Global Statistics

All countries
695,781,740
Confirmed
Updated on September 26, 2023 9:06 pm
All countries
627,110,498
Recovered
Updated on September 26, 2023 9:06 pm
All countries
6,919,573
Deaths
Updated on September 26, 2023 9:06 pm

Global Statistics

All countries
695,781,740
Confirmed
Updated on September 26, 2023 9:06 pm
All countries
627,110,498
Recovered
Updated on September 26, 2023 9:06 pm
All countries
6,919,573
Deaths
Updated on September 26, 2023 9:06 pm
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Supreme Court fight front and center at Biden-Trump debate

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Supreme Court fight front and center at Biden-Trump debate

CLEVELAND – As the old saying goes, it’s like pouring gasoline on a fire.

If the deadliest pandemic in a century, the worst economic downturn in decades, and a summer of nationwide protests over racial inequity weren’t enough for Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden and President Trump to battle over at Tuesday at the first of three presidential debates, another combustible topic’s been tossed into the toxic political mix.

NO HANDSHAKES BETWEEN BIDEN AND TRUMP AT FIRST DEBATE

That issue – the most bitterly partisan of all political battles – is a Supreme Court nomination fight, and it’s coming with just five weeks to go until Election Day.

Preparations take place for the first presidential debate in the Sheila and Eric Samson Pavilion, Monday, Sept. 28, 2020, in Cleveland. The first debate between President Donald Trump and Democratic presidential candidate, former Vice President Joe Biden is scheduled to take place Tuesday, Sept. 29. (AP Photo/Patrick Semansky)

Preparations take place for the first presidential debate in the Sheila and Eric Samson Pavilion, Monday, Sept. 28, 2020, in Cleveland. The first debate between President Donald Trump and Democratic presidential candidate, former Vice President Joe Biden is scheduled to take place Tuesday, Sept. 29. (AP Photo/Patrick Semansky)

The former vice president’s urging the GOP controlled Senate to hold off on any vote on the president’s nominee – conservative federal appeals court judge Amy Coney Barrett – until the winner of the presidential election’s determined.

“The Senate has to stand strong for our democracy,” Biden emphasized Sunday. And he urged senators to “take a step back from the brink,” and that now “is a time to de-escalate.”

The president is barreling forward, telling “Fox & Friends” co-host Pete Hegseth in an interview on Sunday that he thinks Barrett could be confirmed ahead of Election Day on Nov. 3. Trump argued there’s “tremendous amount of time” from the kick off of the Senate Judiciary Committee’s confirmation hearings on Oct. 12 until the election.

“I think we could have it done easily before the election,” Trump predicted.

THE KEY ISSUES BIDEN AND TRUMP WILL DEBATE

The Supreme Court confirmation showdown’s one of the 6 topics chosen for the first debate by the moderator, “Fox News Sunday” anchor Chris Wallace.

Since the death of liberal leaning Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg a week and a half ago, the former vice president’s spotlighted the threat to the survival of the Affordable Care Act – the nation’s health care law best known as Obamacare – warning that Barrett would likely vote to eliminate the landmark measure in a case coming to the high court a week after the November election.

“Absolutely. It’s health care,” stressed veteran Democratic consultant and Fox News contributor Donna Brazile. “The Republicans have tried to gut and destroy the ACA for over nine and a half years and this is their first real shot at doing that with Judge Barrett. Biden has to carefully explain to the American people why now, and why Judge Barrett is a threat to the Affordable Care Act.”

“The vice president has to talk about what’s at stake. Everything is at stake, from voting rights to gay rights to workers’ rights to abortion rights,” spotlighted Brazile, who managed Vice President Al Gore’s 2000 presidential campaign and who twice served as interim chair of the Democratic National Committee over the past decade.

Longtime GOP strategist and Fox News contributor Karl Rove noted that if Biden targets the president for pushing forward with the nomination so close to the election, Trump “needs to defend … because the president of the United States has a constitutional authority to nominate and the Senate has the right to give its advise and consent or not. There’s no time limit on that. We have one president at a time.”

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Brazile acknowledged, “Yes, we know the president has a right to appoint and the Senate has a right to verify. We understand the constitutional issues.” But she emphasized that the question for Biden to spotlight “is why rush this through so close to the election?”

Rove, the mastermind behind both of President George W. Bush’s presidential election victories, said that Trump “wants to do two things. He wants to say ‘I picked somebody who will strictly interpret the constitution and the laws of the United States as written and will not be a legislator in robes.’ It’s a very popular theme and it cuts across party lines. And second of all, he can extoll her background, which is exemplary.”

