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https://s3.us-west-1.wasabisys.com/virusreports/2020/05/cropped-virus-favicon-32x32.png exposes Archives - Virus Reports http://virusreports.net/tag/exposes/ 32 32 Georgia mask feud exposes America’s fault lines http://virusreports.net/georgia-mask-feud-exposes-americas-fault-lines/ http://virusreports.net/georgia-mask-feud-exposes-americas-fault-lines/#respond Sat, 18 Jul 2020 22:21:08 +0000 https://virusreports.net/georgia-mask-feud-exposes-americas-fault-lines/ People walk down a sidewalk on Friday in St. Simons Island, Ga. Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp made an order earlier in the week that forbade municipal officials from setting mandatory face-covering policies. | Sean Rayford/Getty Images On its face, the legal showdown between Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp and Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms over the…

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People walk down a sidewalk on Friday in St. Simons Island, Ga. Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp made an order earlier in the week that forbade municipal officials from setting mandatory face-covering policies. | Sean Rayford/Getty Images

On its face, the legal showdown between Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp and Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms over the legality of the city’s face mask mandate is a dispute over the right balance between personal freedom and public health.

But the increasingly bitter feud between the Republican governor, an acolyte of President Donald Trump, and the Democratic mayor, a possible vice presidential pick who, herself, has tested positive for Covid-19, is also a microcosm of the fault lines — political, racial, geographic — hampering the country’s response to the coronavirus pandemic and fueling an outbreak that now appears to be spinning out of control.

Atlanta City Council Member Antonio Brown says the failure to contain the virus is hurting “our most vulnerable communities, which are Black and brown communities,” the most. “While we’re pointing fingers, we’re not getting the work of the people done. We’re not saving lives. We’re not protecting our communities that need to be protected.”

The data matches his claim: the parts of the country where the coronavirus outbreaks are now the largest are metro areas across the country’s south and west, areas with local Democratic leaders and large communities of color in states that are predominantly governed by Republicans. That’s heightened the political tension between governors like Kemp, who is playing to one constituency in the state, and Bottoms and other city leaders fighting to protect their local communities.

Kemp filed suit against Lance Bottoms and Atlanta’s city council on Thursday, arguing the city’s mask requirement violates a statewide executive order he signed Wednesday that voids local mask mandates.

The move, he said, “is on behalf of the Atlanta business owners and their hardworking employees who are struggling to survive during these difficult times.” That echoes arguments made by President Donald Trump and fellow GOP governors, who complained the country’s response has overreacted in its lockdowns and restrictions as it seeks to contain the virus, and that the economic and personal damage of lockdowns should be weighed more heavily. The rhetoric plays well with Republicans’ predominantly white political base, which have been skeptical of public health advice, a distrust fanned from within the White House.

On Tuesday, White House trade adviser Peter Navarro attacked Dr. Anthony Fauci, the foremost U.S. expert on infectious disease, in a USA Today op-ed, writing that the director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases has been “wrong about everything I have interacted with him on.”

In an interview on the “Today Show,” Friday, Bottoms said she didn’t think it was happenstance that Kemp’s lawsuit “came the day after Donald Trump visited Atlanta,” pointing out that the president did not wear a mask at the airport. “This is the same governor who didn’t know until well into the pandemic that it could be spread by asymptomatic transmission. He didn’t go to Emory for guidance. He didn’t go to the CDC for guidance.”

Kemp and other Republican governors who pushed most aggressively to reopen communities and restart economic activity are now presiding over sharp upticks in coronavirus infections and rapidly filling hospitals. And it’s urban areas and places with large communities of color, like Atlanta, that face the toughest consequences.

Since Kemp re-opened Georgia businesses in late April, daily cases have been on the rise, at more than 3,000 people testing positive per day. Of the more than 3,100 total reported deaths in the state, nearly half are African American, despite making up 32 percent of the population.

And Atlanta and its suburbs are at the epicenter. Fulton County, where Atlanta is based, has reported 335 deaths, while the surrounding counties of Gwinnett, DeKalb and Cobb have reported a combined 642. The area is 51 percent Black.

A Center for Disease Control study published June 17 found that 79 percent of Covid-19 patients hospitalized in the Atlanta metro area in March and April 2020 were Black.

