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Coronavirus: Whitty and Vallance faced ‘herd immunity’ backlash, emails show

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Prof Chris Whitty and Sir Patrick Vallance came under fire at the start of the pandemic
As the UK introduces fresh restrictions on social contact to curb the spread of coronavirus, controversy continues to rage about whether the government had initially considered trying a very different approach.
At the start of the pandemic, the government’s chief scientific adviser, Sir Patrick Vallance, spoke about “herd immunity” – the idea that once enough of a population had been exposed to the virus, they would build up natural immunity to it.
Sir Patrick and the government have both insisted this was never official policy – and that there was no delay in locking down the county, as some critics have suggested.
Emails obtained by the BBC reveal the alarm among the government’s top scientific advisers at the reaction to Sir Patrick’s words.
In one email from March, Sir Patrick asks for help to “calm down” academics who have expressed anger at his repeated references to herd immunity and the delays in announcing a lockdown.
The material, obtained by the BBC via a Freedom of Information Act request, consists of every email sent by Sir Patrick and chief medical officer for England, Professor Chris Whitty, from the start of February to the start of June, containing the words “herd immunity”.
‘Mild illness’
There is no reference in any email until after 13 March, when Sir Patrick discussed herd immunity in a number of media interviews.
“Our aim,” he told BBC Radio 4’s Today programme that morning, is to “try and reduce the peak – not suppress it completely, also because most people get a mild illness, to build up some degree of herd immunity whilst protecting the most vulnerable”.
To many, his words appeared an unequivocal endorsement of herd immunity. They also appeared to explain the government’s reluctance to order the kind of lockdowns and social distancing measures that were already in place in many other countries, despite cases increasing and worrying scenes in hospitals in Italy.
Commuter stations were deserted at the height of lockdown
Speaking to Sky News on the same day, Sir Patrick talked about not suppressing the virus completely, to help avoid “a second peak,” and also to “allow enough of us who are going to get mild illness to become immune to this”.
When asked how much of the British population would need to contract the virus for herd immunity to become effective, he calmly replied “probably around 60%”.
With an approximate 1% case fatality rate, the interviewer responded, that would mean “an awful lot of people dying”.
At the time, there was no strong evidence that being infected by coronavirus would result in long-lasting immunity.
The following day, a group of more than 500 scientists published a joint letter, criticising the lack of social distancing restrictions imposed by the government, adding that “going for ‘herd immunity’ at this point does not seem a viable option, as this will put the NHS at an even stronger level of stress, risking many more lives than necessary”.
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Boris Johnson flanked by his top scientific advisers at the start of the pandemic
In an email to Sir Mark Walport, the UK’s former chief scientific adviser, discussing the scientists’ letter, Sir Patrick suggests the message in response should be “herd immunity is not the strategy. The strategy is to flatten the curve… and to shield the elderly… As we do this we will see immunity in the community grow”.
Sir Patrick appears clearly rattled by the backlash to his use of the phrase.
‘Calm down’
In response to an email titled “Covid-19 and herd immunity”, from an academic, he writes brusquely “No it is NOT the plan”. He does not, however, explain his previous references to herd immunity.
On the same weekend, he writes to a colleague, “anything you can do to calm our academic friends down over herd immunity would be greatly appreciated”.
Sir Mark Walport told the BBC he believed the interviews had been misunderstood.
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Social distancing has been one of the main weapons against the virus
He suggested what Sir Patrick had meant when saying it was not desirable to completely suppress the virus, was that it would be so “draconian and difficult to do that it would not be achievable”.
Others, however, have suggested, despite the denials, that “herd immunity” was indeed the strategy for a period of time.
The first public use of the term by a UK official appears to be in a BBC interview on 11 March with Dr David Halpern, chief executive of the government-owned Behavioural Insights Team, known as the “nudge unit”, and a member of the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (Sage).
He told the BBC: “You’ll want to protect those at-risk groups so that they basically don’t catch the disease and by the time they come out of their cocooning, herd immunity’s been achieved in the rest of the population.”
However, the emails obtained by the BBC confirm herd immunity was under discussion as early as January.
In one email from April, Prof Whitty confers with colleagues about a report in the Times newspaper – in which an unnamed senior politician says he had conversations with Prof Whitty in January that “were absolutely focused on herd immunity”.
In the email, Prof Whitty complains he has been misrepresented, stating he never thought herd immunity “was actually a sensible aim of policy”, but suggesting the concept was talked about when answering “questions put to me by ministers”.
In another email to the president of the Faculty of Public Health, which sets standards for health professionals – who had raised questions about the lack of testing – Prof Whitty insisted “the government had never pursued a ‘herd immunity strategy'”.
