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]]>The post French expert warns full coronavirus vaccine unlikely by next year appeared first on Virus Reports.
]]>PARIS — There is little chance of a 100-percent effective coronavirus vaccine by 2021, a French expert warned Sunday, urging people to take social distancing measures more seriously.
“A vaccine is several years in development,” said epidemiologist Arnaud Fontanet, a member of the team of scientists advising the government on the crisis, speaking on BFMTV television.
“Of course, there is an unprecedented effort to develop a vaccine, but I would be very surprised if we had that was effective in 2021,” he added.
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While there would probably be one that worked partially, it would still be very far from the end of the crisis, he said.
That being the case, “we have to live with this virus” he said. And since another lockdown was out of the question, people had to go back to “more serious habits.”
French medical epidemiologist Arnaud Fontanet speaks during a press conference in Paris, Saturday March 28, 2020 (Geoffroy van Der Hasselt, Pool via AP)
“This summer, let’s respect physical distance, at least!” he said, stressing that large gatherings were the main threat.
On Saturday, a DJ’s set on a beach in the Mediterranean resort of Nice drew thousands of people together, sparking a furious reaction on social media.
Also Saturday, a group of well-known doctors called for the government to make the wearing of masks inside public buildings compulsory in a bid to head off a second wave of the coronavirus.
Fontanet said the main risks for the appearance of new virus clusters were in confined spaces, such as on cruise ships, warships, sports halls, discos, slaughterhouses, accommodation housing migrant workers and places of worship.
On Wednesday, the French government said it was preparing for a second wave of COVID-19, but rather than imposing another nationwide lockdown, they would use “targeted” measures such as stay-at-home orders or business closures.
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]]>The post Expert explains rise of COVID-19 cases in California appeared first on Virus Reports.
]]>Expert explains rise of COVID-19 cases in California
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: COUNTY ISN’T ABNORMAL. AS CASES IN CALIFORNIA CONTINUE TO RISE SOME REOPENING PLANS ARE BEING ROLLED BACK. DOCTOR DEAN BLUMBERG WITH UC DAVIS PEDIATRIC INFECTIOUS DISEASES EXPLAINS THE RISE IN CASES THE STATE IS SEEING. >> WHAT WE HAVE SEEN IS BASICALLY SINCE THE END OF MAY IN CALIFORNIA AND MANY COUNTIES, AS THE SOCIAL DISTANCING RESTRICTIONS HAVE LOOSENED UP, WE HAVE SEEN A PREDICTABLE INCREASE IN THE NUMBER OF CASES. WE WERE HOPING MAYBE WE WOULD GET A RESPITE WITH THE SUMMER WITH THE WARMER TEMPS BUT THIS IS BEHAVING VERY SIMILARLY TO 2009 INFLUENZA H1N1. THERE IS SO MUCH OF THE POPULATION THAT IS SUSCEPTIBLE TO IT THAT EVEN THOUGH THIS IS NORMALLY A WINTER RESPIRATORY VIRUS, THERE IS CONTINUING AND SUSTAINED TRANSMISSION IN THE SUMMER. AS PEOPLE GO OUT AND INTERACT MORE, THEN WE ARE GOING TO
Expert explains rise of COVID-19 cases in California
As of Saturday, 29 counties in California have been added to the state’s coronavirus watchlist.Three different factors trigger a county being placed on the state’s COVID-19 watch list: elevated disease transmission, increasing hospitalization and limited hospital capacity.A cases in the state continue to rise, some reopening plans are being rolled back.Take a look at the video above to hear an expert explain the rise in cases the state is seeing.
SACRAMENTO, Calif. —
As of Saturday, 29 counties in California have been added to the state’s coronavirus watchlist.
Three different factors trigger a county being placed on the state’s COVID-19 watch list: elevated disease transmission, increasing hospitalization and limited hospital capacity.
A cases in the state continue to rise, some reopening plans are being rolled back.
Take a look at the video above to hear an expert explain the rise in cases the state is seeing.
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]]>The post Expert warns the US is approaching ‘one of the most unstable times in the history of our country’ appeared first on Virus Reports.
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]]>The post Health Expert: Mask Wearing, Some Social Distancing Will Continue For ‘Several Years’ appeared first on Virus Reports.