According to the CDC, Georgia ranks fourth among U.S. states when it comes to the number of Covid-19 cases reported in the past seven days, behind fellow Sun Belt states, Texas, Florida and California and just ahead of Arizona. Available data on infections, hospitalizations and deaths in those states reveal a similar racial divide, with a disproportionate effect on the Black and Latino populations.

The CDC, for example, has found that Hispanic residents of Harris County, home to Houston, are four times as likely to be hospitalized due to Covid-19 than their white counterparts.

Face coverings, public health experts agree, are one of the best ways to slow coronavirus transmission.

“The guidance is clear from the public health perspective. How that’s enforced is something different,” said Dr. Stephanie Miles-Richardson, Professor of Community Health and Preventative Medicine at the Morehouse School of Medicine. “The coronavirus doesn’t have any kind of politics or any political affiliation.”

While mask-wearing remains anathema to many conservatives, more and more Republican officials are acknowledging their necessity. Texas Gov. Greg Abbott reversed course and issued a statewide mask mandate at the beginning of July. Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson followed this week. Florida Gov. Ron De Santis continues to buck pressure to do the same, but aides also said he would not challenge local masks requirements in his state.

Large corporations like Walmart and Target also recently began requiring face coverings in their stores.

In Georgia, several local leaders have followed Bottoms’ example and defied Kemp’s order by making masks mandatory in public spaces. Kelly Girtz, Mayor of Athens, Kemp’s hometown, said he plans to keep the mask mandate in place in his city.

“I find it unfortunately, a waste of our valuable time and energy, when we really need to be working together to do the things that are demonstrably healthy,” he said. “I’ve been in local government now for 14 years. And I’ve seen political winds and alliances come and go. I think what has to be steady is doing the right thing for the people, the community and the right thing right now, is implementing a foundation for safety.”

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Virus Exposes Weak Links in Peru’s Success Story http://virusreports.net/virus-exposes-weak-links-in-perus-success-story/ http://virusreports.net/virus-exposes-weak-links-in-perus-success-story/#respond Sat, 13 Jun 2020 03:21:15 +0000 https://virusreports.net/virus-exposes-weak-links-in-perus-success-story/ Deep-rooted inequality and graft have thwarted the steps Peru took to prepare for its response to the pandemic.Relatives carrying the coffin of a suspected Covid-19 victim at a cemetery on the southern outskirts of Lima last month.Credit...Ernesto Benavides/Agence France-Presse — Getty ImagesBy Mitra Taj and Anatoly KurmanaevJune 12, 2020Updated 7:58 p.m. ETLIMA, Peru — President…

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Deep-rooted inequality and graft have thwarted the steps Peru took to prepare for its response to the pandemic.

Credit…Ernesto Benavides/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

LIMA, Peru — President Martín Vizcarra followed the best advice when the coronavirus arrived in Peru.

He ordered one of Latin America’s first and strictest lockdowns, and rolled out one of the region’s biggest economic aid packages to help citizens stay home. He shared detailed health data with the public, rushed to add hospital beds and ventilators and increased testing.

With robust public coffers and record-high approval ratings, Mr. Vizcarra’s centrist government appeared well prepared to face the pandemic.

Yet instead of being lauded as a model of disease control, Peru has become one of the world’s worst coronavirus hot spots — its hospitals overwhelmed, its people fleeing the cities. The crisis has marred Peru’s veneer of economic progress, exposing the deep-rooted inequality and corruption that have thwarted its pandemic response.

“They asked us to stay at home, but a lot of people have no savings so that was impossible. They asked us to wash our hands, but one in three Peruvian households has access to running water,” said Hugo Ñopo, who works for a Peruvian research group, Grade. Only half of Peruvian homes have refrigerators, he said, forcing many families to return daily to crowded markets, a major source of contagion.

Image

Credit…Sergi Rugrand/EPA, via Shutterstock

Peru’s tragedy is unfolding amid a broader explosion of the virus in Latin America, which has turned from a haven to an epicenter of the pandemic over the past two months. About 1.5 million people in Latin America have tested positive — and experts say the real number of infections is much higher.