And if Trump has the time, Rove suggested that the president attack Biden for not releasing his own list of potential high court nominees, as Trump did in the 2016 election and again this month. Rove offered that the president should look at Biden and argue that “the reason you haven’t given us a list is because the American people would figure out they’re all judicial activists on the left of American politics who will use the position on the court to legislate from the bench rather than strictly apply the law.”

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Hedgemony, RAND Pentagon war game, gives a ‘secretary’s-level view’

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Hedgemony, RAND Pentagon war game, gives a ‘secretary’s-level view’

A game meant to teach the Pentagon brass how to counter Russia and China may never replace Risk or Monopoly for a night of family fun, but it could give players a tabletop view of how national leaders make big-picture life and death decisions in an increasingly unsettled world.

The Rand Corp., the federally funded think tank that has been advising the Department of Defense since the dawn of the Cold War, is entering the gamer market. Last week, it released “Hedgemony: A Game of Strategic Choices” to the general public. With a $250 price tag, it’s the first war game Rand has offered for sale outside the government and allows the average gamer to channel his inner Dr. Strangelove.

“It gives a unique, Secretary’s-level view” of the Pentagon and how it makes decisions, Michael Spirtas, associate director of Rand’s International Security and Defense Policy Center and one of the game designers, said Monday in an interview with The Washington Times. The public game is a direct descendant of the exercise Rand set up for the real Pentagon as leaders contemplated a massive shift in U.S. strategy shortly after President Trump was elected.

The unique spelling of Hedgemony is no typo. It’s a play on the concept of the dominant “hegemon” and the need to “hedge” strategic trade-offs among wants, needs and shortcomings when confronting hostile forces in the real world, designers said.

A national “Secretary of Defense” represents the United States, and other “Blue Side” players are U.S. allies. Russia, China, North Korea and Iran constitute the Red Side team. Each player has military forces with clearly defined capabilities and a logistics supply line. Like any other war game, the players outline their strategic objectives and then employ their forces in the face of changing circumstances, opponents’ moves, and constraints such as dwindling resources and time.

“I am resource-constrained,” Mr. Spirtas said. “Every year I get a budget, and the budget will go up and down.”

While he was secretary of defense, James Mattis asked Rand to design “Hedgemony” to help his team craft the Pentagon’s 2018 National Defense Strategy. Such war games can play a critical role in testing assumptions while honing military systems and technologies, said Bradley Bowman, senior director of the Center on Military and Political Power at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies.

“These war games help identify necessary capabilities and capacities, and in the process they help inform the allocation of finite resources,” he said. “War games are essential as the U.S. military conducts its most important modernization effort in decades.”

Many staffers in the Pentagon focus their efforts and attention on a single critical element that can affect a defense budget, such as the force size, readiness levels, modernization or deployment patterns. But the worker bees sometimes lack awareness of the general state of the hive.

“Only the secretary looks overall,” Mr. Spirtas said. “That level of a view is very rarely seen by people — even those who work in the Pentagon.”

Command decisions

Hedgemony’s board game shows a world divided into U.S. combatant commands such as Central Command, the Indo-Pacific Command or the European Command. Chance and uncertainty are factored into play by rolling dice and drawing “event cards” that can simulate random incidents such as a terrorist attack and political upheaval at home or abroad.

“The world is driven by a tremendous amount of uncertainty, and the best way to deal with that is a hedging strategy,” Michael Linick, a senior defense research analyst at Rand who also helped design the game, said in a statement. “Hedgemony forces players to take on a hedging strategy against what might happen in the future and how the future might develop.”

Players use their “resource points.” The U.S. starts with the most, but has the most points on the map to defend, to build up or sustain their military in an effort to acquire more “influence points,” or at least deny them to the other side. Broadly speaking, the players who increase their influence point tally the most are the winners.

Mr. Bowman said war games like Hedgemony are important because China, defined by U.S. defense strategy as the country’s primary strategic rival and potential adversary, is fielding military capabilities not to outpace the U.S. but to target the American military’s strengths.

“It is much better to learn the hard lessons today during a war game than it is to learn the lessons tomorrow on the battlefield,” he said.

Rand has been making tabletop war games for Pentagon policymakers since the 1950s. Now, anyone willing to pay $250 can learn how a defense policy that balances strategic goals and a tight budget is made. The boxed version is nearly identical to the game played at the Department of Defense. Development funding was provided by gifts from Rand supporters and operational income.

The writers of the 2018 National Defense Strategy played the game about 30 times, and it sparked a lot of conversation within the group about how to balance resources while crafting policy, Mr. Spirtas said.