]]>A health expert at Johns Hopkins University is warning that mask-wearing and some social distancing measures may be part of life in the United States for years to come.
Eric Toner, a senior scholar at the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security, specializes in pandemic preparedness and has met with government officials all over the world about viral outbreaks such as the coronavirus that originated in Wuhan, China.
Widespread vaccinations for the disease will not be available for years to come, and until then, Americans will have to adjust, Toner told CNET.
“I think that mask wearing and some degree of social distancing, we will be living with — hopefully living with happily — for several years,” Toner said. “It’s actually pretty straightforward. If we cover our faces, and both you and anyone you’re interacting with are wearing a mask, the risk of transmission goes way down. Being outside, having distance between you and other people reduces the risk of transmission dramatically.”
“There are a lot of things you can do and maintain those conditions. If you spread out, if you maintain distance, if you avoid crowded places, you could go to a beach, you go to the mountains, you could go to a lake, you can do things outside without a problem,” Toner said.
States such as California, Texas, and Michigan that had begun to relax strict lockdown orders enacted after the outbreak of the coronavirus are putting some of those restrictions back in place as case numbers for those states begin to rise.
The rise in case numbers has not come with a corresponding rise in deaths, raising questions about whether rising case numbers justify a heavy-handed government response if vulnerable populations are not getting sick. In fact, deaths from the coronavirus have fallen in the U.S. for 10 consecutive weeks, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
Toner, however, says that masks will be a part of life for the foreseeable future, and for those that refuse to wear coverings, “They will get over it … It’s just a question of how many people get sick and die before they get over it.”
Toner’s comments appear to challenge the optimistic scenario pushed by Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases and who was instrumental in shaping the United States’ response to the virus early on. Fauci has said that the U.S. could have 100 million doses of vaccine by the end of the year.
“We are going to start manufacturing doses of the vaccine way before we even know if the vaccine works,” Fauci said in June. “The prediction of the statistical analysis and the projection of cases indicate that we may know whether it’s efficacious by maybe November, December … By that time, we hopefully would have close to 100 million doses.”
Later in the month, Fauci blunted the news and said that although the vaccine would be ready for widespread use by the start of next year, it may not inoculate enough people to reach herd immunity in the U.S. because of “a general anti-science, anti-authority, anti-vaccine feeling among some people in this country — an alarmingly large percentage of people, relatively speaking.”
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]]>The post Coronavirus expert says Americans will be wearing masks for ‘several years’ appeared first on Virus Reports.
]]>Health experts won’t ask Americans to take off their masks any time soon.
That’s the take of Eric Toner, a senior scholar at the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security. He has been preparing for an outbreak like the novel coronavirus as part of his work for years.
Johns Hopkins practices virus simulations as part of is preparedness protocol, with the goal of offering public health experts and policymakers a blueprint of what to do in a pandemic. One of those simulations took place in October 2019, when Toner and a team of researchers launched a coronavirus pandemic simulation in New York, running through various scenarios on how residents, governments and private businesses would hypothetically react to the threat.
TEXAS’ CORONAVIRUS HOSPITALIZATIONS HIT NEW DAILY HIGH AS TOTAL CASES TOP 200,000
One thing that stood out to him: Face coverings are a vital defense to stop the spread of the virus. He believes COVID-19 won’t slow down in the U.S. even as states start to slowly reopen.
“There’s going to be no summertime lull with a big wave in the fall,” he said as part of CNET’s Hacking the Apocalypse series. “It’s clear that we are having a significant resurgence of cases in the summer, and they’ll get bigger. And it’ll keep going until we lock things down again.”
CORONAVIRUS IMMUNITY CAN BE ‘SHORT-LIVED,’ EXPERT WARNS
The U.S. recently added about 43,000 positive COVID-19 cases to its 2.9 million total, according to the Johns Hopkins University of Medicine. The death total has surpassed 130,000.
Toner, contrasting the novel virus to seasonal influenza, said until there is a vaccine, communities’ best defense to fight it is through creating distance and wearing masks.
ATLANTA MAYOR KEISHA LANCE BOTTOMS SAYS SHE TESTED POSITIVE FOR CORONAVIRUS
“I think that mask wearing and some degree of social distancing, we will be living with — hopefully living with happily — for several years,” he said. “It’s actually pretty straightforward. If we cover our faces, and both you and anyone you’re interacting with are wearing a mask, the risk of transmission goes way down.”