The numbers are still rising sharply and the worst appears to be far from over. With winter arriving in the southern part of the region and hurricane season in the northern part, the World Health Organization warned this week that these adverse weather conditions could lead to a new spike in infections in Latin America and hinder its pandemic response.

Peru has had about 6,000 confirmed Covid-19 deaths and more than 200,000 infections, and experts say those numbers understate the true extent of the pandemic. In May, the death rate in Peru from all causes was twice as high as the average of recent years, according to data compiled by The New York Times, suggesting a coronavirus death toll two to three times the laboratory-confirmed figure. Many with symptoms die without being tested.

The ferocity of the outbreak in Peru rivals that in neighboring Brazil, where President Jair Bolsonaro — unlike Mr. Vizcarra — has largely ignored expert advice and has refused to take steps to control the contagion.

“Results haven’t been exactly what we expected,” Mr. Vizcarra said last month. “This isn’t just a health or sanitary crisis, but a social and economic crisis without precedent.”

Image

Credit…Peruvian Presidency

Before the pandemic, things were looking up for Eduardo José Domínguez, 29, who managed a sandwich shop on the outskirts of Lima, Peru’s capital. But when the lockdown closed the store, he took odd jobs as a carpenter or night watchman to pay the bills, working up to 15 hours a day until he got so sick with Covid-19 symptoms that he could barely walk.

“He was just trying to provide for his family,” said his wife, Ana Ponte.

For days, she said, she called for medical help as her husband gasped for air, but was told that hospitals weren’t taking new patients. On the day he died, she tried in vain to breathe life back into him, while waiting for an ambulance that came too late to help.

Image

Credit…Ernesto Benavides/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

Peru’s swift descent from regional success story to calamity has demoralized its 32 million citizens and provoked national soul-searching.

Years of strong economic growth fueled by mining and agricultural exports, as well as prudent financial policies, had turned the country into a rare bright spot in stagnating Latin America. Under a string of pro-business presidents, millions of Peruvians escaped poverty in this century, allowing them to send children to private schools, install running water or start small businesses.

But the lockdown has exposed the fragility of Peru’s economic progress, said Pablo Lavado, an economist at the Pacific University in Lima. Two decades of economic growth lifted many incomes but brought few stable jobs and little health care investment, reducing the effectiveness of President Vizcarra’s pandemic measures.

Mr. Lavado said many Peruvians find themselves in the same situation as Mr. Domínguez — forced to risk catching the coronavirus, rather than stay at home and slide into poverty and hunger.

Image

Credit…Reuters

“Here we were congratulating ourselves in Peru for starting to be a middle-class country,” he said. “But it turns out our middle class is very vulnerable, very fragile.”

Another obstacle has been the entrenched corruption that Mr. Vizcarra vowed to tackle when he took office two years ago. Three former presidents of Peru have spent time in jail in connection with an ongoing bribery investigation, as has the opposition leader. Another former president committed suicide last year to avoid arrest and yet another is imprisoned after multiple convictions for human rights violations, embezzlement and abuses of power.

  • Updated June 12, 2020

    • What’s the risk of catching coronavirus from a surface?

      Touching contaminated objects and then infecting ourselves with the germs is not typically how the virus spreads. But it can happen. A number of studies of flu, rhinovirus, coronavirus and other microbes have shown that respiratory illnesses, including the new coronavirus, can spread by touching contaminated surfaces, particularly in places like day care centers, offices and hospitals. But a long chain of events has to happen for the disease to spread that way. The best way to protect yourself from coronavirus — whether it’s surface transmission or close human contact — is still social distancing, washing your hands, not touching your face and wearing masks.

    • Does asymptomatic transmission of Covid-19 happen?

      So far, the evidence seems to show it does. A widely cited paper published in April suggests that people are most infectious about two days before the onset of coronavirus symptoms and estimated that 44 percent of new infections were a result of transmission from people who were not yet showing symptoms. Recently, a top expert at the World Health Organization stated that transmission of the coronavirus by people who did not have symptoms was “very rare,” but she later walked back that statement.

    • How does blood type influence coronavirus?

      A study by European scientists is the first to document a strong statistical link between genetic variations and Covid-19, the illness caused by the coronavirus. Having Type A blood was linked to a 50 percent increase in the likelihood that a patient would need to get oxygen or to go on a ventilator, according to the new study.