In a statement, a government spokesman said the emails “make clear… herd immunity has never been a policy aim”.
However, that is unlikely to put an end to the controversy, particularly given the lack of references to herd immunity prior to the interviews given by Sir Patrick on 13 March.
Campaigners representing families of some of those who died in the pandemic are calling for a public inquiry into the government’s response to the disease.
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House Passes Short-Term Funding Bill To Keep Government Running

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, pictured on Sept. 17.
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House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, pictured on Sept. 17.
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A stopgap funding bill to keep the government running through Dec. 11 passed the House 359-57 late Tuesday evening, with one lawmaker voting present. The bill was temporarily delayed over a heated dispute regarding farm aid.
The legislation still must be approved by the Senate and signed by President Trump, or the government faces another shutdown threat in eight days.
The initial Democratic bill lacked federal farm assistance sought by the Trump administration despite support for it from both sides of the aisle.
Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., said the Senate would not pass a bill that didn’t include funds for the Commodity Credit Corporation, which provides aid to farmers. Democrats argued that the fund was being used as a political “slush fund” by the Trump administration.
But Tuesday night ahead of the vote, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., announced a deal with Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and Republicans.
“We have reached an agreement with Republicans on the CR to add nearly $8 billion in desperately needed nutrition assistance for hungry schoolchildren and families. We also increase accountability in the Commodity Credit Corporation, preventing funds for farmers from being misused for a Big Oil bailout,” her statement said.
FDA set to announce greater restrictions for COVID-19 vaccine: Report
The Food and Drug Administration is expected to announce new standards for approving a coronavirus vaccine in an apparent attempt to shore up confidence with the American people, according to a report.
The Washington Post reported on Tuesday that two individuals familiar with the issue said the FDA will ask manufacturers to follow clinical trial participants for at least two months in order to obtain an emergency authorization.
Additionally, trials will have to show evidence surrounding more severe cases and older people, making it unlikely that a vaccine will be finished before the 2020 presidential election. Moderna and Pfizer each started their trials in July. The enrollment process took about a month with a second round of shots being administered after three or four weeks in the trial.
The White House has indicated a vaccine could be approved by November. President Trump told “Fox & Friends” earlier this month that an approval could come within “a matter of weeks.” He also indicated during a press conference that distribution could begin in October.
JUST 51% OF AMERICANS WOULD GET CORONAVIRUS VACCINE RIGHT NOW
Centers for Disease Control Director Robert Redfield previously told Congress that health care workers, first responders and others at high risk would get the vaccine first, perhaps in January or even late this year, but it was unlikely to be available more broadly before late spring or summer.
Polling has shown Americans becoming increasingly resistant to a potential vaccine. Pew Research Center reported last week that only 21% of U.S. adults say they would “definitely” get the vaccine, down from 42% in May. Meanwhile, the percentage of people who said they would “probably” or “definitely” not receive the vaccine increased from 27% to 49%.
Dr. Anthony Fauci, one of Trump’s top advisers, also said the administration could see results for a vaccine before the end of the year.
“I have said from the beggining, given the way the trials have emerged now, including the one on hold now, the projection that I’ve made — and will stick by it — is that we’ll likely get an answer if it’s safe and effective by the end of the year, likely November or December,” he said on Sept. 9.
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White House Deputy Press Secretary Judd Deere told Fox News on Tuesday: “Every decision the FDA has made during the Trump Administration has maintained the agencies gold standard for safety and been data-driven to save lives, and this false narrative that the media and Democrats have created that politics is influencing approvals is not only false but is a danger to the American public.”
He added: “President Trump believes all Americans should have access to proven, safe, and affordable treatment options and the rapid research, development, trials, and scientific approvals are emblematic of President Trump’s highest priority: the health and safety of the American people.”
The Associated Press contributed to this report.
Trump at Moon Township, Pennsylvania rally rips Biden on Supreme Court
President Trump went after his opponent Democratic presidential candidate Joseph R. Biden Tuesday during a campaign rally in Moon Township, Pennsylvania over his unwillingness to reveal the type of judges he would tap for the Supreme Court and waffling on fracking.
Mr. Trump, who has released a list of his potential Supreme Court picks during his 2016 campaign which has been continuously updated, is readying to announce his next Supreme Court nominee on Saturday following the death of Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg.
He says his opponent won’t release the type of justice he would nominate because they would be extreme and do away with the Second Amendment.
“He can only put super left radical judges on. People that would destroy your country,” the president warned.
Energy production was also a top issue Mr. Trump emphasized while at the rally, noting Pennsylvania is an energy-rich state.