“It occurred to us that the game could be an excellent training tool for the next generation of military strategists and decision-makers,” he said.

The target audience includes serious war game hobbyists along with think tanks, war colleges and universities that teach defense policy and strategy, Rand officials said.

“It could be a great addition to the curriculum of those responsible for educating students, officers, policymakers or analysts about how to think about national strategy and the military’s role in it,” Mr. Spirtas said.

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Intermittent fasting doesn’t help you lose weight, UCSF study suggests

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Intermittent fasting doesn’t help you lose weight, UCSF study suggests

For seven years, Dr. Ethan Weiss, a cardiologist at The University of California, San Francisco, has experimented with intermittent fasting. The health fad, which restricts eating to specific periods of time, hit the mainstream after a series of promising studies in mice suggested that it might be an effective weight loss strategy in humans. 

So Weiss decided to give it a try himself by restricting his own eating to eight hours per day. After seeing that he shed some pounds, many of his patients asked him whether it might work for them. 

In 2018, he and a group of researchers kicked off a clinical trial to study it. The results, published on Monday, surprised him. 

The study found “no evidence” that time-restricted eating works as a weight loss strategy. 

People who were assigned to eat at random times within a strict eight-hour window each day, skipping food in the morning, lost an average of around 2 pounds over a 12 week-period. Subjects who ate at normal meal times, with snacks permitted, lost 1.5 pounds. The difference was not “statistically significant,” according to the research team at UCSF.

“I went into this hoping to demonstrate that this thing I’ve been doing for years works,” he said by phone. “But as soon as I saw the data, I stopped.”

Some evidence of muscle mass loss

Intermittent fasting, once a trend among self-styled “biohackers,” who use diet and lifestyle tweaks to try and improve their health, has become increasingly mainstream over the last decade. Instagram influencers regularly weigh in on the trend, and super-fit celebrities like Hugh Jackman have said it helps them get in shape for movie roles. In Silicon Valley, entrepreneur Kevin Rose launched an app called Rise to help people monitor their fasts, noting that the scientific data “starts to get pretty exciting.” Twitter CEO Jack Dorsey and the actress Jennifer Aniston also rank among the famous fans. 

With so many stars touting its benefits, in 2019, intermittent fasting was the top-trending diet search in Google, according to Google Trends data. 

But scientific evidence in humans is still thin. So the UCSF study, dubbed TREAT, led by Weiss and graduate student Derek Lowe, aimed to fill some of the gaps in research with a randomized controlled trial.

Starting in 2018, they recruited 116 people who were overweight or obese. All the participants received a Bluetooth-connected scale, and were asked to exercise as they normally would. 

Weiss suggests that the placebo effect might have caused both groups to lose weight: Many people will pay closer attention to what they eat when enrolled in a nutrition study, meaning they’re more likely to make healthier food choices. 

So going forward, he says, consumers should be increasingly skeptical about any nutrition study claiming weight loss benefits that doesn’t involve a control group.

There may also be a potential downside to intermittent fasting. A smaller percentage of participants were asked by the researchers to come on-site for more advanced testing, including changes in fat mass, lean mass, fasting glucose, fasting insulin and so on. Through those measurements, researchers discovered people who engaged in time-restricted eating seemed to lose more muscle mass than the control group. Weiss says the outcome wasn’t definitive, but he is hoping to conduct further studies down the line. 

There’s also a need for further studies to show whether intermittent fasting is safe for people over 60, or those with chronic ailments like diabetes and on medications. 

Still, Weiss isn’t yet ready to write off intermittent fasting entirely — there may be benefits around fasts during different times of day. Weiss’ study had participants skip food in the morning. He didn’t study the effects when it came to missing meals at night. 

But for now, he won’t be recommending it to his patients. 

“Just losing weight alone doesn’t mean good things are happening for your health,” he explained. 

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Covid cases climbing again in U.S. while Fauci warns ‘we’re not in a good place’

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Covid cases climbing again in U.S. while Fauci warns ‘we’re not in a good place’

Covid-19 cases are on the rise again across the United States as more and more states have loosened restrictions put into place to slow the spread of the killer virus, NBC News figures showed Monday.

On Friday, the U.S. logged 55,759 cases — the largest single day total in a month. And the troubling development comes as the global death toll from the virus nears one million with the U.S. continuing to account for over a fifth of those fatalities.

“We’re not in a good place,” Dr. Anthony Fauci, the nation’s leading expert on infectious diseases, warned Monday on ABC’s “Good Morning America.”