    • How many people have lost their jobs due to coronavirus in the U.S.?

      The unemployment rate fell to 13.3 percent in May, the Labor Department said on June 5, an unexpected improvement in the nation’s job market as hiring rebounded faster than economists expected. Economists had forecast the unemployment rate to increase to as much as 20 percent, after it hit 14.7 percent in April, which was the highest since the government began keeping official statistics after World War II. But the unemployment rate dipped instead, with employers adding 2.5 million jobs, after more than 20 million jobs were lost in April.

    • Will protests set off a second viral wave of coronavirus?

      Mass protests against police brutality that have brought thousands of people onto the streets in cities across America are raising the specter of new coronavirus outbreaks, prompting political leaders, physicians and public health experts to warn that the crowds could cause a surge in cases. While many political leaders affirmed the right of protesters to express themselves, they urged the demonstrators to wear face masks and maintain social distancing, both to protect themselves and to prevent further community spread of the virus. Some infectious disease experts were reassured by the fact that the protests were held outdoors, saying the open air settings could mitigate the risk of transmission.

    • How do we start exercising again without hurting ourselves after months of lockdown?

      Exercise researchers and physicians have some blunt advice for those of us aiming to return to regular exercise now: Start slowly and then rev up your workouts, also slowly. American adults tended to be about 12 percent less active after the stay-at-home mandates began in March than they were in January. But there are steps you can take to ease your way back into regular exercise safely. First, “start at no more than 50 percent of the exercise you were doing before Covid,” says Dr. Monica Rho, the chief of musculoskeletal medicine at the Shirley Ryan AbilityLab in Chicago. Thread in some preparatory squats, too, she advises. “When you haven’t been exercising, you lose muscle mass.” Expect some muscle twinges after these preliminary, post-lockdown sessions, especially a day or two later. But sudden or increasing pain during exercise is a clarion call to stop and return home.

    • My state is reopening. Is it safe to go out?

      States are reopening bit by bit. This means that more public spaces are available for use and more and more businesses are being allowed to open again. The federal government is largely leaving the decision up to states, and some state leaders are leaving the decision up to local authorities. Even if you aren’t being told to stay at home, it’s still a good idea to limit trips outside and your interaction with other people.

    • What are the symptoms of coronavirus?

      Common symptoms include fever, a dry cough, fatigue and difficulty breathing or shortness of breath. Some of these symptoms overlap with those of the flu, making detection difficult, but runny noses and stuffy sinuses are less common. The C.D.C. has also added chills, muscle pain, sore throat, headache and a new loss of the sense of taste or smell as symptoms to look out for. Most people fall ill five to seven days after exposure, but symptoms may appear in as few as two days or as many as 14 days.

    • How can I protect myself while flying?

      If air travel is unavoidable, there are some steps you can take to protect yourself. Most important: Wash your hands often, and stop touching your face. If possible, choose a window seat. A study from Emory University found that during flu season, the safest place to sit on a plane is by a window, as people sitting in window seats had less contact with potentially sick people. Disinfect hard surfaces. When you get to your seat and your hands are clean, use disinfecting wipes to clean the hard surfaces at your seat like the head and arm rest, the seatbelt buckle, the remote, screen, seat back pocket and the tray table. If the seat is hard and nonporous or leather or pleather, you can wipe that down, too. (Using wipes on upholstered seats could lead to a wet seat and spreading of germs rather than killing them.)

    • Should I wear a mask?

      The C.D.C. has recommended that all Americans wear cloth masks if they go out in public. This is a shift in federal guidance reflecting new concerns that the coronavirus is being spread by infected people who have no symptoms. Until now, the C.D.C., like the W.H.O., has advised that ordinary people don’t need to wear masks unless they are sick and coughing. Part of the reason was to preserve medical-grade masks for health care workers who desperately need them at a time when they are in continuously short supply. Masks don’t replace hand washing and social distancing.

    • What should I do if I feel sick?

      If you’ve been exposed to the coronavirus or think you have, and have a fever or symptoms like a cough or difficulty breathing, call a doctor. They should give you advice on whether you should be tested, how to get tested, and how to seek medical treatment without potentially infecting or exposing others.


