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The post Tlaib, Omar face insurgent primary challengers: Can ‘Squad’ survive? appeared first on Virus Reports.
]]>Two of the four members of the group known as “The Squad” – an influential group of progressive first-term minority congresswomen – are facing serious Democratic primary challengers in the coming weeks.
In Minnesota’s heavily Democratic 5th Congressional District – which covers much of the city of Minneapolis and was ground zero for the nationwide protests sparked by the death of George Floyd – freshman Rep. Ilhan Omar is facing multiple challengers on the Aug. 11 primary vote, including one challenger who has dramatically outraised her.
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And in Michigan’s overwhelmingly Democratic 13th Congressional District, which includes parts of Detroit and the inner suburbs of Wayne County, the Aug. 4 primary is a rematch from two years ago, as first-term Rep. Rashida Tlaib is trying to fend off Detroit City Council President Brenda Jones.
The district was held for more than half a century by John Conyers Jr., a co-founder of the Congressional Black Caucus who died last year. When Conyers stepped down in 2018 amid accusations of sexual harassment, Jones briefly held the seat after narrowly edging Tlaib in a special election to fill the rest of Conyers’ term.
But Tlaib won a separate election for the new two-year term, starting in 2019. That election included six candidates. Jones, who is Black, now enjoys the support of the other four candidates from the 2018 election. Tlaib is Palestinian-American — and she made history alongside Omar in 2018 as the first two Muslim women elected to Congress.
Race is a factor in the 2020 primary rematch.
“Making the argument to Detroiters that you should have another African American representative in Congress has historically been somewhat of a powerful message, and Jones is a known quantity as city council president,” noted Susan Demas, a Michigan based political analyst and editor-in-chief of the Michigan Advance.
“I think the biggest weakness that Tlaib has is she’s not African American and she’s representing a majority minority district. Brenda Jones is. Will that make difference to voters given the fact that Tlaib is a person of color, she’s highly progressive, and is a known quantity in the district – that remains to be seen,” Demas said.
But Tlaib – a talented campaigner and fundraiser – has a massive campaign cash advantage over Jones, who was sidetracked from fundraising after contracting the coronavirus.
“Tlaib has a lot of advantages, between money and incumbency. It’s frankly just so difficult to campaign during a pandemic, to that gives incumbents even more of an advantage,” Demas highlighted.
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Tlaib is no stranger to the spotlight. She made headlines the day she was sworn into Congress in January of last year, using an expletive in pushing for President Trump’s impeachment.
“We’re going to impeach the motherf****r,” Tlaib said at the time.
And she made headlines last year for booing 2016 Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton at a rally in Iowa.
Jones argues that Tlaib has ignored her district as she’s become too preoccupied with national issues.
“You can be vocal, but the things that were being done — like calling the president a ‘MF’ or booing Hillary — every time something like that happened, I was getting calls from people saying ‘You’re more professional than this,’” Jones told The New York Times. “I’m not interested in being a rock star. I’m just interested in bringing home the money, working for the people of the 13th district and uniting the community.”
Tlaib pushed back against such arguments – saying her opponents are highlighting just a few high-profile moments and overlooking her legislative achievements. This year she’s teamed up with fellow lawmakers to shield constituents from high water bills and water shutoffs, which many argue disproportionately hurt people of color.
Omar’s also no stranger to the national spotlight and to controversy. But the attention surrounding the progressive lawmaker – and her Twitter feed – have made her a target of Republicans and even some fellow Democrats. Omar has made headlines for her repeated criticism of the president – as well as for making comments viewed as anti-Semitic.
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Omar, who’s considered the favorite in Minnesota’s Aug. 11 primary, last week landed endorsements of some of the biggest names in politics — including House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont.
Omar also enjoys the support of leading Minnesota Democrats, such as state House Speaker Melissa Hortman and Attorney General Keith Ellison. And she has the backing of local unions and the state party as she runs for a second two-year term.
But in the crucial battle for campaign cash, she’s been walloped by her main primary challenger, Antone Melton-Meaux.
The lawyer and mediator hauled in an eye-popping $3.2 million in the April-June quarter of fundraising, according to filings with the Federal Election Commission. That far surpassed Omar, who raised nearly half-a-million dollars during the same period of time. Melton-Meaux reported having $2 million in his campaign coffers as of the end of June, nearly double of Omar’s $1.1 million cash on hand.
Former Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor (DFL) Party Chairman Mike Erlandson told Fox News that “there’s no question that the elevation of the race in the 5th Congressional District to a national race has clearly helped Omar, and Ellison before her, with the national fundraising base. But now we are seeing that it is also having an impact on a challenger.”
“He’s a very strong candidate. He has a very compelling story, just as congresswoman has a very compelling story. I think that has brought people into his camp, in addition to a number of people not being too excited about their current congresswoman,” Erlandson said.
Melton-Meaux’s haul is a dramatic surge from the first quarter of the year, when he raised roughly $210,000. Much of the money came from outside of the District — and some of it came from conservative donors and pro-Israel groups.
The candidate – who says he supported Omar’s 2018 campaign – pointed to the controversies surrounding the congresswoman as the reason why he decided to run for office.