“There’s certainly parts of the country that are doing well,” Fauci added. “But … there are states that are starting to show an uptick in cases and even some increases in hospitalization in some states. And, I hope not, but we very well might start seeing increases in deaths.”

And as the weather gets colder, more people are heading inside where the danger of getting infected increases significantly, Fauci said.

“You don’t want to be in a position like that as the weather starts getting cold,” Fauci said. “So we really need to intensify the public health measure that we talk about all the time.”

The U.S. has been averaging an “unacceptably high” 40,000 new cases per day, Fauci has said.

“We have got to get it down,” he said. “I would like to see it 10,000 or less.”

Forty states and territories have seen an increase over the last two weeks as of Saturday, just days after the U.S. logged its 7 millionth confirmed coronavirus case.

Wyoming was the nation’s new hot spot with a 128 percent jump in new cases followed by Utah (111 percent), Wisconsin (104 percent) and Colorado (97 percent).

In Wisconsin, state health officials reported its biggest daily number of infections on Saturday since the pandemic began with 2,533 confirmed new Covid-19 cases.

The new figure came just days after Gov. Tony Evers, a Democrat, declared a new public health emergency over the objections of local Republicans who want to ease the safeguards.

“We are facing a new and dangerous phase of the Covid-19 pandemic here in Wisconsin,” Evers said in his order. “We are seeing an alarming increase in cases across our state, especially on campus. We need folks to start taking this seriously, and young people especially — please stay home as much as you are able, skip heading to the bars, and wear a mask whenever you go out. We need your help to stop the spread of this virus, and we all have to do this together.”

Fauci said he was especially concerned about Florida, where Gov. Ron DeSantis on Friday announced the reopening of all bars and restaurants — with no restrictions — even though the state continues to report thousands of new cases per day, although that number has dropped significantly since July.

The World Health Organization advises governments that before reopening they maintain a testing positivity rate of 5 percent or lower for 14 days. Florida’s rate is currently 10.62 percent, according to the Johns Hopkins University Coronavirus Resource Center.

By contrast, the positivity rate in New York — a state that was hit hardest in the early days of the pandemic and continues to lead the nation in Covid-19 fatalities with 33,971 — was a little over 1 percent as of Monday, according to Gov. Andrew Cuomo.

But that represented a small but significant increase over recent days and was yet another worrisome sign that the virus was not completely under control in New York.

In the boroughs of Brooklyn and Queens, the city health department reported that the coronavirus was spreading at “an alarming rate,” mostly in neighborhoods populated largely by Hasidic Jews, some of whom have been resistant to social distancing and mask wearing mandates.

Fauci’s dire warnings about the coronavirus crisis have repeatedly angered President Donald Trump, who was caught on tape privately telling journalist Bob Woodward in February that Covid-19 was “deadly stuff” but has since then repeatedly downplayed the dangers of a virus that has killed 205,940 people in the U.S. as of Monday, the newest figures showed.

Trump, who has questioned the need for wearing masks and social distancing and rarely does so himself in public, has also been accused of dispensing false information to the American public that he’s gleaned from political appointees who share his suspicion of leading medical experts like Fauci.

One of Trump’s most trusted Covid-19 advisers is Dr. Scott Atlas, who was brought on the White House coronavirus task force in August even though he has no expertise in public health or infectious diseases.

“Everything he says is false,” Dr. Robert Redfield, the director of the embattled federal Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, said of Atlas in a telephone conversation made in public on a commercial airline that was overhead by an NBC News reporter.

In other coronavirus developments:

  • Trump announced a plan to distribute 150 million rapid Covid-19 testing kits made by Abbott Laboratories “in the coming weeks, very, very soon.” “This will be more than double the number of tests already performed ,” the president insisted. The announcement came day before Trump was to face off against Joe Biden in the first presidential debate. But the kit order was part of a $760 million contract the administration announced last month on the final day of the Republican National Convention. About the size of a credit card, it does not require special computer equipment to process and delivers results in about 15 minutes. The downside is they are less accurate than other testing methods, the Associated Press reported. Trump has also repeatedly claimed — without evidence — that a vaccine would be delivered before Election Day.
  • While the aged and infirm constitute most of the new cases and fatalities, “the incidence of Covid-19 in the United States is now highest among young adults ages 20 to 29, who from June to August accounted for more than 20 percent of all confirmed cases,” NBC News reported, citing the latest CDC figures. And adults ages 30 to 39 made up the second-largest group of cases. “We’re seeing a really rising incidence of Covid-19 in young people, and that’s in part due to activity over the summer, and obviously we’re all very worried about this as they come back to colleges,” Dr. Scott Solomon, a professor of medicine at Harvard Medical School and Brigham and Women’s Hospital in Boston, told NBC News. While most young people don’t wind up in the hospital, those that do have a “really high risk for these adverse outcomes,” Solomon said. “It is not trivial.”