Anti-corruption prosecutors have opened more than 500 inquiries since the lockdown began on March 16, most often looking into reports that officials pocketed money that was supposed to pay for food aid or personal protective equipment. Two dozen cases involve the police or armed forces.

Aid programs have not reached many people who need them. Out of work and fearful of the virus in crowded cities, Peruvians by the tens of thousands have streamed back to their home villages, many of them on foot. Some people have taken to begging door to door.

Among the most vulnerable are the nearly one million Venezuelan migrants who had flocked to Peru from their devastated homeland since 2016 in search of better lives. Ineligible for government stipends and lacking nearby family networks to fall back on, thousands of them have made the arduous trek back to Venezuela.

Image

Credit…Ernesto Benavides/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

Mr. Domínguez, who arrived in Peru two years ago, was among the Venezuelans who stayed.

He had earned enough that he and Ms. Ponte had a second child last fall, a decision they had postponed for years. This year, he had planned to visit Venezuela with his cousins, eager to show off his newborn son.

When an ambulance reached their home, minutes after he had died, the medics told Ms. Ponte that they had no tests to confirm that he had coronavirus; he would be one of the legions of likely victims not included in the official tally. And they said they had nowhere to store his body.

“Help didn’t arrive. It didn’t arrive. I was crying and screaming for help but no one would come,” Ms. Ponte said, weeping as her husband’s body lay in a bag outside the room where she sat on a bed with her 10-year-old son and 8-month-old baby.

“He was everything to us.”

Mitra Taj reported from Lima, Peru, and Anatoly Kurmanaev from Caracas, Venezuela.

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Hairdresser exposes 140 people to coronavirus while working with symptoms http://virusreports.net/hairdresser-exposes-140-people-to-coronavirus-while-working-with-symptoms/ http://virusreports.net/hairdresser-exposes-140-people-to-coronavirus-while-working-with-symptoms/#respond Mon, 25 May 2020 15:21:47 +0000 https://virusreports.net/hairdresser-exposes-140-people-to-coronavirus-while-working-with-symptoms/ 232K Want to watch this again later? Sign in to add this video to a playlist. Sign in Like this video? Sign in to make your opinion count. Sign in Don't like this video? Sign in to make your opinion count. Sign in Published on May 25, 2020A hairdresser at a Great Clips in Missouri…

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Published on May 25, 2020

A hairdresser at a Great Clips in Missouri exposed more than 100 people to the virus over several days, health officials say. Another stylist likely exposed more.

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Joe Biden exposes the fraud of the #MeToo movement http://virusreports.net/joe-biden-exposes-the-fraud-of-the-metoo-movement/ http://virusreports.net/joe-biden-exposes-the-fraud-of-the-metoo-movement/#respond Wed, 06 May 2020 23:27:46 +0000 https://virusreports.net/joe-biden-exposes-the-fraud-of-the-metoo-movement/ ANALYSIS/OPINION: Former Vice President Joseph R. Biden, the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee, has accomplished something for women that no other Democrat could: He has exposed the fraud of the #MeToo movement. Most of its high-profile supporters responded by smothering it to death with a pillow. You see, Mr. Biden’s candidacy, combined with a credible accusation…

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ANALYSIS/OPINION:

Former Vice President Joseph R. Biden, the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee, has accomplished something for women that no other Democrat could: He has exposed the fraud of the #MeToo movement. Most of its high-profile supporters responded by smothering it to death with a pillow.

You see, Mr. Biden’s candidacy, combined with a credible accusation against him of rape in 1993 by Tara Reade, who was then a member of his Senate staff, has made it undeniable that the #MeToo movement has been a cynical political charade. Many women around the country were heartened by the effort, and it’s these women who are harmed by not just the hypocrisy but by the grotesque indifference to the impact of frauds like this.

Finally, after weeks of ignoring it, Mr. Biden personally addressed the accusations on MSNBC’s “Morning Joe.” He denied the accusations as has his campaign repeatedly on his behalf. Many were hoping this moment of personal denial would be enough, allowing the media and Democratic leadership to move on. They tried ignoring the charges for weeks and were only forced to address them when the haunting audio of Ms. Reade’s mother on “The Larry King Show” in 1993 asking for advice forced the media to face the story.