“We are the dominant energy producer. We are going to keep it that way,” the president said, noting Mr. Biden has waffled on the issue of fracking during the campaign — at first saying he would ban it, but since has attempted to walk that back.
It’s likely an issue to be discussed during the upcoming presidential debates, with the first one taking place next week.
Mr. Trump also took a swipe at Mr. Biden during his speech over always wearing a face mask even when he is several yards away from anyone.
Mr. Biden has pushed for a national mask mandate during the coronavirus pandemic — unlike Mr. Trump, who is rarely seen in a face mask.
“Will he leave it on during the debate?” the president said. “Is he going to walk in with a mask?”
“He feels good about the mask and that’s ok — whatever makes you feel good,” Mr. Trump said.
The president won the state of Pennsylvania in 2016 against Hillary Clinton by less than 1%. The current Real Clear Politics average has Mr. Biden up by 3.9 points.
After Aerosols Misstep, Former CDC Official Criticizes Agency Over Unclear Messaging

A former CDC official criticizes the agency over its latest reversal, this time in guidance on how the coronavirus is transmitted.
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A former CDC official criticizes the agency over its latest reversal, this time in guidance on how the coronavirus is transmitted.
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As of now, both the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and World Health Organization say the primary way the coronavirus spreads is by hitching a ride on respiratory droplets when people are in close contact.
Respiratory droplets form when someone sneezes, coughs, talks or sings, for example. They don’t travel far and fall to the ground quickly.
But on Friday, the CDC website was modified to include smaller, aerosolized particles as a way the coronavirus is commonly spread. These are the tiniest particles expelled in breath that can linger in the air and travel distances farther than 6 feet.
On Monday, the agency took that update down, saying it was a draft that had been posted in error.
Dr. Ali Khan, who used to direct the Office of Public Health Preparedness and Response at the CDC, says there was “nothing new” in the now-deleted update, which he characterized as saying “there’s a minor role for airborne transmission.”
The disease is “predominantly” spread by large particles from people near each other, he says. There’s consensus in the scientific community that this seems to be the main mode of transmission.
Beyond that, Khan notes, there are a few other ways that people could, conceivably, contract the virus, researchers and health officials agree.
“Occasionally we get this disease from contaminated surfaces,” Khan tells Steve Inskeep on NPR’s Morning Edition. “And then there’s a minor role, again, for these small particle aerosols. … These are transmitted farther than 6 feet away, potentially around a corner, especially in poorly ventilated indoor spaces. And then, finally, there’s a yet even more minor role, probably, for transmission via feces. So nothing new here.”
Still, a number of environmental engineers and other infectious disease researchers have been critical in the past of both the CDC and WHO for, they say, being too slow to acknowledge the role this sort of fine aerosol might play in spreading the virus, especially indoors.
Khan is now the dean of the College of Public Health at the University of Nebraska Medical Center in Omaha. Here are excerpts from the interview:
What do you make of this unremarkable guidance being published and then withdrawn?
Confusing. So CDC’s not perfect and certainly has made some mistakes this past year. But with due respect to the agency, it’s hard to imagine that this is one of them, given the scrutiny that they’ve had in all of their messaging.
And for example, so just last week, we saw a flip-flop from CDC on testing of asymptomatic persons. We saw documented proof of manipulation of CDC’s official publication. So, you know, it’s not hard to understand people questioning that these changes may be deliberate interference by the [Trump administration]. …
We’ve seen the deliberate undermining of public health over the course of this outbreak for political purpose. And we have seen numerous examples now of deliberate change of guidance that’s not evidence-based.
Can we still trust what the CDC tells us then?
Unfortunately, it’s becoming harder to trust what CDC tells us.
And this is extremely unfortunate because trust is the most important thing we need during a pandemic. As we tell people that, regardless of this minor role of aerosol transmission, we have the tools available to us today to stop this outbreak in its tracks with “test, trace, isolate.” And please do our part [by] wearing a mask, washing our hands and socially distancing. And this trust is going to be even more important as we tell people to roll up their sleeves and get vaccinated — hopefully sometime at the end of this year and into next year.
I want to know if the practical advice after all of this confusion is still basically the same, so far as you see it: See people outdoors, rather than indoors; 6 feet apart; wear a mask. That sort of thing.
Correct. The guidance doesn’t change. So there’s lots of nice, sophisticated aerobiology studies now that look at what happens when you sneeze and cough and how far these particles go and whether there’s virus riding along in them.
But we know that if we wear our masks and we couple that with the public health strategy of testing, isolating and tracing people, that we can get this disease under control.
Taylor Haney produced the audio interview.
Pelosi, Mnuchin strike a deal on spending bill to avoid government shutdown
Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) speaks during her weekly news conference at the U.S. Capitol on August 6, 2020 in Washington, DC.