  • Speaking of young people, teenagers are twice as likely to be diagnosed with Covid-19 than younger kids, according to a new report released by the CDC. Focusing on 277,285 infections among school-age children between March 1 and mid-September, it found that 63 percent were kids over age 12. Why? It’s not clear. “It may be that parents have more control over younger children, while teens may be more likely to mix socially, increasing the risk of spread,” NBC News reported. What is clear is that Black and Hispanic kids who catch Covid-19, especially ones with underlying conditions, tend to get sicker. Meanwhile, the overall number of pediatric Covid-19 cases in the U.S. has soared past 600,000, according to data from the American Association of Pediatrics that was also released Monday.

  • Businesses that have been hit with Covid-19 infections could soon be socked again — this time with billions of dollars in lawsuits from workers who caught the bug on the job and wound up infecting relatives. The first of what could be a flood of wrongful death “take-home” lawsuits has been filed by the daughter of an Illinois woman named Esperanza Ugalde. Ugalde’s daughter alleges she was infected by her husband, Ricardo, who contracted the illness while working at the Aurora Packing Co. meat processing plant. Ricardo Ugalde worked “shoulder to shoulder” on the company’s processing line in April and the company failed to warn employees or adopt any infection prevention measures, the lawsuit charges. Up to 9 percent of the U.S. coronavirus deaths so far are believed to stem from “take-home infections” and could wind up costing businesses up to $21 billion if and when the number of U.S. fatalities reached 300,000, Reuters reported.

  • While the U.S. awaits the much-dreaded second wave of Covid-19, up in Canada the top provincial leader in Ontario said the second round of the pandemic is already pounding their province. “We know that this wave will be more complicated, more complex,” Premier Doug Ford said. “It will be worse than the first wave we faced earlier this year. But what we don’t know yet, is how bad the second wave will be.” Ontario recorded 700 new cases of Covid-19 on Monday. That is a small number compared to the daily totals in U.S. states like Florida or Texas, but it’s the biggest single-day increase ever reported in Ontario. Canada, which has a population of 37.6 million (slightly less than California) andone of the world’s best health care systems, has recorded 156,502 cases of Covid-19 and 9,321 deaths since the start of the pandemic. That’s roughly the same number of cases Alabama has reported and slightly fewer deaths than have been recorded in Massachusetts, according to NBC News numbers.

Image: Corky SiemaszkoCorky Siemaszko

Corky Siemaszko is a senior writer for NBC News Digital.

Nigel Chiwaya and Joe Murphy

contributed.

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Joey Jones joins South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem for a buffalo roundup

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Joey Jones joins South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem for a buffalo roundup

©2020 FOX News Network, LLC. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. All market data delayed 20 minutes. New Privacy PolicyNew Terms of Use (What’s New)FAQ

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Asian Americans shift from Republican to Democrat, abandon conservative ideals for identity politics

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Asian Americans shift from Republican to Democrat, abandon conservative ideals for identity politics

The Democratic Party’s identity politics has paid off with the new generation of Asian voters, who have abandoned the conservative ideals of their parents and grandparents in favor of labeling themselves “people of color” and turning to liberalism.

The older generation of Asians, who were often refugees from communist countries or President Franklin D. Roosevelt’s internment camps during World War II, tended to lean Republican.

That is changing, polling data and scholarly research shows.

“The younger generation grew up being ‘persons of color’ and are much more likely to resent white supremacists,” said Richard Anderson, a political science professor at the University of California, Los Angeles. He also said he thinks President Trump is a white supremacist.

A June poll from Tufts University revealed that 78% of Asian American youths back Democratic presidential nominee Joseph R. Biden. The survey also showed the environment is a top election issue for the young voting bloc, followed by racial issues and health care.

A 2018 survey by an Asian American advocacy group showed that the demographic wasn’t warming to the president’s performance.

A majority of Asian Americans (58%) disapproved of the job Mr. Trump was doing during his first two years, and only about 36% approved, according to the survey, conducted by Asian Americans and Pacific Islanders Vote.

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee surveyed Asian Americans in February and found that they preferred the Democratic candidate in congressional races by 33 percentage points in battleground states, Vox first reported.

When it came to the presidency, the February poll showed Asian Americans favored a yet-to-be-named Democratic candidate to Mr. Trump by 28 points.

Asian Americans are the fastest-growing voter demographic in the United States, but they account for only about 4% of the overall electorate. Still, pollsters say that is enough to flip close races in swing states.