So many Democrats, Hollywood celebrities and liberal activists lifted their voices in outrage and indignation in response to sexual assault allegations against now-Justice Brett M. Kavanaugh. As they ordered us to “believe all women,” we heard denunciations of due process and that the accused must prove their innocence. The man pointed at would be given no quarter because the rules have changed — or so we were lectured.

Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand, who for a time was a candidate for the Democratic nomination for president and was primarily responsible for former Sen. Al Franken’s resignation from the Senate because of sexual harassment allegations, has endorsed Mr. Biden for president. During a recent video meeting, Ms. Gillibrand of New York said, “Vice President Biden has vehemently denied these allegations, and I support Vice President Biden.”

Well, that should do it.

Sen. Kamala D. Harris, California Democrat, was leading the charge against Justice Kavanaugh during the Senate hearings. Carrie Severino, in a piece at FoxNews.com noted, “As recently as last year Harris said that she believed numerous women who accused Biden of unwanted touching. Of course, that was when she was running against Biden for the nomination. Now that Harris is on the Biden VP shortlist, it’s nothing but crickets.”

Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi has also endorsed Mr. Biden. When confronted by a reporter asking about the “different standard” between Justice Kavanaugh and Mr. Biden, the woman who condemned Justice Kavanaugh snapped at the reporter saying she didn’t need a “lecture,” on the “believe all women” issue. The speaker then went on to laud Mr. Biden for his work supporting women’s issues, authoring the Violence Against Women Act as an example, leading her to stamp him as a person of “great character.”

Lost upon Mrs. Pelosi is the fact that the men who have egregious histories of abusing women in Hollywood and in Washington, D.C., have a history of specifically and deliberately “working on women’s issues.” This strategy seems to provide a bubble of protection, just ask imprisoned movie mogul Harvey Weinstein, former President Bill Clinton, disgraced former New York Attorney General Eric Schneiderman.

Even the woman considered the founder of the #MeToo movement, Tarana Burke, has decided that Mr. Biden is still “electable,” admitting in a tweet that “the inconvenient truth is that this story is impacting us differently because it hits at the heart of one of the most important elections of our lifetime.”

In other words, politics wins out when the accused is a Democrat. The woman is suddenly expendable. For the party and these activist liberals, women are a commodity to be used and controlled.

Rose McGowan understands this. She is the actress and feminist activist who has been consistently committed to issues of sexual assault and was the first to make a rape allegation public against Weinstein. For a while, Miss McGowan was the lone voice from the Hollywood #MeToo movement expressing her disgust at the hypocrisy over how Ms. Reade has been treated, while condemning the Democratic Party for its hypocrisy and abandonment of women.

Recently another actress stepped up. Star of HBO’s “Westworld” Evan Rachel Wood. Fox News reported, “Wood, 32, on Friday directly responded to McGowan’s latest tweet in which the former ‘Charmed’ actress declared she is no longer a ‘proud Democrat’ due to her affiliated party downplaying sexual assault allegations against Biden by Tara Reade. … ‘I have to say this is … spot on,’ Wood tweeted in response to McGowan’s lengthy post.”

Since this expression of support, Ms. Wood has had to protect her Twitter account by making it private.

One frustration for Miss McGowan is the response by Alyssa Milano, another actress, #MeToo activist and Trump- and Kavanaugh-hater. Ms. Milano continues to massage her hypocritical buffoonery by explaining that while Ms. Reade’s accusations concern her deeply, Mr. Biden is someone “who I can’t picture doing any of the things of which he’s accused.”

So whether or not a woman will be taken seriously by #MeToo activists depends on whether or not they can imagine it. Got it.

The Daily Caller Foundation spoke to Ms. Reade about the silence about her alleged experience from women’s groups: “She asked, ‘Emily’s List, where are you? Gloria Steinem? Where are you? Where are these people?’ “

Where are they? Busy hammering the final nail in the #MeToo movement coffin.

• Tammy Bruce, president of Independent Women’s Voice, author and Fox News contributor, is a radio talk-show host.