Dr. Anthony Fauci, a top official handling the U.S. COVID-19 response, said recently he was cautiously optimistic that there could be a vaccine for the virus by 2021.
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For those who refuse to wear a mask in the interim, Toner said they’ll eventually wise up.
“They will get over it,” he says. “It’s just a question of how many people get sick and die before they get over it.”
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]]>The post COVID-19 is on the rise again in Ohio, and an expert blames young people who aren’t wearing masks appeared first on Virus Reports.
]]>So much for Ohio flattening the coronavirus curve.
Gov. Mike DeWine moved aggressively to slow the spread of the virus by shutting down the economy and issuing stay-at-home orders, but COVID-19 numbers have been climbing again after DeWine started reopening the state.
There have been 9,779 new cases just in the last two weeks, a 73 percent jump over the number for the two weeks before, according to the latest NBC News tally. And on Tuesday, there were 13 more deaths reported and 1,076 new cases.
In total, 2,876 people have died from the coronavirus in Ohio out of 52,865 reported cases since the start of the pandemic, the NBC News figures show.
“People are letting their guard down,” DeWine said Thursday. “The progress the state has made is in danger of being reversed.”
“We’re in a crisis stage in Ohio and this can go one way or the other,” the governor added.
Dr. Stephen Blatt, medical director for Infectious Disease at TriHealth Hospitals in Cincinnati, agreed and noted that young people are increasingly the ones getting infected.
“I don’t think we reopened too soon, our numbers were very good,” Blatt told NBC News. “The problem is that people are not wearing masks. You go out and everywhere you look they’re not wearing masks.”
Ohio is hardly the only state that has seen a big jump in numbers. Arizona, Florida and Texas in particular have reported an explosion of new cases. And nationally, there have been more than 2.7 million reported cases and nearly 130,000 deaths, the latest NBC News figures show.
In other developments:
- The U.S. economy clawed back 4.8 million of the 22 million-plus jobs that were lost when the pandemic started while the unemployment rate fell to 11.1 percent. President Donald Trump touted the June numbers but experts warned a huge jobs deficit remains and the latest coronavirus surge could mean more pain on the horizon.
- It was full steam ahead for the Fourth of July celebration on the National Mall, complete with massive fireworks display. But despite the health concerns of Washington, D.C. Mayor Muriel Bowser, participants will not be required to wear the 300,000 of so face masks that will be made available to those who want them.
And it appears the strong improvement of the last two months may not last. The reference period for the jobs survey was mid-June, just before COVID cases began to spike. We are already hearing reports of people being laid off for the second time. 2/
— Heidi Shierholz (@hshierholz) July 2, 2020
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DeWine received bipartisan praise for moving decisively to secure his state well before President Donald Trump declared a national emergency on March 13. Both he and Dr. Amy Acton, the state’s former health director, were lionized for leading the state through the crisis.
While Gov. Tom Wolf in neighboring Pennsylvania has issued a mandate which requires people to don a mask whenever they leave their homes, DeWine said Thursday “that’s not our intent.”
But during a news conference to announce guidelines for reopening Ohio’s schools in the fall, DeWine said “I’m not ruling out additional orders.”
“Remember, we wear masks to protect each other, often because people are sick, but show no symptoms,” the governor said. “Masks can be especially useful and are strongly recommended at any grade level during periods of increased risk and when physical distancing is difficult.”
While DeWine is a Republican, it’s not clear a mask-wearing directive would fly in a state where the GOP holds a majority in the legislature and in which conservative lawmakers resisted the governor’s moves to curb coronavirus by closing down the state.
Ohio State Rep. Tavia Galonski, a Democrat, said she wishes DeWine would try.
“Sure, there would be people who would complain, but those same people had an Ohio that we all could be proud of before DeWine turned tail and ran,” Galonski told NBC News. “I believe Ohioans would have responded quite well to an authoritative figure they could trust telling them to put on a mask.”
Blatt said he knows masks will be a hard sell with some in Ohio.
“I’m sure the governor is wrestling with that,” he said. “If there was some way to mandating mask use, that would be helpful.”
Acton stepped down in June after Ohio Republicans tried to curb her powers and protesters besieged her home demanding an end to the state’s stay-at-home measures. The governor said Acton would continue serving as his chief health adviser.