“You can’t ignore 4%,” said Kenneth Warren, a pollster and politics scholar at St. Louis University. “Tiny percentage, but it’s getting to be one you can’t ignore when presidential elections are won in battleground states.”

Asian Americans have been moving toward the political left for nearly three decades. They voted Republican by a 22-point margin in 1992 but by 2012 voted Democratic by a 47-point margin, according to an analysis by the political statistics website FiveThirtyEight.com.

The number of eligible Asian American voters more than doubled from 2000 through 2020, according to Pew Research Center’s analysis of Census Bureau data. The demographic grew by 139%. That’s more than Hispanics at 121%, Blacks at 33% and Whites at 7%.

The three states with the highest Asian American populations are California, New York and Texas.

California and New York are solidly blue states, but an increasingly liberal Asian vote could make a difference in Texas, a longtime Republican stronghold that in recent years has jogged slightly to the left.

Asian Americans increasingly demand attention in presidential politics.

Andrew Yang, an entrepreneur whose parents immigrated from Taiwan, gained traction in the Democratic presidential race this year. His campaign attracted strong support among millennials with a futuristic agenda that included a government-paid universal basic income of $1,000 a month.

Mr. Biden, the White man of English and Irish heritage who ultimately won the Democratic presidential nomination, picked a running mate who is half Black and half Asian.

Democratic vice presidential nominee Sen. Kamala D. Harris of California, who was born to an Indian mother and a Jamaican father, stands poised to attract key ethnic voters in battleground states, analysts say.

“I do think that Harris will spend a good bit of time working on Asian Americans. There is an increase in their population in the last decade by over a million,” said G. Terry Madonna, director of the Center for Politics and Public Affairs at Franklin and Marshall College.

According to the 2018 data from the Asian advocacy groups’ study, Indian Americans tend to identify most with the Democratic Party. In contrast, Vietnamese Americans tend to identify most strongly with the Republican Party.

James Henson, director of the Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas, said the Asian American vote will be studied more in the future but the sample size for most current polls is too small to extrapolate solid trends.

“It’s tough in Texas because the Asian share of the population, while growing, is still a small share of any overall poll sample of the adult population or registered voters, and so it’s hard to draw conclusions from such small numbers,” he said.

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Famed California winery destroyed as fast-moving fires take over wine country

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Famed California winery destroyed as fast-moving fires take over wine country

(CNN)The famed 41-year-old Chateau Boswell Winery in Napa Valley, California, was destroyed during the Glass Fire on Sunday evening, according to CNN affiliate KPIX.
The private family-owned winery…
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Body cam footage shows Trump campaign aide Brad Parscale being tackled, detained by police

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Body cam footage shows Trump campaign aide Brad Parscale being tackled, detained by police

Police released bodycam footage on Monday of an incident involving President Trump’s former campaigner manager Brad Parscale, where he was taken to the hospital by law enforcement after allegedly threatening to harm himself.

The video shows police tackle a shirtless Parscale to the ground and place handcuffs on him after he emerged from his home, as he repeatedly said he “didn’t do anything.”

Officers had asked Parscale to leave his house “’with no weapons.”

The video also shows Parscale’s wife, Candice, speaking with police about the incident, where she noted her husband had several firearms, including a rifle and a shotgun.

10 GUNS CONFISCATED FROM TRUMP AIDE PARSCALE’S HOME AFTER CALL FROM WIFE: POLICE

As previously reported by Fox News, a police report indicated that about 10 firearms were confiscated from Parscale’s house on Sunday, after law enforcement was called over an argument between Parscale and his wife.

His wife said he had loaded a firearm during an argument, at which time she fled the home.

After a standoff with police, Parscale, who reportedly threatened to harm himself, was taken to a hospital in Fort Lauderdale.

Parscale was replaced as Trump’s campaign manager in mid-July by veteran GOP operative Bill Stepien after a series of polls showed the president trailing Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden. He is currently the senior adviser for data and digital operations.

Parscale ran Trump’s digital advertising in 2016 and was credited with helping bring about his surprise victory.

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Fox News’ Evie Fordham, Andrew O’Reilly, Nick Givas, John Roberts, Kathleen Reuschle, Gregg Re and Ashley Cozzolino contributed to this report.

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Coronavirus viral loads declining in US patients since start of pandemic, study finds

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Coronavirus viral loads declining in US patients since start of pandemic, study finds

The levels of the virus that causes COVID-19 has been declining in U.S. patients over time, which could account for the lower number of ICU admissions and overall death rate compared to when the virus first arrived, researchers claim.

