maybe it gets eaten by a hunter bringing home food. Maybe it gets passed in a mosquito’s bite. Maybe it gets inhaled by a kid playing near a hollow tree.

However the pathogen arrives, its next job is to stick the landing, so to speak, warding off or evading the new body’s defenses long enough for it to replicate and put down roots.

All of this can be made easier for a pathogen by a simple thing: proximity.

The closer humans are to animals (we’re usually the provocateur), the greater the likelihood of interactions between them, and the greater the opportunity for zoonotic spillover.

“A numbers game”

The risk exists everywhere, but is especially high in the tropics where fast-growing human populations abut species-rich forests, says Christina Faust, an infectious disease ecologist at the Center for Infectious Disease Dynamics at Penn State University.

“It’s a numbers game,” she says.

Unfortunately, the tropics also happen to be a hotbed of deforestation.

The world lost a soccer-field sized area of mature, tropical forest every six seconds last year, according to a recent report from the group Global Forest Watch.

Brazil alone accounted for more than one-third of the total loss, as wildfires and logging, largely to clear land for agriculture, tore through large patches of the Amazon.

This year is on pace to be worse. In the first four months deforestation in the Amazon was up 55 percent compared to last year, according to satellite data from Brazil’s space research agency.

MAP: Find Out What New Viruses Are Emerging In Your Backyard

The country’s president, Jair Bolsonaro, has pushed to weaken environmental protections to boost the country’s economy. Last month, his environment minister was reportedly caught on camera calling for more deregulation while the press was distracted with the coronavirus.

Faust has spent much of her career studying spillover between animals and humans, and trying to understand what drives those events. She says there’s a relationship between deforestation and the emergence of zoonotic disease, but it’s not entirely clear why.

“We don’t know if that’s because we’re losing biodiversity that would otherwise… help dilute that pathogen, or if it’s because we have more humans coming in to the area and doing risky behaviors,” she says.

Forests fragmented

The first theory — dilution — runs like this: If a bat sneezes in a forest rich with biodiversity, it’s more likely that the pathogens carried in that sneeze land on another animal rather than a human. But with the world in the middle of a mass extinction, because of human activities and climate change, increasingly, “There’s not much else out there to help pick up that pathogen,” Faust says.

The second theory got a boost from a recent study out of Stanford University, which found that forest fragmentation near Kibale National Park in Western Uganda created more pathways for human-animal interaction.

“By creating more pathways, you create more edges between human landscapes and forested landscapes,” says Laura Bloomfield, a PhD candidate at Stanford University and the study’s lead author.

Bloomfield found that changes to the landscape drove primates, which are known to carry a number of viruses, to come closer to humans to look for food. At the same time, impoverished people looked to the same places for resources to support their families.

The United Nations has expressed concern that the coronavirus pandemic could push hundreds of millions of people into poverty, driving migrations in some parts of the world from cities to more rural areas, like the kind Bloomfield studied in Uganda.

“The only social safety net they have is the waters, the land and the forest,” which they may cut down for food and fuel, Mette Wilkie of the U.N Food and Agriculture Organization told the Thomson Reuters Foundation.

That may feel like a far away dilemma for people in more developed countries, but Bloomfield says the coronavirus pandemic has made clear that “human-animal interaction in one place can cause global devastation.”

“Poking a beehive”

Researchers say there are ways to limit the chances of that happening.

The world could work to limit climate warming greenhouse gas emissions, which are stressing ecosystems and driving extinction, changing the behaviors and range of wild animals.

It could maintain protected areas of habitat, and create buffer zones around them to limit the interactions between people and wildlife.

It could support people in high-risk areas to lessen their dependence on natural resources. Disease, Bloomfield says, is an equity issue.

And it could invest in robust monitoring systems, to identify infectious disease outbreaks before they become pandemics.

The U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID) launched a program after the 2009 H1N1 flu pandemic to help detect viruses with pandemic potential and coordinate a global response. Funding for the program wasn’t renewed in 2019. It’s since been given two six-month extensions to help with COVID19, but that funding expires Sept. 30.

“There’s a lot of strain on governments right now, financially and politically,” says Amy Vittor, an assistant professor at the University of Florida’s Emerging Pathogens Institute, who’s documented links between deforestation and malaria outbreaks. “It’s a very difficult climate for people to actually come together and work on these kinds of international solutions.”

But she says action is needed because the warming climate and land-use changes are not slowing down. Every time humans alter the landscape, Vittor says, it’s kind of like poking a beehive.

“If we continue to poke the beehive in nature, we will continue to see these kinds of events occur.”

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F.B.I. Is Said to Find Links Between Pensacola Gunman and Al Qaeda https://virusreports.net/f-b-i-is-said-to-find-links-between-pensacola-gunman-and-al-qaeda/ https://virusreports.net/f-b-i-is-said-to-find-links-between-pensacola-gunman-and-al-qaeda/#respond Mon, 18 May 2020 16:22:12 +0000 https://virusreports.net/f-b-i-is-said-to-find-links-between-pensacola-gunman-and-al-qaeda/ The gunman in December’s shooting, a Saudi cadet who had trained with the U.S. military, had been in contact with the terrorist group, officials said.Three sailors were killed in the mass shooting in December at a naval air station in Pensacola, Fla.Credit...Kyle Grantham for The New York TimesMay 18, 2020Updated 9:53 a.m. ETWASHINGTON — Federal…

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The gunman in December’s shooting, a Saudi cadet who had trained with the U.S. military, had been in contact with the terrorist group, officials said.