Not long after, the number of coronavirus cases began rising again in Ohio.
Asked whether there could be a connection between Acton’s departure and the increased cases, Blatt said no. “She was a calming influence,” the doctor said of Acton.
Ohio appeared to be on a different trajectory on May 1 when DeWine began lifting the state’s stay-at-home rules and a month later the numbers continued to be flat.
“We’re not seeing any significant increase or reestablishment of a wave or a peak in Ohio and that’s great,” Mark Cameron, an infectious disease researcher and professor in the school of medicine at Case Western Reserve University, told the Cincinnati Enquirer in a story published June 16. “What that could mean is that people are still generally following the guidelines.”
That’s clearly no longer the case, said Blatt.
“Most of the new cases are young people and I think they just got sick of not going out and seeing their friends,” Blatt said. “I think they saw that things were getting better and just said, ‘OK, let’s go out.’ We have to get the message out that this is not over and it’s not going to be over for a while.”
The drive to get people to wear masks has, of late, been driven by Republicans who had previously been following the lead of the president, who has rarely worn one in public.
Trump, in an interview Wednesday, said he’s “all for masks” but does not think they should be mandatory for people in public places. Pence echoed that Thursday, saying “I don’t think there’s a need for a national mandate.”
Florida Sen. Rick Scott, a Republican and a Trump ally, used similar language Thursday in a Fox News interview.
“Look, you should wear a mask, you should social distance,” Scott said. “But should governments mandate these things? No.”
But Florida, where Gov. Ron DeSantis has been criticized for responding too slowly to the crisis and for reopening too soon, reported 6,563 new coronavirus cases Wednesday and 145 deaths, according to the NBC News tally.
There have been 76,278 new cases reported in Florida in the last two weeks alone, according to NBC News figures, forcing DeSantis to shut down the bars to slow the spread of the virus.
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]]>The post CDC expert warns U.S. has “way too much virus” to contain outbreak appeared first on Virus Reports.
]]>The novel coronavirus is spreading too widely and quickly to contain, CDC principal deputy director Anne Schuchat told The Journal of the American Medical Association Monday, warning she expects “this virus to continue to circulate.”
Why it matters: Per Schuchat, “This is really the beginning, and what we hope is that we can take it seriously and slow the transmission.” Her comments are in contrast to those of senior members of the Trump administration — notably Vice President Mike Pence, who said on Friday “we have made truly remarkable progress.”
- COVID-19 cases are surging across the U.S., prompting Texas and New Jersey to pause plans to reopen their economies in recent days.
What else she’s saying: “We have way too much virus across the country for that right now, so it’s very discouraging,” Schuchat said in the with the Journal’s Howard Bauchner.
- She said there was “a lot of wishful thinking around the country” that the pandemic would be over by summer. “We are not even beginning to be over this. There are a lot of worrisome factors about the last week or so.”
“We’re not in the situation of New Zealand or Singapore or Korea where a new case is rapidly identified and all the contacts are traced and people are isolated who are sick and people who are exposed are quarantined and they can keep things under control.”
What they’re saying: White House Press Secretary Kayleigh McEnany said during a briefing on Monday, “We’re aware that there are embers that need to be put out, but these signs of decreasing fatality, increased and enhanced therapeutics that we’ve identified — four of them: dexamethasone, convalescent plasma, and remdesivir, and one other — that they are working. Remdesivir, in particular, reduces hospital time by a third.
- “So these things make us uniquely equipped to handle the increasing cases that we’ve seen.”
Go deeper: Pence disputes that virus surge was caused by states reopening too quickly
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]]>The post WATCH LIVE: Expert takes your questions on COVID-19 testing appeared first on Virus Reports.
]]>The novel coronavirus has infected more than 4 million people and killed more than 280,000 worldwide. In the United States, testing for the virus is a key piece of public health officials’ approach to containing the COVID-19 pandemic. But what is the state of testing, and is it sufficient, as the states decide to reopen businesses? What is the difference between testing for the virus and testing for antibodies? And how does the U.S. response differ from that of other nations? Join us on Wednesday, May 13 at 2:00pm EST as Dr. Joshua Sharfstein, vice dean at Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health and former FDA deputy commissioner, and PBS NewsHour’s William Brangham, answer your questions on COVID-19 testing.
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