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The House passed a bill Tuesday that would fund the government into December and avoid a shutdown before a Sept. 30 deadline.
After clearing the House in an overwhelming vote, the legislation heads to the Republican-held Senate. Earlier Tuesday, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said she reached a spending agreement with Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and Republicans.
Pelosi said the proposal would include $8 billion for nutrition assistance for schoolchildren and families. It renews Pandemic EBT, a program that provides food benefits while schools are closed set to expire at the end of September, for a full year.
It also adds increased accountability for farm aid money to prevent it from gong to large oil companies, according to Pelosi. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell had criticized a lack of farm assistance funds in a bill House Democrats released Monday.
The bill would fund the government through Dec. 11, avoiding a potentially chaotic shutdown during the coronavirus pandemic and before the Nov. 3 election. Lawmakers then aim to hash out an agreement to fund the government through Sept. 30, 2021, the end of the next fiscal year.
Lawmakers have said they want to get past the shutdown threat to focus on passing more coronavirus relief, which they have failed to do for months amid disagreements over the size of a fifth aid package.
Correction: This article has been updated to correct a previous headline.
Florida high school bans football team’s police flag after critics deem it “openly racist”
A thin blue line flag has been banned by a local high school in Neptune Beach, Florida following a series of complaints that circulated on social media, according to a report by News4Jax.
OHIO HIGH SCHOOL STUDENTS AWARDED COLLEGE SCHOLARSHIPS FOR CARRYING FLAGS ONTO FOOTBALL FIELD
According to the outlet, the Fletcher High School football team started carrying the pro-law enforcement flag last year, as a way for one of its players, Caelan Lavender, to honor his late father, Cpl. Andy Lavender. Mr. Lavender was a Jacksonville Beach police officer who unexpectedly passed away in August 2019 after 29 years in law enforcement, and was active in sports programs.
“He was one of a kind,” his wife, Lorie Lavender, told News4Jax. “And he is very much missed and loved.”
The team’s use of the symbol received swift backlash online, with some calling the move “openly racist.”
Debate over the flag’s meaning has come into question amid widespread protests against police brutality sparked by the death of George Floyd back in May. The flag is known as a pro-law enforcement symbol.
OHIO SCHOOL DISTRICT BANS ‘THIN BLUE LINE’ FLAGS AFTER FOOTBALL PLAYER CARRIED ONE TO HONOR COACH
As a result of the backlash, Fletcher High School’s principal, Dean Ledford, reportedly issued a statement announcing the flag would be banned.
“The flag, which is known as the Thin Blue Line flag, has different meaning for different people, and rather than representing the young man’s personal feelings, it was being interpreted as a political statement of the team and of the school,” Ledford said. “In consultation with the coaches, I determined that the act of using this flag in this personal way, while in the context of the football game opening ceremony, could easily be construed as representing a political position of our school and not just the personal feelings of the student and his teammates. Therefore, I have determined that it is no longer appropriate to continue.”
Ledford noted that he is “in conversation with the student and his teammates about ways they can appropriately express their personal views.”
“As the principal of Fletcher, I greatly appreciate our School Police, Jacksonville Beach Police, Atlantic Beach Police, Neptune Beach Police and the Jacksonville Sheriff’s Office for their work in protecting our school and our community,” Ledford added. “As a public school, we must take great care in maintaining an objective position on various political issues. Our action in guiding the student and his teammates to an appropriate way of expressing their personal views should only be interpreted as an action to maintain the school’s role as a venue for constructive dialogue, and not a proponent of any particular point of view.”
Mrs. Lavender expressed her disappointment in the school’s decision, telling News4Jax that the display of the flag is neither political nor racist in her family’s eyes.
“We’re dealing with it as it comes,” she added. “Will still pay our respects to Andy.”
Lavender said that she just wants her son to follow his heart in honor of his father.
PENNSYLVANIA COLLEGE REMOVES ‘THIN BLUE LINE’ CORONAVIRUS MASKS AFTER CRITICS CALL THEM ‘OFFENSIVE’
Steve Zona, President of Jacksonville’s Fraternal Order of Police Lodge 5-30 and a coworker of Lavender, has pushed back against the school’s decision, arguing in a Facebook post on Tuesday that the move was never politically motivated.
“Don’t let people make this political or about “these trying times.” It’s about Andy and his son. Period,” Zona wrote. “It was never political until an evil person made it so.”
Zona is encouraging his community to purchase tickets for the team’s football games and to carry a sign that reads “I know Andy” to show support for the family.
Both Fletcher High School and Mr. Zona did not immediately return FOX News’ requests for comment.