Credit…Kyle Grantham for The New York Times

Katie BennerAdam Goldman

WASHINGTON — Federal investigators found cellphone evidence that links Al Qaeda to last year’s deadly shooting at a United States military base in Pensacola, Fla., according to two American officials briefed on the investigation.

The F.B.I. found that the gunman, Second Lt. Mohammed Saeed Alshamrani, a Saudi Air Force cadet training with the American military, had communicated with a Qaeda operative who had encouraged the attacks, according to the two officials, who were not authorized to speak about it publicly ahead of an 11 a.m. news conference by Attorney General William P. Barr.

The F.B.I. uncovered the links after recently bypassing the security features on at least one of Mr. Alshamrani’s two iPhones without help from Apple, according to the officials. They would not say what methods the investigators used to access the phones, but the move is likely to ease for now tensions between Apple and law enforcement officials who have demanded access to encrypted devices to investigate crimes.

It was not clear whether the Qaeda operative directed Mr. Alshamrani to carry out the December shooting, which killed three sailors and wounded eight people. In an audio recording earlier this year, the leader of Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula claimed that his group directed a Saudi military officer to carry out the shooting.

But Mr. Alshamrani was in touch over time with the Qaeda branch, including its leadership at times, up to the attack, according to one of the officials, who said that Mr. Alshamrani’s ties to the group went beyond simply being inspired to act based on watching YouTube videos or reading extremist propaganda.

Mr. Alshamrani paused to fire at his iPhone during a firefight with security officers and he was found with a second, badly damaged phone that the Saudi destroyed, leading investigators to conclude that the devices held important data. But in January, Apple refused a Justice Department request to help open the iPhones, setting off fears that the government would seek a court order to force the company to comply.

The department said that it sought Apple’s help in opening the phones only after other agencies, foreign governments and third-party technology vendors had failed, and it accused the company of slowing the investigation and allowing leads to go cold.

The Justice Department and the F.B.I. declined to comment. CNN first reported investigators’ discovery of the links between Mr. Alshamrani and Al Qaeda.

Mr. Barr in January designated the shooting an act of terrorism. The night before the attack, Mr. Alshamrani had showed videos of mass shootings to guests at a dinner party, and he had posted anti-American, anti-Israeli and jihadist social media messages.

Three weeks later, Qassim al-Rimi, the leader of Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula, said that his group directed Mr. Alshamrani to commit the murders in Pensacola. Mr. al-Rimi had a copy of what he said was Mr. Alshamrani’s will and messages that seemed to show the gunman had been in contact with the Yemeni-based group.

Soon after the recorded message was released, the United States confirmed that it had killed Mr. al-Rimi in a drone attack, a major blow to one of Qaeda’s last, vibrant branches.

While the F.B.I. has spent the last few years primarily trying to thwart international terrorism inspired by the Islamic State, Christopher A. Wray, the director of the F.B.I., said that Al Qaeda remains a potent threat. Mr. Wray told lawmakers last year that the group still wishes to conduct “large-scale, spectacular attacks.”

“Al Qaeda is more likely to focus on building its international affiliates and supporting small-scale, readily achievable attacks,” Mr. Wray said in testimony to the House Homeland Security Committee in October. “Simultaneously, over the last year, propaganda from Al Qaeda leaders seeks to inspire individuals to conduct their own attacks in the U.S. and the West.”

U.S. counterterrorism efforts have degraded the capabilities of Al Qaeda in Yemen and the Pakistan-Afghanistan region but the Pensacola shooting still shows the group’s ideology can inspire attacks. In 2016, authorities warned of a vague Qaeda threat.

Even though the casualty count was relatively low by Qaeda standards, simply “pulling off a successful attack on U.S. soil can provide Al Qaeda and its affiliates with a momentum boost and allow the group bragging rights over the Islamic State, which is important in terms of recruitment, prestige, and propaganda,” Colin P. Clarke, a senior fellow at the Soufan Center, a New York-based research organization, said in an email on Monday.

Even though the gunman was thought to operate alone, the government expelled 21 other Saudi students who were training with the American military, some of whom had links to extremist movements. After announcing the expulsions, Mr. Barr said that the Saudi government had cooperated fully with the investigation.

Saudi Arabia has a complicated relationship with Yemen, where it has been embroiled in a lethal, yearslong military battle to end Iranian influence there. Amid the airstrikes, Isis and Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula have seized territory and carried out their own deadly attacks.

Mr. Alshamrani’s ability to train on the base as part of the U.S. military raises a host of thorny issues, including how the Defense Department screens potential recruits from Saudi Arabia.

Investigators believe that Mr. Alshamrani may have been under the influence of extremists at least since 2015, two years before he came to the United States and started strike-fighter training with the military.

The shooting also reignited the debate about when a technology company should be expected to help the government obtain information from encrypted messaging apps that can only be found if you can bypass the password and other security features. Apple routinely gives law enforcement lawful access to information that its users store in their iCloud accounts.

Though it was not clear how the F.B.I. got into Mr. Alshamrani’s iPhones, there are indications that Apple’s security is not as uncrackable as it used to be.

Last week, Zerodium — a company that acquires and sells weaknesses in smartphone encryption to American agencies to hack into those devices — announced it has a surplus of such exploits for Apple’s iOS mobile operating system.

The firm’s claims undermine the Justice Department’s and the F.B.I.’s assertions that Apple’s security is preventing lawful interception of data collection, especially on older model phones. Mr. Alshamrani had an iPhone 7 and an iPhone 5.

But Mr. Barr has maintained one of the department’s “highest priorities” is to find a way to get technology companies to help law enforcement gain lawful access to encrypted technology.

Nicole Perlroth and Eric Schmitt contributed reporting.

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