Melton-Meaux argued in an interview with The Hill that Omar had “lost the trust of the Jewish community by her insensitive and harmful tropes.”
Omar has worked to repair any potential damage – holding regular discussions with the Minneapolis Jewish community – and supported House resolutions condemning anti-Semitism amid the shooting last year at a Poway, Calif., synagogue.
Taking aim at her challenger’s fundraising, Omar political aides said in a statement to the Minneapolis Star Tribune that “our campaign is about organizing people. That’s what progressives do. And organized people will always beat organized money.”
Fellow “Squad” member Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez also faced a well-financed Democratic primary challenger last month in the New York primary. Former CNBC correspondent and anchor Michelle Caruso-Cabrera hauled in roughly $2 million ahead of the contest. But Ocasio-Cortez dramatically outraised her rival and crushed Caruso-Cabrera and other challengers in the contest.”
The fourth member of “The Squad” — Rep. Ayanna Pressley who represents Massachusetts’ 7th congressional District – doesn’t face a Democratic primary challenge in the state’s Sept. 1 primary. And she may not face a Republican in November’s general election, as none qualified to place their name on the primary ballot.
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]]>The post The president as insurgent: Why Trump is pushing protests in Democratic states appeared first on Virus Reports.
]]>It’s beginning to feel like a culture war, like a Tea Party-style backlash against big government.
Except in this case the head of the federal government is cheering it on.
When protestors first took to the streets against what they see as excessively harsh restrictions in Minnesota, Michigan and Virginia, President Trump rooted for them in Twitter posts to “LIBERATE” those states — all of which, by an odd coincidence, have Democratic governors.
It was classic Trump, reverting to his role as a disruptor, hailing those who are taking on the heavy hand of government regulation.
But the president had just spent many days extolling his relationship with the nation’s governors — even praising the likes of Andrew Cuomo and Gavin Newsom — saying they’ll be calling the shots and he’ll back them up. (That, of course, was a walkback from last week’s proclamation that he has “total authority” when it comes to reopening the economy.)
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And it also conflicted with Trump’s endorsement of social distancing guidelines, since some (but not all) of the protestors have gathered in close-knit groups, boosting the chance that they could get coronavirus or spread it to others.
The thing is, only journalists worship at the altar of consistency, constantly asking why you-said-X-but-now-you’re-saying-Y. And we all know what Trump thinks about the media (he called CNN correspondent Jeremy Diamond “pathetic” on Sunday, saying “you don’t have the brains with you were born with”).
Trump is a master at sending signals to his supporters, and if that clashes with something else he’s said or done, he knows he can easily dismiss it. He’s told reporters he has no problem with the conduct of the protestors and that some of the state restrictions are too harsh, though stopping short of saying they should be rescinded.
In short, he is generally being critical of blue states, which are the hardest hit (New York, New Jersey, California, Washington) and supportive of red states, some of whose governors are moving to lift lockdowns or never resorted to such restrictions.
Politically, stoking anger among Americans suffering from the economic shutdown probably helps him, even if journalists complain that he’s being inconsistent. Since his poll numbers have slipped a bit, he wants his frustrated voters to know he’s on their side. And there is a lot of pain out there, with 22 million new jobless claims and people who want to work and believe the shutdown has lasted too long.
Trump does best when he’s on offense. That’s why he’s constantly clashing with reporters — on Sunday he said CNN correspondent Jeremy Diamond was “pathetic” and not using “the brains he was born with” — and why he’s defunding the WHO and is back to tweeting about Cryin’ Chuck and Crazy Nancy.
One reporter asked Trump if he was encouraging violence, which is totally unfair. But it is fair to ask whether he’s urging potential protestors to violate their states’ stay-at-home orders. The president responded by saying many people are suffering from cabin fever.
The New York Times cites two people close to Trump as saying “they thought the protests could be politically helpful to Mr. Trump, while acknowledging there might be public health risks.”
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The new approach puts him at odds with such Democratic governors as Michigan’s Gretchen Whitmer, who as it happens is being touted mentioned as a possible Biden running mate, but doesn’t appeal to voters already critical of his management of the crisis. (Whitmer is taking flak for ordering large stories to close off areas meant for carpeting, flooring, furniture, gardening and paint, even as her office notes it doesn’t apply to smaller stores and online sales.)
A new Wall Street Journal/NBC poll has some telling numbers. The top line is a 49 to 42 lead among registered voters for Joe Biden, but perhaps more important is where people stand on the campaign’s dominant issue.
Just 36 percent of those surveyed say they trust what the president says about the coronavirus, while 52 percent don’t trust him (10 percent were not aware or had no opinion.)
But the warning sign for Biden is that he’s practically off the radar. Some 42 percent said they weren’t aware of his statements on the virus or didn’t have an opinion. Among the rest, 26 percent trust what Biden says and 29 percent do not. That means he’s been largely sidelined during this pandemic.
Trump has a gut instinct for what works in a campaign. There is a lot of pain out there, with 22 million jobs lost in the last month and many families struggling to survive. The president wants those people, and the protestors, to know that he’s on their side. And if that leads to media chatter about mixed messages, so be it.
The post The president as insurgent: Why Trump is pushing protests in Democratic states appeared first on Virus Reports.
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