The study, conducted by Wayne State University researchers and presented at the European Society of Clinical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases, relied on nasal swabs taken from hospitalized patients in Detroit between April 4 and June 5. They then assessed all samples that had tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 during that time period and found a progressive decline in the number of samples that were categorized as having a high viral load.

BLOOD TEST MAY REVEAL CORONAVIRUS SEVERITY, DEATH RISK: STUDY

“By week five of the study, 70% of the positive samples had an initial low viral load” according to a press release. “This trend in initial viral load coincided with a decrease in the percent of deaths. Almost half of the patients in the high viral load group died (45%) compared to 32% and 14% of the intermediate and low viral load categories respectively.”

CORONAVIRUS ANTIBODIES PRESENT IN LESS THAN 10% OF AMERICANS, STUDY FINDS

The authors acknowledged that confounding variables were not accounted for in their observations, but that the findings suggest an association between initial viral load and mortality.

CLICK HERE FOR COMPLETE CORONAVIRUS COVERAGE

“Exact reasons for a decrease in initial viral load over time are unclear,” said Dr. El Zein, lead study author. “A downward trend in the initial viral load may reflect a reduction in the severity of the pandemic and trends in the viral load values over time may represent a marker to assess the progress of the pandemic. Rapid implementation of social distancing measures, lockdown and widespread use of facemasks may have contributed to a decrease in the exposure to the virus.”

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If the presidential debate has a clear winner, it could show up in a big market move

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If the presidential debate has a clear winner, it could show up in a big market move

Yard signs supporting U.S. President Donald Trump and Democratic U.S. presidential nominee and former Vice President Joe Biden are seen outside of an early voting site at the Fairfax County Government Center in Fairfax, Virginia, September 18, 2020.

Al Drago | Reuters

If the presidential debate Tuesday results in a clear winner, there could be a much bigger market reaction than there has been following past political debates, analysts said.

President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden head into the debate with Biden leading. To the market, it is Biden’s to lose, and if he does, some see it potentially weakening his chances in November — a possible positive for the stock market.

Biden has said he would raise taxes on corporations and the rich, as well as increase capital gains taxes. He also is expected to increase regulation. Biden has proposed raising the top tax rate for capital gains for the highest earners to 39.6% from 23.8%, and he would boost the corporate tax rate from 21% to 28%, but also take away some other advantages.

“The market is looking at this in a very binary way,” said Peter Boockvar, chief investment officer at Bleakley Advisory Group. “Putting aside your politics, if you just look at the math of higher capital gains taxes and higher corporate tax rates, one is going to lower your returns and the other is going to lower corporate profits.”

Biden leads Trump by 6.9 percentage points in an average of major polls on RealClearPolitics.com

“I think there’s a real question about Biden’s age and health, and he could put those to rest with a solid debate, and he could also cause people to have more doubts about whether he’s fit to be president,” said Andy Laperriere, head of policy at Cornerstone Macro. “I think it has the potential to change voters’ minds. I think it has the chance to change investors’ perceptions about who is going to win.” 

Biden is 77 years old and served two terms as vice president from 2009-17. Trump is 74.

Looking for a clear winner

Dan Clifton, Strategas’ head of policy research, said that historically the incumbent does poorly in the first debate as President Barack Obama did against Mitt Romney in 2012. Clifton said he expects to see market reaction to the outcome of Tuesday’s debate in individual stocks and sectors, but he noted the broader market does not show a clear pattern of reacting to debates.

“The market has a 60% probability of Biden winning. Anything that can give you a greater view, anything other than a draw, is going to be market moving,” Clifton said.

He added that a good gauge for the market reaction will be how well for-profit prison and school stocks fare.

“If Trump does well, they go up. If Biden does well, they go down,” Clifton said.

Those stocks include Navient, Perdoceo Education, Geo Group and Corecivic.

Clifton said that historically, the debate winner has moved the polls by 2 percentage points.

“If history holds and the challenger beats the incumbent in this debate … Biden would have a 5-point lead in the swing states,” he said. “If Trump moves the needle by two points, he’ll be in better shape today than he was in 2016 when he won.”

Stocks were sharply higher Monday, with all major sectors higher and cyclicals, like energy, financials and industrials leading.

“All of our Trump stocks are up big today -student lenders, private prisons, for-profit education, defense, energy. It’s all going higher,” Clifton said. “That could be two things. People taking off their shorts [positions], or other people could be making a bet that Biden’s not going to do well and want some exposure to underpriced Trump stocks.”