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COVID-19 exposes terrible dangers of globalization http://virusreports.net/covid-19-exposes-terrible-dangers-of-globalization/ http://virusreports.net/covid-19-exposes-terrible-dangers-of-globalization/#respond Thu, 16 Apr 2020 23:42:49 +0000 http://virusreports.net/covid-19-exposes-terrible-dangers-of-globalization/ ANALYSIS/OPINION: The coronavirus lays bare the terrible dangers of globalization on steroids but will hardly summon its demise. The benefits from international exchange of goods, capital, technology and people are too compelling, and the real challenges are to manage those more effectively and forging tougher domestic measures to cope with pandemics. After World War II,…

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ANALYSIS/OPINION:

The coronavirus lays bare the terrible dangers of globalization on steroids but will hardly summon its demise. The benefits from international exchange of goods, capital, technology and people are too compelling, and the real challenges are to manage those more effectively and forging tougher domestic measures to cope with pandemics.

After World War II, freer commerce among Western democracies and supporting institutions ushered a golden age of capitalism — mutually re-enforcing peace and prosperity among historical adversaries and opportunities for developing nations to transform their economies and raise millions from poverty.

The coronavirus reveals a global supply chain drawn too taut by just-in-time inventory practices and lowest price sourcing. Apple can’t make nearly enough iPhones if China shuts down, automakers in Germany must idle workers if components’ factories in northern Italy close and we are perilously dependent on China for many active ingredients to make many drugs.

The threats posed by coronavirus are hardly something new — influenza pandemics swept the United States in 1957, 1968 and 2009.

In 1957, the United States did not practice much social distancing, most schools remained open and little was done to limit workplace interactions. The virus killed 100,000 Americans out of a population of 177 million but had a very small impact on the economy.



The example of St. Louis, which responded to the 1918 Spanish Flu more quickly and suffered fewer casualties than Philadelphia, was either not yet well enough documented by historians or federal health authorities placed too much trust in only partially effective vaccines.

China, after initially denying the coronavirus, took stronger measures than Italy, Washington State and New York and other states. And U.S. citizens have been slow to respond to voluntary measures — despite their clear potential benefits.

Consequently, our national experience will be more like Italy than China, and 240,000 deaths out of a population of 331 million could result.

Still the porous business closures, work-at-home and social distancing we have implemented easily could push unemployment to 20 percent and reduce GDP by as much as $5 trillion.  

America has both suffered the loss of life of a significant unbridled pandemic and taken an economic hit that rivals China — where loss of life will be less.

It’s folly to believe that the U.S. economy will bounce back quickly or be the same as before — wars and crises enable new technologies and business practices and permanently alter consumer behavior.

Americans are mastering strategies that better permit virtual workplaces and fewer business trips and accelerate the shift to online commerce. Some industries will come back smaller — airlines and hotels — and many restaurants and retailers will close permanently.

Unemployment will not quickly fall again to 3.5 percent, and general economic activity, corporate profits and stock prices will not quickly recover to the levels just prior to the pandemic.

In addition to retooling displaced workers, businesses will harden supply chains — diversify international sources for components. Western governments will seek greater national self-sufficiency in critical health care products. All that will come at some cost in lost efficiency and growth.

Those adjustments are more compelling, because China’s newly urbanized populations continue cultural practices such as live wild animal markets that can be expected to generate more transnational pathogens. And Western commercial and scientific relationships cannot be adequately terminated without large economic dislocations voters would be unwilling to accept.

Chinese authorities moved aggressively in Wuhan and surrounding communities to keep individuals in their homes by dispatching armies of low-level enforcers and using mobile phone data to rundown those who slipped lockdowns. Even suspected cases and many healthy individuals with close contact to confirmed cases were sent to special quarantine facilities. And Beijing has essentially closed the country to foreign visitors.

The idea that President Trump would quarantine the New York metro area was greeted with strong protests from state officials. Now we face months of the virus spreading out and running its arch in virtually every corner of the country.

Before we are done, China may well be able to boast to the world its authoritarian government accomplished both fewer lost lives and less economic losses than the United States, Italy and several other European nations.

China moved the curve — lessened the tradeoff between public health and sustaining prosperity. Now, America must respond by building stronger pandemic containment mechanisms — albeit those that are publicly accountable and not subject to abuse — or our democracy will simply not measure up to the challenges of globalization.

• Peter Morici is an economist and business professor at the of Maryland, and a national columnist. 

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