Clifton said either candidate has the ability to help his party’s Senate candidates, as the Senate races in all the states Trump won in 2016 went Republican. He said stocks that would be vulnerable to higher taxes trade more around the idea of a Democratic sweep of the White House and both houses of Congress than just a Biden win, since he could not raise taxes without a Democratic Senate.

“What we’re trying to get at in this debate is when does Biden want to raise taxes. Getting that clarity would be important,” Clifton said.

He said if Biden does well, that favors non U.S. stocks over U.S. stocks. Biden would be negative on China but not as much as Trump, so the economic decoupling of the U.S. and China would be slower and Chinese stocks could benefit. Sector winners for Biden would include renewable energy, infrastructure stocks and tech stocks with large foreign revenues and exposure to China.

The issue for health care stocks is less clear, but managed care, medical devices and hospitals could weaken if Biden discusses a public option on health care.

“If Biden wins, but Amy Coney Barrett is seated, you still have the Supreme Court in front of you,” said Clifton. The Supreme Court is expected to hear a case on the Affordable Care Act, which was adopted during the Obama administration when Biden was vice president.

Bond market impact

Treasury yields were also slightly higher Monday, with the 10-year Treasury at 0.66%.

Michael Schumacher, director of rate strategy at Wells Fargo, said the debate has the potential to move the bond market. “Most people talk about these things and get all fired up and nothing happens, but this is such a weird year… This seems like the first big shot to see these guy in action. We think it’s a big event,” he said.

Schumacher said if Trump is perceived to win, there could be a positive move in risk markets and the bond market could sell off, sending yields higher. “We think that pushes the 10-year yield up to 75 or 80 basis points,” he said. “If Biden wins, then the debate is risk off.” That could drive the 10-year yield to 0.6%, he said.

“It matters who looks like they won the debate, but I think there could be talk about the economy,” Cornerstone Macro’s Laperriere said. “I think mostly Biden would be the more interesting one because he’s a change from the status quo, but what does he signal for priorities for economic policy . We know what his positions are but what will he emphasize and prioritize,”

A clear winner in the debate regardless of who it is may  also prove to be a positive for stocks because it could remove some of the uncertainty surrounding the election, according to Tom Block, Washington policy strategist at Fundstrat.

“The market does not like uncertainty, and a draw just continues uncertainty. If it ends with huge momentum for one of the candidates, that probably is a positive,” Block said. He said Trump created more uncertainty by challenging the fairness of the election. 

“There’s uncertainty because he has raised questions about whether he can lose without a fixed election,” Block said.

Undecideds will be pivotal

Block added that the debate may not be that dramatic.

“For Trump his advantage is he loves the camera and the camera loves him, and Biden’s advantage is he’s going to prepare. The president believes he’s a natural and doesn’t have to prepare,” Block said.

While more than 90% of voters are expected to have made up their minds already, Laperriere said those who have not could be an important swing factor in the race.

“When you think about the calendar about what’s coming up … the first debate is the single most important event of the next six weeks,” Laperriere said . “It’s going to be the most widely watched debate.” There are two other debates on Oct. 15 and 22, and a vice presidential debate on Oct. 7.

“It’s not a big group that’s up for grabs, but the group that is up for grabs is the only one that matters,” said Laperriere. “The bases are fired up, and Trump is firing both bases up. That’s a given. I think the biggest problem for Trump is people don’t like his style and he could act presidential and that could help.”

Trump is vulnerable on the pandemic, especially among seniors who may think he didn’t take it seriously enough, Laperriere said.

“He’s not a great defender of his view so in that sense I don’t think he’s a very good debater … I think the thing that has the biggest potential in shifting this race around is the violence we’re seeing in the country,” he said. “That has the potential to move the numbers and I think Biden has been playing it too cute.”

The candidates are expected be asked about the economy, the pandemic, race and violence in cities. Trump could also be asked about a report in the New York Times that he paid just $750 in taxes in his first year as president and nothing in many other years. Fox News anchor Chris Wallace is moderating.

“We’re now starting to see what their arguments are on Tuesday night. Biden is going to claim Trump pays less taxes than a bus driver or secretary,” Clifton said. “They’re trying to do what Obama did to Romney in 2012, make him a rich fat cat that didn’t care about  the worker … They’re trying the same thing with Trump, but that’s hard to do. Those workers love Trump.”

Clifton said he expects Biden to be a good debater, but that Trump has been trying to set the stage for a potential setback should Biden do well by claiming the former vice president should be given a test to see if his performance is enhanced medically.

 “They both have track records of guffaws. They both say things between wrong and inappropriate,” Block said. “I think both sides will be holding their breath for their candidate.”

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